Canadian Grand Prix Picks, Predictions & Odds 2024: McLaren Shines in Wet Conditions

We make our top picks and predictions for the 2024 Canadian Grand Prix based on the best F1 odds for the circuit's stop on Montreal, Quebec with Max Verstappen assuming his regular position as the betting favorite.

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: June 9, 2024 2:00 PM EDT • 4 minute read

On Sunday, the 53rd Canadian Grand Prix takes place on what could be a wet Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Montreal as we provide our Canadian Grand Prix picks and predictions based on the F1 odds from our best F1 betting sites.

George Russell took pole position for the Canadian Grand Prix, with Max Verstappen sliding in at the No. 2 position. Lando Norris, our pick to win the event, starts at third on the grid. The ninth race of the 2024 season is scheduled to start at 2 p.m. ET on ABC.

Max Verstappen, the favorite according to the Canadian Grand Prix odds, aims to secure his third consecutive victory in Montreal and his sixth win out of nine races this season. While Verstappen is expected to be a strong contender for the Canadian GP title, Red Bull Racing continues to grapple with curb-riding issues since the Monaco Grand Prix, potentially providing an opportunity for McLaren and Ferrari to capitalize.

Here are our picks and predictions based on the F1 odds for the Canadian Grand Prix.

Canadian Grand Prix picks

Odds via our best sports betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Favorite: Lando Norris (+450 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Long shot: Carlos Sainz (+2800 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Prop: Charles Leclerc fastest lap (+650 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

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Canadian Grand Prix odds 2024

(Odds as of Sunday at 9:30 a.m. ET)

Driver	DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	bet365
Max Verstappen	-190 ❄️	-145	-161	-137 🔥	-150
George Russell	+400	+360	+350 ❄️	+375	+400
Lando Norris	+650 🔥	+500	+500	+450	+400 ❄️
Oscar Piastri	+1000 ❄️	+1500 🔥	+1400	+1400	+1400
Lewis Hamilton	+2000 🔥	+1600	+1400 ❄️	+1600	+1600
Charles Leclerc	+5500	+5500	+2500 ❄️	+5000	+4000
Fernando Alonso	+7000 🔥	+6000	+4000	+6600	+6600
Carlos Sainz	+9000 🔥	+7000 ❄️	+8000	+8000	+8000
Daniel Ricciardo	+15000 🔥	+11000	+8000 ❄️	+12500	+15000

Canadian Grand Prix predictions

Favorite: Lando Norris (+500 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

While Lando Norris had the fastest lap time in the first, somewhat meaningless practice session, this pick is more based on a combination of Red Bull's recent difficulties and Norris' excellent recent form.

Norris won the Miami Grand Prix, joining Ferrari's Carlos Sainz and Charles Leclerc as the trio of race winners this season not named Verstappen. The Englishman has been held off the podium just once in his last four races, finishing second at the Chinese Grand Prix and Imola while securing a fourth-place finish last time out in Monaco. The conditions are expected to be wet, which should favor McLaren's superior ability to handle the increased number of tight corners.

At +500, FanDuel's odds imply a probability of 16.67%, and a $10 bet pays a profit of $50 if it hits.

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Long shot: Carlos Sainz (+2800 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Carlos Sainz won the Australian Grand Prix and has been persistently knocking on the door for most of the season, finishing third in three races and fifth three times.

Ferrari didn't feel they needed to make any improvements in advance of the Canadian Grand Prix, which makes sense considering their first and second-place finishes in Monaco.

The +2800 odds at FanDuel are too good to pass up. You'll want to jump on them as soon as possible, as they should shorten by Sunday afternoon, barring a disastrous qualification. The odds imply a probability of 3.45%, and a $10 bet would pay a profit of $280 if he takes the checkered flag.

Prop: Charles Leclerc fastest lap (+650 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Leclerc enters the Canadian GP neck and neck with Norris as the second favorite. He's brimming with confidence after winning in Monaco and registered the fastest lap in Saudi Arabia and Australia earlier in the season. Ferrari should have a slight advantage over Red Bull if the conditions are wet.

That said, I expect Verstappen to be in the running for the fastest lap along with Norris and, as a potential outsider, Lewis Hamilton. Leclerc, though, will be looking forward to extending the momentum from Monaco into the Canadian GP.

At +650, FanDuel's odds imply a probability of 13.33%, and a $10 bet will pay a profit of $65.

Previous Canadian Grand Prix winners

Year	Driver	Team
2023	Max Verstappen	Red Bull
2022	Max Verstappen	Red Bull
2021	Event Canceled	Event Canceled
2020	Event Canceled	Event Canceled
2019	Lewis Hamilton	Mercedes
2018	Sebastian Vettel	Ferrari
2017	Lewis Hamilton	Mercedes
2016	Lewis Hamilton	Mercedes
2015	Lewis Hamilton	Mercedes
2014	Daniel Ricciardo	Red Bull-Renault

Canadian Grand Prix info

Date: Sunday, June 9, 2 p.m. ET
Location: Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, Montreal, Quebec
How to watch: ESPN+, ABC, TSN4
Defending winner: Max Verstappen

Canadian GP picks made Friday at 4 p.m. ET

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Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.