Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Predictions: 2025 French Open Final Odds

We dive into why you should back Carlos Alcaraz in today's French Open Final against Australian Open winner Jannik Sinner.

Mike Spector

Last updated: June 8, 2025 5:18 AM EDT • 3 min read

Sinner vs. Alcaraz Predictions Today: 2025 French Open Final Expert Picks & Odds — Pictured: Carlos Alcaraz of Spain gives Lorenzo Musetti of Italy a hand after Musetti retired in the fourth set. Photo by Susan Mullane via Imagn Images

It's the final many predicted and even more desired as the world's best tennis players, Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, square off in today's French Open Final from Roland Garros (9 a.m. ET, TNT).

Our Sinner vs. Alcaraz predictions expect a classic final while backing the marginal favorite across our best sports betting sites. We've also offered our best pick for the match.

💰 Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz predictions

Pick to win: Carlos Alcaraz (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Best pick: Jannik Sinner to win in five sets (+500 via FanDuel) or Carlos Alcaraz to win in five sets (+490 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

📈 Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz odds

French Open odds via bet365 with pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale as of Sunday, June 8.

	Jannik Sinner	Carlos Alcaraz
Moneyline	-110	-110
Spread	-0.5 (-110)	+0.5 (-125)
Over/Under	Over 40.5 games (-120)	Under 40.5 games (-120)

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🏆 Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz pick to win

Carlos Alcaraz ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 52.38%

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There are arguments to be made for both players to win this final. For Sinner, he has not dropped a set all tournament and enters with a 20-match Grand Slam winning streak, while winning 29 consecutive sets in Majors. And his serve has been lights out, with an incredible streak of 63 consecutive service holds snapped in his semifinal match against Novak Djokovic.

For Alcaraz, he owns the 7-4 head-to-head advantage in this matchup, including a recent win on clay in the Rome final just a few weeks ago. Alcaraz also has the experience of playing in a Roland Garros final before which Sinner has not, and clay is clearly the Spaniard's preferred surface and Sinner’s least-preferred.

Alcaraz has left little doubt who the best clay-court player in the world is currently, winning 21 of his 22 matches on the surface this season. So despite Sinner’s impressive dominance en route to the final, Alcaraz is the better player on clay and holds a 2-1 edge in Grand Slams against Sinner, which tips the scale in favor of us backing the Spaniard.

I am headed to DraftKings for this wager, the only one of our best sports betting apps listing Alcaraz as the underdog.

🎾 Best Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz pick

Sinner to win in five sets (+500) or Alcaraz to win in five sets (+490) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +500 and +490 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 16.67%/16.95%

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The true coin-flip feel surrounding this match means we should be in for a doozy. I am going to sit back and root for this match to go the distance, which it has a great chance to do since Sinner and Alcaraz have -225 odds each (carrying a 69.23% implied probability) to each win at least two sets at DraftKings.

Two of the three meetings at a Grand Slam between these players has gone five sets (their 2022 Wimbledon encounter lasted four sets), and six of their 11 meetings overall have gone the distance.

The best odds for this match to go five sets in the three-way set market is +210 at BetMGM. Thus, one can return a much bigger payday by placing two separate wagers on each player to win three sets to two based on the set betting odds at FanDuel.

🤼‍♂️ Sinner vs. Alcaraz H2H stats

Jannik Sinner	Stat	Carlos Alcaraz
4	Matches won	7
1	Wins in straight sets	3
15	Sets won	19
177	Games won	170
1	Wins on clay	2

👉 French Open final match info

🗓️ When: Sunday, June 8 (9 a.m. ET)
📍 Where: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)
📺 TV: TNT
💸 Favorite: Alcaraz (-115 via BetMGM)

💵 How to bet the French Open

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Written By:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”