2025 Qatar Grand Prix Odds & Betting Favorites: Will Verstappen Win Third Straight in Qatar?
Last week's McLaren disqualification has the culmination of the F1 season perfectly poised as I provide the Qatar Grand Prix odds and betting favorites, which features my pick to win.
Las Vegas Grand Prix winner Max Verstappen is the even-money betting favorite to make life even more uncomfortable for Lando Norris entering next week's final race. Sunday's Qatar Grand Prix from Lusail International Circuit starts at 11 a.m. ET (ESPN).
📊 Qatar Grand Prix odds & betting favorites 2025
Latest Qatar Grand Prix odds to win Sunday's race via BetMGM.
| Driver | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | +100 | 50% | $10 |
| Lando Norris | +200 | 33.33% | $20 |
| Oscar Piastri | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| George Russell | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Carlos Sainz | +25000 | 0.4% | $2,500 |
| Oliver Bearman | +25000 | 0.4% | $2,500 |
| Isack Hadjar | +40000 | 0.25% | $4,000 |
| Alex Albon | +40000 | 0.25% | $4,000 |
| Fernando Alonso | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Liam Lawson | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Pierre Gasly | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Esteban Ocon | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +250000 | 0.03% | $25,000 |
🔍️ Find the best odds for every driver
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🏁 Early pick to win Qatar Grand Prix
Max Verstappen (+125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
What a turn the F1 season has taken since the start of September, with Verstappen winning four of the previous seven races, including in Las Vegas last week. I backed the four-time defending champ to win in Sin City, and I'm back on his bandwagon for Sunday's race.
The Dutchman is the defending back-to-back Qatar GP winner and has momentum on his side. With McLaren doing its utmost to self-implode at the season's most critical juncture, Verstappen must be as confident as he's been in a year.
While winning his fifth championship in a row might end up becoming a task too tall, he's certainly piling the pressure on Norris, whom he trails by 24 points in the Drivers' Standings.
Can Verstappen push Norris to the brink?
Norris, meanwhile, represents Verstappen's biggest threat. The Briton has won two of the previous three races and finished second in Vegas before he and teammate Oscar Piastri were disqualified for excessive wear on the plank underneath the car.
While he won't openly admit it, I'm sure Norris is wondering what he has to do to put a final nail in Verstappen's comeback bid. With only two races left, time will probably take care of that on Norris' behalf.
That won't impact Verstappen's performance on the weekend, though, and I expect the Dutchman to win his third straight at Lusail International Circuit.
His odds range from +100 to +125 at the best sports betting sites, with bet365 providing the latter. The +125 odds imply a 44.44% probability, and a winning $10 bet will profit $12.50.
📈 Qatar Grand Prix trends & history
- Verstappen is the two-time defending Qatar Grand Prix champion
- Verstappen has the fastest lap (1:24.319)
- Lusail Circuit is the fifth-fastest on the grid, with average speeds of 242.80 km/h
- Norris' best result in Qatar is third, which he achieved in 2023
- All three Qatar Grand Prix races were won from pole position
🏆 Past Qatar Grand Prix winners
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | Not held | Not held |
| 2021 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
🗓️ 2025 Qatar Grand Prix schedule
- Practice 1: Friday, Nov. 28; 8:30 a.m. ET
- Sprint Qualifying: Friday, Nov. 28; 12:30 p.m. ET
- Sprint Race: Saturday, Nov. 29; 9 a.m.
- Qualifying: Saturday, Nov. 29; 1 p.m. ET
- Race: Sunday, Nov. 30; 11 a.m. ET
📺 How to watch 2025 Qatar Grand Prix
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 30
- Time: 11 a.m. ET
- Location: Lusail International Circuit (Qatar)
- How to watch: ESPN
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