Grammys Odds & Betting Predictions 2026: Kendrick Lamar Looks for Repeat Record of the Year

Nominations for the 2026 Grammy Awards have been announced, and we now have Grammys odds and betting predictions for all of the major categories. After sweeping Song of the Year and Record of the Year last year, Kendrick Lamar leads all artists with nine nominations, and he's favored in many key categories. Will he have another big night, or can artists like Lady Gaga, Bad Bunny, or even KPop Demon Hunters possibly dethrone him?

Odds are provided by FanDuel Canada. See all 2026 Grammys nominees here.

🎙️ Grammys odds & betting predictions

Here are the betting favorites and my best predictions for all the biggest Grammys categories.

📊 Grammy odds & betting favorites

🎧 Album of the Year odds

Kendrick Lamar cleaned up at last year's Grammy Awards, taking home Record of the Year, Song of the Year, Best Rap Song, Best Rap Performance, and Best Music Video. This year, he's once again favored in numerous major categories, including Album of the Year. While his odds of +100 give him just a 50% chance of winning, it could be worth backing GNX early, especially if it turns out Kendrick is as popular as he was last year.

That said, there are plenty of other legitimate contenders in this category. Sabrina Carpenter won two Grammys last year, and she finds herself with the fourth-shortest odds in this category for Man's Best Friend. Meanwhile, Debi Tirar Mas Fotos could garner a lot of attention as the ceremony approaches, especially with Bad Bunny playing halftime at the Super Bowl on Sunday, Feb. 8.

Then there is Lady Gaga, who receives her fourth nomination in this category for Mayhem. She's won 14 Grammys, but she's yet to take home Album of the Year. While the Grammys could elect to give her an overdue win, I think all the momentum will be behind Bad Bunny in February, so it's best to get in on him now.

My pick: Debi Tirar Mas Fotos - Bad Bunny (+300)

🎛️ Record of the Year odds

Last year, Kendrick's "Not Like Us" became just the second rap song to win Record of the Year at the Grammys. While I completely understand why "Luther" has so much momentum following this year's nominations, I can't help but think it's being overvalued with odds of -150.

In my Album of the Year discussion, I mentioned Bad Bunny having a lot of momentum entering Grammy night. However, I do think that his odds of winning in this category are hindered by the fact that Lady Gaga is nominated.

Lady Gaga was first nominated in this category for "Poker Face" in 2010, and she didn't earn her second nomination until 2019, when she was nominated for "Shallow" with Bradley Cooper. She was nominated again in 2022 for "I Get a Kick Out of You", this time alongside Tony Bennett. Voters have been willing to nominate her for a variety of sounds, and now that she's nominated again for the sound that made her who she is, I expect voters to reward her for it.

My pick: Abracadabra - Lady Gaga (+250)

🎶 Song of the Year odds

Winning both Record of the Year and Song of the Year is a coin flip, as six of the last 12 winners of Record of the Year have also gone on to win Song of the Year. This means that, despite thinking "Abracadabra" provides the most value in the Record of the Year category, it's far from a guarantee that Lady Gaga will win both of these awards.

While "Luther" is also favored in this category, I still think that a lot of the hype around Kendrick Lamar is stemming from his incredible Grammy night in 2025. Therefore, I think this award could actually be won by a song not nominated for Record of the Year.

"Golden", from the Netflix film KPop Demon Hunters, is one of two K-pop songs nominated in this category (APT by Rose and Bruno Mars is the other). But it's hard to understate how massive KPop Demon Hunters is, as it's the most popular Netflix film of all time. In recent years, songs associated with popular films have tended to get nominated but ultimately lose. A K-pop song has never won this award, but the hype around the film may be enough to carry "Golden" over the finish line.

My pick: Golden - KPop Demon Hunters (+650)

🆕 Best New Artist odds

Considering Leon Thomas is the only artist nominated in this category and for Album of the Year, I'm genuinely shocked Olivia Dean's odds are so low. While there are generally surprises on Grammy night, I'm anticipating Thomas' odds shooting through the roof as Feb. 1 approaches. Therefore, my best recommendation is to get in on him before this number drops below -500. And if you insist on taking a dark horse, then I'd jump over Dean and instead focus on Addison Rae at +3300.

My pick: Leon Thomas (-180)

⭐ Best Pop Solo odds

With "Disease", "Messy", and "Daisies" left without nominations in the Record of the Year or Song of the Year categories, it's safe to assume this is a two-horse race. Right now, oddsmakers heavily favor "Manchild" by Sabrina Carpenter, perhaps because she won this award for "Espresso" last year. That said, as the Grammys get closer, I expect the gap between "Manchild" and "The Subway" to shrink. Therefore, I recommend getting in on "The Subway" now, as current odds are giving Chappell Roan just a 22.73% chance to win this award.

My pick: The Subway - Chappell Roan (+340)

🎤 Best Rap Album odds

Three of the albums in this category are nominated for Album of the Year, but it doesn't matter. This is Kendrick Lamar's category to lose. The odds indicate that Lamar is the heaviest favorite of the night in this category, and a $10 bet would profit just $1.43. Perhaps that means backing Tyler the Creator at +700 has some value. After all, he has won this category twice (2020 & 2022). But with how beloved Kendrick Lamar currently is, you'd ultimately be wasting money.

My pick: GNX - Kendrick Lamar (-700)

🥁 Best Rock Album odds

This is the first time that four of the nominees have been nominated in this category, with only Linkin Park earning a previous nod (2002). For a category that feels so wide open, it seems odd that Private Music by Deftones is being given a 67.74% chance of winning, especially when the band's only previous Grammy was for Best Metal Performance. Linkin Park joins Deftones as the only band in this category with a previous Grammy win, but their last came in 2006 when Chester Bennington was the lead singer. This is one of the more wide-open categories of the night, so I'm going to back Never Enough by Turnstile, a band nominated for five Grammys this year.

My pick: Turnstile - Never Enough (+850)

❓ Grammy Awards FAQs

When will the 2026 Grammy Awards take place?

The 2026 Grammy Awards will take place on Sunday, Feb. 1, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET.

Where are the Grammy Awards held?

The Grammy Awards are held at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles.

Who will host the Grammy Awards?

The host for the Grammy Awards has not yet been announced.

How can I watch the Grammy Awards?

You can watch the Grammy Awards on CBS or stream live on Paramount+.