Kyle Larson Double Odds & Predictions: Can He Win the Indy 500, Coca-Cola 600?

For the second straight year, Kyle Larson will attempt to make history by running the Indianapolis 500 and Coca-Cola 600 on the same day to highlight our Memorial Day Weekend Racing Guide.

Only one driver has ever run all 1,100 miles in the same day, but no one has won both races in their attempt at "The Double" - something Larson hopes to pull off. He's the favorite to win today's Coca-Cola 600 and qualified 21st for the Indy 500 after making his open-wheel debut last year.

Here's a look at Larson's odds to win both races, along with our expert picks and AI predictions for Larson's chances to make history today:

📊 Kyle Larson odds to win Indy 500, Coca-Cola 600

Here's a look at Kyle Larson's odds to win the Indianapolis 500 and Coca-Cola 600 via BetMGM following Saturday's NASCAR qualifying, along with the implied probability according to our odds converter.

Larson is the favorite to win the Coca-Cola 600 for the second time in his career (2021), and his odds are even shorter after qualifying second. He's finished in the top 10 in six of his 14 starts at Charlotte while leading 399 total laps.

He's a much bigger long shot to win the Indianapolis 500 ahead of his second career start behind an open-wheel racecar. He finished 18th last year in his debut - which earned him IndyCar Rookie of the Year honors - and he'll start 21st in this year's Indy 500 before making the trip back to Charlotte.

Can Larson win both races? The odds are stacked against him with an implied probability of just 0.84%. Only Tony Stewart has even completed all 1,100 miles in one day; he finished third in the Coca-Cola 600 and sixth in the Indy 500 back in 2001.

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🏁 Will Kyle Larson complete 'The Double' in 2025?

Larson originally took aim at the historic feat last year, when he attempted to become the fifth driver to run both races on the same day and only the second to complete all 1,100 miles. But Mother Nature had other plans.

The start of the Indy 500 was delayed by rain in Indianapolis and forced Larson to fall behind schedule after completing all 200 laps. By the time he finally arrived in Charlotte, the Coca-Cola 600 had already begun - but it was called off mere moments after he arrived due to inclement weather.

If the skies persist today - and it appears as if they will - Larson should have the green light to complete all 500 miles in Indianapolis before making it back in time for the start of the Coca-Cola 600. It's a grueling test of physical stamina, mental focus, and technical execution that few have even attempted ... let alone pulled off successfully.

🌥️ Weather forecast for Indy 500 and Coca-Cola 600

Here is a look at the weather forecast for both racetracks today around the time the green flag is waived:

• Indianapolis Motor Speedway: 67 degrees, 10% chance of precipitation, wind 8 mph NE
• Charlotte Motor Speedway: 71 degrees, 12% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph S

🏎️ Will Kyle Larson win the Coca-Cola 600?

While the second race today might prove the most exhausting for Larson, he's still the outright favorite to win the Coca-Cola 600. And our NASCAR betting expert expects him to pull it off.

Here's a glimpse at why our Isaiah Sirois is betting on Larson to win Sunday's race at Charlotte Motor Speedway:

"Yes, no driver has won the Indianapolis 500 or Coke 600 while attempting both. I think that streak will change this year: Larson’s dominance at high-speed intermediates is simply too much to ignore ...

While Larson hasn't won every high-speed intermediate this year, he led the most laps in each event. He won from the pole at Kansas, finished ninth at Las Vegas, and fourth at Texas, and he recorded the fastest average green-flag speed in all three as well."

👉 Check out Sirois' full analysis in our 2025 Coca-Cola 600 predictions

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🏎️ Will Kyle Larson win the Indy 500?

Larson has run just one open-wheel race in his career - last year's Indy500 - which makes him a tough bet to win this year's prestigious race at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.

While it's hard to rule anything out with one of the best racecar drivers in the world, Sirois has his eyes on two-time defending winner Josef Newgarden to repeat at the Brickyard today:

"Team Penske has sold out to dominate on ovals in the IndyCar series. Last year, the team won the Indianapolis 500 with Newgarden and won four of the six other oval races. In 2023, Newgarden also won at Indy, and Team Penske won three of the five other oval races.

While the inspection failure (and subsequent modifications to be compliant) and poor starting position are red flags, they might just be a blessing in disguise: We can get Newgarden at +1000 via FanDuel, which is a much better price than the +700 available back in February."

👉 Check out Sirois' full analysis in our 2025 Indy 500 predictions

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🤖 AI prediction: Can Kyle Larson win 'The Double' in 2025?

We asked ChatGPT to simulate Larson's chances of winning the Indy 500 and Coca-Cola 600 today - and what would need to go right to win both races.

🔢 Estimated probabilities

• Larson's chances to win Indy 500: 4.5% probability
• Larson's chances to win Coca-Cola 600: 6.3% probability
• Larson's chances to win both races: ~0.3% probability

✅ What needs to go right?

🌦️ Weather: No delays at Indy that could prevent a full Charlotte run
🚑 Health & endurance: Larson must avoid cramping, dehydration, or fatigue
🔧 Mechanical reliability: Two races, two teams, two cars — no room for failure
📈 Track position: Especially important at Indy, where traffic is brutal
🚨 Pit stops & caution luck: Both races can be won or lost on timing

Overview: If anyone can do it, it’s Larson - widely considered one of the most naturally gifted drivers in the world. But history, fatigue, and probability are stacked against him.

📜 History of 'The Double' (Indy 500 & Coca-Cola 600)

Here's a look at every driver who has attempted to complete both the Indy 500 and Coca-Cola 600 on the same day. Only one (Tony Stewart) successfully pulled off "The Double" by completing all 1,100 miles in one day.

* completed all 600 laps across both races

📺 How to watch 'The Double'

• Indy 500: 12:45 p.m. ET (FOX)
• Coca-Cola 600: 6 p.m. ET (Prime VIdeo)

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