Nobel Peace Prize Odds & Prediction 2025: Will Trump Win Prestigious Award?
We're just past the midway point of the year, which means chatter tied to year-end awards will slowly pick up, and the Nobel Peace Prize odds lay out the main likely candidates for one of the world's most prestigious honors.
The award is given annually to a person or organization that "has done the most or best to advance fellowship among nations, the abolition or reduction of standing armies, and the establishment and promotion of peace congresses," according to Reuters.
There are 338 candidates nominated this year, according to the Nobel Prize Organization, including 244 individuals and 94 organizations. Several of the best sports betting apps are offering odds ahead of the winner(s) being named on Oct. 10.
🏅 Nobel Peace Prize odds 2025
FanDuel and DraftKings offer odds for who will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025. Here are the latest prices for the top 10 from FanDuel.
| Candidate | FanDuel | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yulia Navalnaya | +195 | 33.9% | $19.50 |
| Donald Trump | +210 | 32.26% | $21 |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | +470 | 17.54% | $47 |
| Antonio Guterres | +900 | 10% | $90 |
| Greta Thunberg | +1100 | 8.33% | $110 |
| NATO | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Jose Andres | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees | +1900 | 5% | $190 |
| David Attenborough | +1900 | 5% | $190 |
| Vladimir Kara-Murza | +1900 | 5% | $190 |
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🎖️ Betting favorite to win Nobel Peace Prize
Yulia Navalnaya (+195)
Yulia Navalnaya is the widow of Alexei Navalny, the former leader of the opposition in Russia. She continues to play a significant role in the Russian opposition.
She told BBC last October that she intends to one day be President of Russia. “My political opponent is Vladimir Putin," she said. "And I will do everything to make his regime fall as soon as possible.”
She currently lives in Germany and also leads the Human Rights Foundation and the Anti-Corruption Foundation.
🔮 Nobel Peace Prize prediction
Donald Trump (+210)
Trump has long coveted a Nobel Peace Prize, and finding a resolution for the conflict in Ukraine would likely increase his chances. That's no easy task, of course, though recently Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the American President that he's nominating him.
Momentum in Ukraine is still elusive, but Trump continues to press for a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas. He's also set back Iran's nuclear operations, albeit through a military strike of his own.
🏆 Past Nobel Peace Prize winners
| Year | Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Nihon Hidankyo |
| 2023 | Narges Mohammadi |
| 2022 | Ales Bialiatski, Center for Civil Liberties, Memorial |
| 2021 | Dmitry Muratov, Maria Ressa |
| 2020 | World Food Programme |
| 2019 | Abiy Ahmed |
| 2018 | Denis Mukwege, Nadia Murad |
| 2017 | International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons |
| 2016 | Juan Manuel Santos |
| 2015 | National Dialogue Quartet |
❓ Nobel Peace Prize FAQs
Who is the favorite to win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Yulia Navalnaya is the favorite to win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025 at the best sports betting sites. She's getting +195 betting odds through FanDuel, which translates to an implied probability of 33.9%.
When is the Nobel Peace Prize winner announced?
The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner(s) will be announced on Oct. 10, with a ceremony to follow two months later on Dec. 10.
Who won the Nobel Peace Prize last year?
Nihon Hidankyo, the Japanese Confederation of A- and H-bomb sufferers, was given the honor last year.
How is the Nobel Peace Prize winner decided?
The Norwegian Nobel Committee, which consists of five members the Norwegian parliament selects, names the prize winners after receiving submissions. The prize is then later awarded in Oslo.
💵 Best sports betting sites
Want to bet on the Nobel Peace Prize odds? Check out the best sports betting apps and best sportsbook promos for this year's event:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
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