Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao Prediction, Expert Picks & Odds: Welterweight
The headliner for tonight's welterweight championship card from the MGM Grand in Las Vegas is the focus of our Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao prediction.
The 30-year-old Barrios puts his WBC belt on the line against the legendary Pacquiao, who returns to the ring at age 46 after four years away, hoping to become the second-oldest major world champion in boxing history. Despite Pacquiao’s iconic legacy, Barrios is a strong favorite to defend his title, as the Pacquiao vs. Barrios odds show.
📊 Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao odds
Odds via BetMGM as of Saturday
| Mario Barrios | Method of victory | Manny Pacquiao |
|---|---|---|
| -250 | Win outright | +200 |
| +140 | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | +500 |
| +220 | Win by unanimous decision | +450 |
| +2000 | Draw | +2000 |
It’s no surprise to see Barrios listed as a -250 favorite. He’s in his prime at 30 years old, and Barrios owns significant physical advantages, along with being far more active than the aging Pacquiao.
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🥊 Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao prediction & fight preview
✅ Prediction: Mario Barrios to beat Manny Pacquiao
📊 Best odds: -250 via bet365 ($10 to win $4)
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Barrios enters with youth, size, and recent form all on his side. At 5-foot-10, he’ll enjoy a considerable height and reach advantage over the 5-foot-5 Pacquiao tonight. Expect Barrios to work behind his jab, manage range, and steadily pile up rounds without taking unnecessary risks.
Meanwhile, Pacquiao is stepping back into the spotlight at 46 after a long layoff. While he still flashes fast hands in spurts, questions about stamina and durability loom large. His best shot is to catch Barrios early with a trademark left-hand counter. But that seems unlikely over 12 rounds.
Look for Barrios to stay composed and outbox Pacquiao en route to a clear decision.
💰 Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao best bet
✅ Best bet: Barrios by decision (+220)
📊 Best odds: +220 via bet365 ($10 to win $22)
The decision prop is the smartest angle here. Barrios isn’t reckless, and he’s likely to respect Pacquiao’s power while focusing on controlling distance.
Pacquiao’s toughness and experience should lead to him hearing the final bell, even if he’s dropping round after round. At +220, betting on Barrios to win by decision offers much better value than laying heavy money on his outright line.
🆚 Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao tale of the tape
| Mario Barrios | Manny Pacquiao | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Age | 46 |
| 5-foot-10 | Height | 5-foot-5 |
| 147 pounds | Weight | 147 pounds |
| 178 cm | Reach | 170 inches |
| 29-2 (18 KOs), WBC champ | Record | 62-8-2 (39 KOs) |
📈 Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao betting insights
Here are some betting insights from BetMGM ahead of this clash:
| Fighter | Opening Odds | Current Odds | Ticket% | Handle% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Barrios | -300 | -250 | 8% | 9% |
| Tie | +1600 | +2000 | 12% | 3% |
| Manny Pacquiao | +250 | +200 | 78% | 88% |
📡 How to watch Mario Barrios vs. Manny Pacquiao
📅 Saturday, July 19, 2025
🕗 Approx. 11 p.m. ET ring walks
📍 MGM Grand, Las Vegas, Nevada
📺 Streaming live on ESPN+ Pay-Per-View
❓ Barrios vs. Pacquiao FAQs
Who is favored to win the Barrios vs. Pacquiao fight?
Mario Barrios is the -250 favorite, while Manny Pacquiao is a +220 underdog.
How do boxing odds work?
Minus odds (like -290) show how much you’d bet to win $100, while plus odds (like +220) indicate how much profit you’d earn on a $100 bet.
Who will win between Barrios vs. Pacquiao?
Our pick: Barrios to outpoint Pacquiao by decision and retain his WBC title.
🥊 More boxing predictions
💵 Best boxing betting sites
Want to bet on boxing? Check out the best boxing betting sites and best sportsbook promos for this weekend's card:
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