Spanish Grand Prix Odds and AI Pick: Piastri a Narrow Favorite, Norris Close Behind
The next chapter in one of the longest-running F1 races takes place on Sunday, and we're diving in with our Spanish Grand Prix odds.
Our best F1 betting sites are unsurprisingly projecting more steamrolling from McLaren while listing Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris as the betting favorites. However, Max Verstappen lurks not too far behind and has gained ground, and he's the three-time defending winner at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya.
📊 Spanish Grand Prix odds 2025
Odds from FanDuel as of Thursday, May 29.
| Driver | FanDuel | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | +155 | 39.22% | $15.50 |
| Lando Norris | +165 | 37.74% | $16.50 |
| Max Verstappen | +340 | 22.73% | $34 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| George Russell | +1800 | 5.26% | $180 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +3200 | 3.03% | $320 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +3200 | 3.03% | $320 |
| Carlos Sainz | +19000 | 0.52% | $1,900 |
| Fernando Alonso | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Alex Albon | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Isack Hadjar | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Oliver Bearman | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Nick Hulkenberg | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Franco Colapinto | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Liam Lawson | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Pierre Gasly | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
| Esteban Ocon | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
Here are a few quick observations about the Spanish Grand Prix odds as we prepare for the 66th running of the race:
- The two McLaren drivers have finished on the podium together six times this season over eight races, including twice when they occupied the top two spots, and they're far out in front while receiving an implied probability at or around 40%.
- It's then a steep drop to Verstappen and his implied probability of 19.61%, even though the Red Bull dynamo and four-time defending F1 champion is only one race removed from winning the Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix.
- There's a significant dropoff in the odds to Charles Leclerc, though an even greater one after the Ferrari driver to George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, and Kimi Antonelli, who are all receiving only a 3.03% chance of winning.
- The true cliff dive in the odds begins after those top seven drivers, as they're the only ones getting odds below +20000.
📈 Early odds movement
As of Thursday morning the oddsboard has seen a bit of movement among the top contenders, much of which centers around Max Verstappen shortening from +410 to +340.
- Oscar Piastri has lengthened from +145 to +155
- Lando Norris has lengthened from +160 to +165
- Max Verstappen has shortened from +410 to +340
- George Russell has lengthened from +1600 to +1800
🤖 Spanish Grand Prix AI prediction
I had a conversation with ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, and asked for its best Spanish Grand Prix pick to win. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor, and it should be used only to gather additional information and insights.
🏆 Max Verstappen (+410 via FanDuel)
Here's why Max Verstappen (+410) is the pick from ChatGPT to win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix.
Bet $5, Win $200 in Bonus Bets
New customers only. Min. deposit $5+. Bet $5+ and win $200 in Bonus Bets, if your bet wins (within 72 hours). Bet does not have to win in AZ, CO, KS, NC, or TN.
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
🏎️ Proven track record at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya: Verstappen has demonstrated exceptional performance at this circuit, securing victories in 2022, 2023, and 2024. His familiarity and success on this track underscore his capability to dominate once again.
🏎️ Current form and statistical advantage: According to FanDuel's win simulations, Verstappen holds a 62.0% probability of winning the race, significantly higher than his closest competitor, Lando Norris, who stands at 20.1%. This statistical edge reflects his consistent performance throughout the season.
🏎️ Red Bull's technical prowess: Red Bull Racing's car continues to exhibit superior aerodynamics and speed, particularly on circuits like the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya that favor high downforce and efficient tire management. That technical advantage positions Verstappen favorably against his rivals.
🏁 2025 Spanish Grand Prix full-field prediction
Here's ChatGPT's full-field finishing prediction for the Spanish Grand Prix.
🥇 1. Max Verstappen, Red Bull
🥈 2. Lando Norris, McLaren
🥉 3. Charles Leclerc, Ferrari
4. Oscar Piastri, McLaren
5. Lewis Hamilton, Ferrari
6. George Russell Mercedes
7. Carlos Sainz Jr., Williams
8. Fernando Alonso, Aston Martin
9. Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
10. Pierre Gasly, Alpine
11. Esteban Ocon, Haas
12. Yuki Tsunoda, Red Bull
13. Alex Albon, Williams
14. Nico Hulkenberg, Sauber
15. Lance Stroll, Aston Martin
16. Gabriel Bortoleto, Sauber
17. Franco Colapinto, Alpine
18. Oliver Bearman, Haas
19. Liam Lawson, Racing Bulls
20. Isack Hadjar, Racing Bulls
🗓️ Race week schedule
We're within 48 hours of the first official action of the week getting underway, starting Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Free Practice 1: Friday, May 30, 8:30 a.m. ET
- Free Practice 2: Friday, May 30, 12:30 p.m. ET
- Free Practice 3: Saturday, May 31, 7:30 a.m. ET
- Qualifying: Saturday, May 31, 11:30 a.m. ET
- Race Start: Sunday, June 1, 10:30 a.m. ET
📺 How to watch the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix
📅 Race date: Sunday, June 1
🕒 Start time: 9 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya (Barcelona, Spain)
📺 TV: ESPN, TSN
☀️ Weather: 73 degrees, 2-mph to 12-mph winds, 20% chance of precipitation
🏆Past Spanish Grand Prix winners
| Driver | Year |
|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 2024 |
| Max Verstappen | 2023 |
| Max Verstappen | 2022 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2021 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2020 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2019 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2018 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2017 |
| Max Verstappen | 2016 |
| Nico Rosberg | 2015 |
| Lewis Hamilton | 2014 |
❓Spanish Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri is favored to win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix while getting odds of +145 through FanDuel, though his McLaren teammate and Monaco Grand Prix winner Lando Norris is narrowly behind at +160.
When is the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?
The 2025 Spanish Grand Prix will take place June 1 at 9 a.m. ET. The first practice sessions are Friday, May 30 (7:40 a.m. ET and 11 a.m. ET). The third session is May 31 at 6:30 a.m. ET, with qualifying beginning at 10 a.m. ET.
The odds at our best sports betting sites will swing significantly following each step throughout the buildup, and especially after qualifying.
Who won the 2024 Spanish Grand Prix?
Max Verstappen won the 2024 Spanish Grand Prix. It was his third straight time winning the race, and before that Lewis Hamilton won it on five consecutive occasions.
Which track hosts the Spanish Grand Prix?
The Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya hosts the Spanish Grand Prix. It's a 4.657-km track, and the event has been held there since 1991.
Which driver has won the Spanish Grand Prix the most?
Lewis Hamilton is tied with Michael Schumacher for the most Spanish Grand Prix wins ever (six).
Among current constructors, Ferrari leads after taking the race 12 times.
🏎️ Motorsports betting odds pages
| NASCAR Cup Series Odds | F1 Driver/Constructor Series Championship Odds |
| Canadian Grand Prix odds | Las Vegas Grand Prix odds |
💰 Best auto racing betting sites
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related Articles
