Hungarian Grand Prix Odds, Prediction 2025 Today: Hungarian GP Expert Picks & Long Shot

Charles Leclerc stormed to pole position after finishing first in qualifying, but will he be able to do it again in today's Hungarian Grand Prix?
Hungarian Grand Prix Prediction, Odds 2025: F1 Hungarian GP Expert Picks, Long Shot for Today
Pictured: Oscar Piastri, Charles Leclerc, and Lando Norris after qualifying in Budapest as we offer our Hungarian Grand Prix Prediction, Odds. Photo by Hoch Zwei via Imagn Images

Charles Leclerc earned Ferrari its first pole position of the season as we explore what it means in our Hungarian Grand Prix prediction and odds. 

Despite taking pole, Leclerc is receiving the third-shortest odds at our best sports betting sites. Oscar Piastri, the F1 Championship odds favorite, is receiving the shortest odds after finishing behind Leclerc in qualifying. 

Our picks below feature the Aussie driver for today's Hungarian Grand Prix from Hungaroring in Budapest (9 a.m. ET, ESPN). 

👉 For more coverage, check out our Hungarian Grand Prix best bets

🥇Hungarian Grand Prix odds & favorites 2025🥇

Hungarian Grand Prix odds via BetMGM as of Sunday, Aug. 3 

Driver BetMGM Implied probability Profit ($10 bet)
Oscar Piastri -110 52.38% $9.09
Lando Norris +175 36.36% $17.50
Charles Leclerc +350 22.22% $35
George Russell  +2200 4.35% $220
Max Verstappen +4000 2.44% $400
Fernando Alonso +4000 2.44% $400
Lewis Hamilton +10000 0.99% $1,000
Lance Stroll +10000 0.99% $1,000
Kimi Antonelli +25000 0.4% $2,500
Gabriel Bortoleto +25000 0.4% $2,500
Liam Lawson +50000 0.20% $5,000
Isack Hadjar +100000 0.10% $10,000
Oilver Bearman +100000 0.10% $10,000
Carlos Sainz +150000 0.07% $15,000
Nico Hulkenberg +150000 0.07% $15,000
Esteban Ocon +200000 0.05% $20,000
Alex Albon +250000 0.04% $25,000
Pierre Gasly +250000 0.04% $25,000
Yuki Tsunoda +250000 0.04% $25,000
Franco Colapinto +250000 0.04% $25,000

🔢 Hungarian Grand Prix odds movement 

Odds movement via BetMGM as of Sunday, Aug. 3 (after Qualifying)

  • Piastri's odds shortened from +125 to -110
  • Norris' odds lengthened from -110 to +175
  • Charles Leclerc's odds shortened from +1000 to +350
  • George Russell's odds shortened from +4000 to +2200
  • Max Verstappen's odds lengthened from +1400 to +4000
  • Fernando Alonso's odds shortened from +25000 to +4000
  • Lewis Hamilton's odds lengthened from +2000 to +10000
  • Lance Stroll's odds shortened from +25000 to +10000
  • Gabriel Bortoleto's odds shortened from +200000 to +25000

📈 Hungarian Grand Prix Qualifying results 

  1. Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
  2. Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
  3. Lando Norris (McLaren)
  4. George Russell (Mercedes)
  5. Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
  6. Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)
  7. Gabriel Bortoleto (Kick Sauber)
  8. Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
  9. Liam Lawson (Racing Bulls)
  10. Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)

💰 Hungarian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win

Here are my best Hungarian Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Hungaroring based on the latest odds from the best sports betting apps

Editor's note: Picks were made Monday, July 28. Refer to above table for updated odds. 

🏆 Pick to win Hungarian Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +162 via bet365 ($10 to win $16.20)
🔢 Implied probability: 38.17%

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Piastri not only came through at the Belgian Grand Prix to break his three-race winless streak, but he also punched another winning ticket for yours truly.

I'm doubling down on the Australian in Hungary for a few key reasons. 

After winning at the Hungaroring last year, he returns to the site of his first Formula One victory brimming with confidence.

The momentum he gained from his impressive, almost flawless race at Spa last week should provide the mindset he requires to hold off his ever-lurking teammate and the rest of the field. 

When he's at his peak, Piastri has been the elite driver this season. He only has himself to blame when he loses, often the victim of self-inflicted blunders. Excluding those avoidable mistakes, Piastri is the master of his domain, flourishing in a symbiotic relationship with the MCL39, the undisputed best car on the circuit. 

bet365 offers the longest odds, albeit marginally, of the best sports betting apps

💎 Best value bet to win Hungarian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +600 via DraftKings ($10 to win $60)
🔢 Implied probability: 14.29%

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Make it zero wins in the last six races for the four-time defending champion. His fourth-place finish, however, was more due to an unfortunate set of circumstances, as well as his team putting too many eggs in one basket.

