🏎️ Monaco Grand Prix Odds, Favorites 2026: F1 Picks & Best Bets at Circuit de Monaco

I dive into the Monaco Grand Prix odds and offer my best bet for Sunday's showcase race.
George Russell at the Canadian GP as we provide the Monaco Grand Prix Odds & Favorites 2026.
Pictured: George Russell at the Canadian GP as we provide the Monaco Grand Prix Odds & Favorites 2026. Photo by Mathieu Belanger via Reuters
Enjoying SBR content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Nothing compares to the grandiose occasion of the Monaco Grand Prix, and this year's race has all the makings of a classic with Ferrari and McLaren finally competing with front-runner Mercedes. 

I've taken a look at the Monaco Grand Prix odds and favorites.  For the first time this season, a Mercedes driver is not the betting favorite entering a race weekend. That title goes to Monégasque Charles Leclerc, who is the +175 betting favorite despite not finishing higher than third through five races. 

Kimi Antonelli, who has won four races in a row, sits at a tasty +450 entering the pre-race events, which start early Friday. Sunday's race begins at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN). 


📊 Monaco Grand Prix odds 2026

Top Monaco Grand Prix odds to win Sunday's race, via BetMGM; subject to change.

Driver Odds Implied Probability Profit on $10 Bet
Charles Leclerc +175 36.36% $17.50
Kimi Antonelli +450 18.18% $45
Lando Norris +500 16.67% $50 
Lewis Hamilton +500 16.67% $50 
George Russell +600 14.29% $60
Oscar Piastri +900 10% $90
Max Verstappen +1200 7.69% $120

All other drivers are trading at +10000 or longer.


🏁 Early pick to win Monaco Grand Prix

George Russell (+600) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

If Russell didn't have bad luck, he wouldn't have any luck at all. The Mercedes driver was flying all weekend in Montreal and was on his way to victory at the Canadian GP when disaster struck, and not for the first time this season.

After securing pole and prevailing in the sprint race, Russell's car suffered a power unit failure, ending his GP.  

At some point, his luck has to turn. If he secures pole position for a second straight race, Russell should win for the first time since the opening race in Melbourne. 


💰 Early picks & best bets for Monaco GP 

Here's a look at the best alternatives on the board looking ahead to Sunday's race:

Kimi Antonelli (+450) 

Kimi Antonelli has won four consecutive races, an incredible feat for the 19-year-old regardless of how dominant his car is. 

While teams are finally bridging the performance gap, success in Monaco is intrinsically tied to winning qualifying, which Antonelli has done in three of five races. George Russell won the other two. 

Of the 22 Monaco Grand Prix winners since 2003, only six have won without securing pole position. Sergio Perez, in 2022, was the last to triumph despite not securing pole. Antonelli is as confident as they come, and driving the world's best car only accentuates his swagger. 

Charles Leclerc (+175)

Back on his home circuit, Leclerc is the betting favorite at the best sports betting sites. The Monégasque won the Monaco Grand Prix for the first time in 2024, and he finished runner-up to Lando Norris last year. 

Leclerc has finished third or fourth in four of five races thus far, and Ferrari enjoyed their best result in Canada, finishing second and fourth. 

Ferrari's car is improving each week, which provides Leclerc the platform to win in his homeland for the second time. I think he'll fall just short and finish second or third. 

Lewis Hamilton (+500)

Lewis Hamilton finished second at the Canadian GP, his best result with Ferrari since joining them before the 2025 season. He's buzzing and feeling good heading into the showcase race of the season. Will that translate to his first win for Ferrari and fourth in Monaco? 

If everything goes right, the Briton is in with a chance. He has two podium finishes this season, with third place in China to go along with second place in Montreal. 


🏆 Past Monaco Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2025 Lando Norris McLaren-Mercedes
2024 Charles Leclerc Ferrari
2023 Max Verstappen Red Bull-Honda RBPT
2022 Sergio Pérez Red Bull-RBPT
2021 Max Verstappen Red Bull-Honda
2020 Not held due to COVID-19 pandemic
2019 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2018 Daniel Ricciardo Red Bull Racing-TAG Heuer
2017 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari
2016 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes

🗓️ 2026 Monaco Grand Prix schedule

  • Practice 1: Friday, June 5 @ 7:30 a.m. ET
  • Practice 2: Friday, June 5 @ 11 a.m. ET
  • Practice 3: Saturday, June 6 @ 6:30 a.m. ET
  • Qualifying: Saturday, June 6 @ 10 a.m. ET
  • Race: Sunday, June 7 @ 9 a.m. ET

📺 How to watch 2026 Monaco Grand Prix

  • Date: Sunday, June 7
  • Time: 9 a.m. ET
  • Location: Circuit de Monaco (Monaco)
  • How to watch: ESPN

📃 Affiliate disclosure

Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)