Hungarian Grand Prix Predictions, Odds 2025: Hungarian GP F1 Expert Picks & Long Shot for Sunday
Can Oscar Piastri win his seventh race of the season at Hungaroring in Budapest, Hungary, on Sunday (9 a.m. ET, ESPN)? I analyze his chances in the Hungarian Grand Prix odds and predictions.
While Piastri - the Hungarian Grand Prix odds favorite at our best F1 betting sites alongside Lando Norris - is the centrepiece of my picks, Max Verstappen and Lewis Hamilton also feature.
🥇2025 Hungarian Grand Prix odds & favorites 2025🥇
Hungarian Grand Prix odds via BetMGM as of Tuesday, July 29.
| Driver | BetMGM | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | +140 | 41.67% | $14 |
| Oscar Piastri | +150 | 40% | $15 |
| Max Verstappen | +500 | 16.67% | $50 |
| Charles Leclerc | +900 | 10% | $90 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| George Russell | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Alex Albon | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Fernando Alonso | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Carlos Sainz | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Isack Hadjar | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Liam Lawson | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Esteban Ocon | +40000 | 0.25% | $4,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +40000 | 0.25% | $4,000 |
| Oilver Bearman | +40000 | 0.25% | $4,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +100000 | 0.07% | $15,000 |
💰 Hungarian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
Here are my best Hungarian Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at the Hungaroring based on the latest odds from the best sports betting apps.
🏆 Pick to win Hungarian Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +162 via bet365 ($10 to win $16.20)
🔢 Implied probability: 38.17%
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Piastri not only came through at the Belgian Grand Prix to break his three-race winless streak, but he also punched another winning ticket for yours truly.
I'm doubling down on the Australian in Hungary for a few key reasons.
After winning at the Hungaroring last year, he returns to the site of his first Formula One victory brimming with confidence.
The momentum he gained from his impressive, almost flawless race at Spa last week should provide the mindset he requires to hold off his ever-lurking teammate and the rest of the field.
When he's at his peak, Piastri has been the elite driver this season. He only has himself to blame when he loses, often the victim of self-inflicted blunders. Excluding those avoidable mistakes, Piastri is the master of his domain, flourishing in a symbiotic relationship with the MCL39, the undisputed best car on the circuit.
bet365 offers the longest odds, albeit marginally, of the best sports betting apps.
💎 Best value bet to win Hungarian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +600 via DraftKings ($10 to win $60)
🔢 Implied probability: 14.29%
Bet $5, Get $150 + $1K Deposit Bonus
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Make it zero wins in the last six races for the four-time defending champion. His fourth-place finish, however, was more due to an unfortunate set of circumstances, as well as his team putting too many eggs in one basket.
Following his imperious display in the Sprint, in which he finished first, Red Bull overcompensated and heaped on the downforce in anticipation of a wet race.
Unfortunately, the 80-minute rain delay proved costly as he conceded any straight-line advantage from the onset after a rolling start was implemented.
The silver lining is that Verstappen won the Sprint, finishing on the podium for the first time in an event since May.
Additionally, the Hungaroring is perceived as Monaco without walls due to its few passing opportunities. If the Dutchman can secure pole position, he has an excellent opportunity to win for the first time in seven races.
🎯 Best long shot to win Hungarian Grand Prix: Lewis Hamilton ⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +1800 via DraftKings
🔢 Implied probability: 5.26%
Bet $5, Get $150 + $1K Deposit Bonus
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By now, you know that any long-shot pick is futile. Even Hamilton at +1800 is a wager with minimal upside. The Ferrari driver endured a nightmare Belgian Grand Prix, inspiring about as much confidence as Verstappen has in the rest of his team.
However, Hamilton showed some promising signs at Spa, moving up from his pit-lane starting spot to secure seventh place. While Hamilton won't remember it as a career highlight, or at all for that matter, at least he showed some fightback in a difficult spot.
The other reason to hope and pray for a miracle is his eight wins in Hungary, the most of any driver. He hasn't won in Budapest since 2020, though.
Of our best sportsbooks, DraftKings offers the best price.
🏆 Past Hungarian Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last 10 Hungarian Grand Prix winners.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 🇦🇺 Oscar Piastri | McLaren-Mercedes |
| 2023 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-RBPT |
| 2021 | 🇫🇷 Esteban Ocon | Alpine-Renault |
| 2020 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2019 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2018 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2017 | 🇩🇪 Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2016 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2015 | 🇩🇪 Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
📈 Hungarian Grand Prix trends & history
🏎️ Mercedes has taken four of the past five pole positions
🏎️ The 2025 edition marks the 40th Hungarian Grand Prix
🏎️ Jenson Button won in 2006, securing victory despite starting 14th on the grid. It was the lowest winning start at the Hungaroring
🏎️ The Hungarian Grand Prix debuted in 1986
🏎️ Norris had pole position last year but finished second behind Piastri, who secured his first Formula One victory
🏎️ McLaren has the most wins at the Hungarian Grand Prix (11)
🏎️ Hamilton holds the lap record (1:16.627), which he set in 2020
🏎️ Hamilton has won the most pole positions (9)
🏎️ Hamilton has won the most Hungarian Grand Prix races (8)
🏎️ 16 of 39 pole-sitters went on to win the Hungarian Grand Prix
📺 How to watch the 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix
📅 Race date: Sunday, Aug. 3
🕒 Start time: 9 a.m. ET
📍 Track: The Hungaroring (Budapest, Hungary)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
☁️ Weather: 81 degrees, 8-mph to 11-mph winds, 90% chance of precipitation (1-3 mm)
❓ Hungarian Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Hungarian Grand Prix?
Lando Norris is the Hungarian Grand Prix odds favorite, with the McLaren driver trading at +150 at BetMGM.
What are the odds for the Belgian Grand Prix?
Lando Norris (+150), Oscar Piastri (+160), and Max Verstappen (+500) are getting the shortest odds to win the Hungarian Grand Prix at BetMGM.
What time is the 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix?
The Hungarian Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 3
How to watch the 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix
You can watch the Hungarian Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.
Who has won the most Hungarian Grand Prix races?
Lewis Hamilton has won the most Hungarian Grand Prix races (8).
🏎️ Best F1 betting sites
Want to bet on the Hungarian Grand Prix? Check out the best sports betting sites for F1 ahead of this weekend's race:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
