2025 NASCAR AI Picks at Michigan: ChatGPT's Full Predictions for FireKeepers Casino 400 Today

Our NASCAR AI predictions for today's FireKeepers Casino 400 (2 p.m. ET, Prime Video) look to pick the correct winner for the fifth time in 10 races.

We asked ChatGPT for its NASCAR at Michigan predictions based on historical data, betting odds, and statistical trends - including its pick to win, best prop bet, favorite long shot, and results for every driver for today's 36-car field.

Along with our 2025 FireKeepers Casino 400 predictions at Michigan, here are our AI-powered NASCAR best bets and full AI-simulated finishing order:

🤖 NASCAR AI picks & predictions at Michigan

We trained ChatGPT to predict the March Madness bracket, Super Bowl picks, and Kentucky Derby winner, and we're turning to OpenAI's popular chatbot once again to predict the winner of today's FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan.

We trained ChatGPT's most advanced AI model to study the latest NASCAR odds, betting history, and relevant trends before predicting today's winner:

🏆 ChatGPT's pick to win: Kyle Larson (+625)

ChatGPT predicts Kyle Larson will win the FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. His best odds are +625 via BetMGM, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $62.50 profit with an implied win probability of 13.79%.

✅ Michigan mastery: Larson is the most successful active driver at Michigan International Speedway, boasting three Cup wins, multiple poles, and frequent top-10 finishes - he’s won there in 2016, 2017, and most recently delivered a strong showing in 2024. This makes him the logical favorite.

✅ Season momentum: This season Larson has been dominant: he’s already claimed three victories (new career highs) and consistently finishes near the front - winning at Bristol and Kansas, and running top‑10s at various tracks .

✅ Qualifying speed & team strength: Though he qualified fifth, his Hendrick Motorsports team remains the fastest at intermediate ovals. Plus, the historic correlation between qualifying speed and race results at Michigan further boosts his odds.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (20% win probability)

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💰 ChatGPT's best prop bet: Chase Elliott to finish top 10 (+100)

ChatGPT predicts Chase Elliott will finish in the top 10 as its best NASCAR prop bet for Michigan. His best odds to score a top-10 finish are +100 via bet365, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $10 profit with an implied win probability of 50%.

✅ Elite track record at Michigan: Elliott holds a career 10 top-10 finishes in 14 starts at Michigan International Speedway - an impressive 71.4% top-10 rate, with an average finish of 7.7, the best among active drivers with similar experience.

✅ Consistency this season: He’s finished every race this year, consistently bringing the car home in strong positions. At Michigan, where mistimed moves or mechanical issues can derail a run, that reliability is invaluable.

✅ Edge in prop value: The current line is –150 (implied 60%) for a top-10 finish, but given Elliott’s near 75% historical rate at this track, this prop bet offers compelling upside at better odds.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (70% chance of top-10 finish)

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🎯 ChatGPT's best long shot: Joey Logano (+2200)

ChatGPT predicts Joey Logano to win the FireKeepers Casino 400 as its best long shot at Michigan. His best odds to win are +2200 via BetMGM, which would turn a winning $10 bet into a $220 profit with an implied win probability of 4.35%.

✅ Proven Michigan excellence: Logano leads all active drivers with 590 laps led at Michigan and has taken the checkered flag three times (2013, 2016, 2019). He's consistently strong at this track.

✅ Demonstrated pace: After winning in Texas and posting a fourth-place finish in Nashville last week, Logano has regained momentum. His sustained performance suggests he has the setup and confidence to contend again.  

✅ Recent form and value: Despite not being among the favorites this year, our model highlights him as a top long-shot due to his combination of speed, experience, and Michigan history.

🤖 AI confidence level: ⭐⭐⭐ (6% win probability)

🤖 NASCAR AI projections today

Here is our predicted FireKeepers Casino 400 finishing order and results for every driver based on AI projections. While ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, it can spot trends or insights that NASCAR bettors might overlook.

🏁 Projected finish order at Michigan

1. Kyle Larson (No. 5, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥇
2. Denny Hamlin (No. 11, Joe Gibbs Racing) 🥈
3. William Byron (No. 24, Hendrick Motorsports) 🥉
4. Chase Briscoe (No. 19, Joe Gibbs Racing)
5. Ryan Blaney (No. 12, Team Penske)
6. Tyler Reddick (No. 45, 23XI Racing)
7. Christopher Bell (No. 20, Joe Gibbs Racing)
8. Chase Elliott (No. 9, Hendrick Motorsports)
9. Brad Keselowski (No. 6, RFK Racing)
10. Joey Logano (No. 22, Team Penske)
11. Chris Buescher (No. 17, RFK Racing)
12. Kyle Busch (No. 8, Richard Childress Racing)
13. Austin Cindric (No. 2, Team Penske)
14. Michael McDowell (No. 71, Spire Motorsports)
15. Bubba Wallace (No. 23, 23XI Racing)
16. Alex Bowman (No. 48, Hendrick Motorsports)
17. Ty Gibbs (No. 54, Joe Gibbs Racing)
18. Ryan Preece (No. 60, RFK Racing)
19. Justin Haley (No. 7, Spire Motorsports)
20. Daniel Suarez (No. 99, Trackhouse Racing)
21. Erik Jones (No. 43, Legacy Motor Club)
22. Noah Gragson (No. 4, Front Row Motorsports)
23. Carson Hocevar (No. 77, Spire Motorsports)
24. Ross Chastain (No. 1, Trackhouse Racing)
25. Zane Smith (No. 38, Front Row Motorsports)
26. Austin Dillon (No, 3, Richard Childress Racing)
27. Josh Berry (No. 21, Wood Brother Racing)
28. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (No. 47, Hyak Motorsports)
29. Ty Dillon (No. 10, Kaulig Racing)
30. Shane van Gisbergen (No. 88, Trackhouse Racing)
31. Cole Custer (No. 41, Haas Factory Team)
32. A.J. Allmendinger (No. 16, Kaulig Racing)
33. Todd Gilliland (No. 34, Front Row Motorsports)
34. John Hunter Nemechek (No. 42, Legacy Motor Club)
35. Riley Herbst (No. 35, 23XI Racing)
36. Cody Ware (No. 51, Rick Ware Racing)

💰 NASCAR best bets at Michigan

💵 Best NASCAR betting sites

Want to bet on the FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan? Check out the best sports betting sites for NASCAR ahead of today's race:

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