Following his imperious display in the Sprint, in which he finished first, Red Bull overcompensated and heaped on the downforce in anticipation of a wet race.

Unfortunately, the 80-minute rain delay proved costly as he conceded any straight-line advantage from the onset after a rolling start was implemented. 

The silver lining is that Verstappen won the Sprint, finishing on the podium for the first time in an event since May.

Additionally, the Hungaroring is perceived as Monaco without walls due to its few passing opportunities. If the Dutchman can secure pole position, he has an excellent opportunity to win for the first time in seven races. 

🎯 Best long shot to win Hungarian Grand Prix: Lewis Hamilton ⭐⭐⭐

Hungarian Grand Prix Predictions, Odds 2025: F1 Expert Picks & Long Shot at Hungaroring
Pictured: Lewis Hamilton at the Belgian Grand Prix as we offer our Hungarian Grand Prix Predictions. Photo by Federico Basile via Imagn Images 

📊 Best odds: +1800 via DraftKings
🔢 Implied probability: 5.26%

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By now, you know that any long-shot pick is futile. Even Hamilton at +1800 is a wager with minimal upside. The Ferrari driver endured a nightmare Belgian Grand Prix, inspiring about as much confidence as Verstappen has in the rest of his team. 

However, Hamilton showed some promising signs at Spa, moving up from his pit-lane starting spot to secure seventh place. While Hamilton won't remember it as a career highlight, or at all for that matter, at least he showed some fightback in a difficult spot. 

The other reason to hope and pray for a miracle is his eight wins in Hungary, the most of any driver. He hasn't won in Budapest since 2020, though. 

Of our best sportsbooks, DraftKings offers the best price. 

🏆 Past Hungarian Grand Prix winners

Here is a look at the last 10 Hungarian Grand Prix winners. 

Year Driver Team
2024 🇦🇺 Oscar Piastri McLaren-Mercedes
2023 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT
2022 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing-RBPT
2021 🇫🇷 Esteban Ocon Alpine-Renault
2020 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2019 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2018 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2017 🇩🇪 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari 
2016 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2015 🇩🇪 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari

📈 Hungarian Grand Prix trends & history

🏎️ Mercedes has taken four of the past five pole positions 
🏎️ The 2025 edition marks the 40th Hungarian Grand Prix 
🏎️ Jenson Button won in 2006, securing victory despite starting 14th on the grid. It was the lowest winning start at the Hungaroring
🏎️ The Hungarian Grand Prix debuted in 1986 
🏎️ Norris had pole position last year but finished second behind Piastri, who secured his first Formula One victory
🏎️ McLaren has the most wins at the Hungarian Grand Prix (11)
🏎️ Hamilton holds the lap record (1:16.627), which he set in 2020
🏎️ Hamilton has won the most pole positions (9) 
🏎️ Hamilton has won the most Hungarian Grand Prix races (8)
🏎️ 16 of 39 pole-sitters went on to win the Hungarian Grand Prix

📺 How to watch the 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix

📅 Race date: Sunday, Aug. 3
🕒 Start time: 9 a.m. ET
📍 Track: The Hungaroring (Budapest, Hungary)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
☁️ Weather: 81 degrees, 8-mph to 11-mph winds, 90% chance of precipitation (1-3 mm)

🗓️  Hungarian Grand Prix schedule

  • Practice 1: Aug. 1, 7:30 a.m. ET - 8:30 a.m. ET
  • Practice 2: Aug. 1, 11 a.m. ET - noon ET
  • Practice 3: Aug. 2, 6:30 a.m. ET - 7:30 a.m. ET
  • Qualifying: Aug. 2, 10 a.m. ET - 11 a.m. ET
  • Race: Aug. 3, 9 a.m. ET

❓ Hungarian Grand Prix FAQs

Who is favored to win the Hungarian Grand Prix?

Oscar Piastri is the Hungarian Grand Prix odds favorite, with the McLaren driver trading at -110 at BetMGM.

What are the odds for the Belgian Grand Prix?

Oscar Piastri (-110), Lando Norris (+175), and Charles Leclerc (+350) are getting the shortest odds to win the Hungarian Grand Prix at BetMGM.

What time is the 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix?

The Hungarian Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 3 

How to watch the 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix

You can watch the Hungarian Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.

Who has won the most Hungarian Grand Prix races?

Lewis Hamilton has won the most Hungarian Grand Prix races (8). 

🏎️ Best F1 betting sites

Want to bet on the Hungarian Grand Prix? Check out the best sports betting sites for F1 ahead of this weekend's race:  

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