2025 Ambetter Health 400 Long Shots: Bet These 5 Sleepers to Win Today's NASCAR Race at Atlanta

With another drafting track on the schedule, we're highlighting five drivers with the best long-shot odds to win at Atlanta today.
Ambetter Health 400 Long Shots 2025: Best NASCAR Bets at Atlanta
Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Daniel Suarez (99) celebrates in Victory Lane after winning the Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Photo by David Yeazell / Imagn Images.

After a crazy finish last week ay Daytona, we could be in for another wild race today at 3 p.m. ET (FOX) ahead of the Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

Daniel Suarez won this race last year as a +3000 long shot, and we've identified five Ambetter Health 400 long shots with similar odds or better to win today's race.

💰 Best Ambetter Health 400 long shots & sleepers

Whenever NASCAR heads to a drafting-style track, you can expect potential drama at the finish line. That was the case last year, when Suarez beat out Ryan Blaney and Kyle Busch in the closest three-wide finish in Cup Series history.

Blaney is the favorite by the Ambetter Health 400 odds to get revenge this time around, but we have our eyes on five long shots who can deny him once again. Here are our best bets to win today with raceday odds of at least +2000 across our best sportsbooks.

🎯 Daniel Suarez (+2200 via FanDuel)

Did our best sports betting apps not learn their lesson the first time around? Suarez won last year's race thanks to a bold move on the outside on the final lap, but it wasn't a fluke - he's finished first or second in three straight races at Atlanta with five top-six finishes in six races since the track's superspeedway-style reconfiguration in 2022.

A tough qualifying performance has Suarez starting 29th for this race, which contributes to his long odds entering raceday. Still, it's hard to stay away from the reigning winner here at these +2200 odds via FanDuel, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $220 profit if he repeats at Atlanta.

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🎯 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+6600 via bet365)

I highlighted Stenhouse as my favorite long-shot bet in my Ambetter Health 400 predictions after his bold performance last week at Daytona, when he tried to block Joey Logano with 15 laps to go in a move that ultimately wrecked the entire field.

That's what you get from the No. 47, which is seemingly as likely to finish in the garage as in the top five. That's also the perfect recipe for long shots - it's why Stenhouse has four career wins at drafting-style tracks and finished sixth in this race last year. If he wins it today, a $10 wager at bet365 would return a $660 profit.

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🎯 AJ Allmendinger (+7000 via Caesars)

This is the second straight week that ChatGPT has identified Allmendinger as its best NASCAR long shot as part of its Ambetter Health 400 AI predictions. And while that's almost certainly just chatbot noise, our robot friend might be onto something here.

Allmendinger had an engine issue last week that spelled his first DNF at Daytona in 12 career starts after back-to-back sixth-place finishes. He finished third in his last race at Atlanta in July 2023 - leading six laps despite starting 19th - and he'll start 12th today.

He has the type of aggressive racing style to make some noise as a long shot, and a $10 bet at these +7000 odds via Caesars would return a $700 profit if he takes the checkered flag.

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🎯 Zane Smith (+8000 via DraftKings)

I'll admit: Smith wasn't on my radar until our NASCAR betting expert Isaiah Sirois highlighted the No. 38 as part of his best Ambetter Health 400 prop bets. And it's easy to see the logic for this long-shot bet.

Even as one of the biggest underdogs in the field, Smith has an impressive history at drafting-style tracks with two wins at Daytona in the Truck Series and a top-five at Atlanta. He'll be racing today for Front Row Motorsports, which led the most laps last year and nearly won the race outright.

Smith is starting seventh for today's race, and FRM teammates Todd Gilliland (fifth) and Noah Gragson (10th) - two valuable drafting partners - both start in the top 10. If the No. 38 car can leverage that help to navigate his way to the front on the last lap, a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $800 profit.

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🎯 Corey Lajoie (+10000 via bet365)

I gave out Lajoie last week as part of my best Daytona 500 long shots, and he led the field with eight laps to go while pushing near the front on the last lap before "The Big One" struck.

Don't let an eventual 22nd-place finish distract from what was a strong showing for the Rick Ware Racing driver in that superspeedway race. Now he heads to Atlanta, where he posted a fifth-place finish in 2022 and a fourth-place showing in 2023 before settling for 13th last year.

Without a full-time ride, Lajoie doesn't need to concern himself with stage points or sustaining relationships on the track - he'll be gunning for the win today. If he can pull it off after last week's close call, he'd turn a $10 ticket at bet365 into a $1,000 profit.

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🚨 Ambetter Health 400 expert picks at Atlanta

📺 How to watch the 2025 Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta

📅 Race date: Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025
🕒 Start time: 3 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Atlanta Motor Speedway (Atlanta)
📺 TV: FOX | Streaming: FOX Sports App

🏁 Best NASCAR betting sites for Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta

Looking to bet on the Ambetter Health 400 at Atlanta Motor Speedway? Here are our top-rated NASCAR best sports betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos ahead of today's race at 3 p.m. ET.

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.