Lions vs. Redblacks Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: CFL Week 14 Best Bets
The Ottawa Redblacks host the BC Lions tonight at 7:30 p.m. ET (TSN, CBSSN) from TD Place in Ottawa without starting QB Dru Brown. Given Brown's absence, my Lions vs. Redblacks prediction is banking on Nathan Rourke and Co. to cover as 6.5-point betting favorites as part of my CFL picks for Week 14.
🏈 Lions vs. Redblacks predictions
CFL expert picks made Friday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Lions (-260 via bet365) ⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Lions -6.5 (-105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 55 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Lions vs. Redblacks preview & best bet
🦁 Lions -6.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Ottawa is the worst team in the CFL this year, and without Brown behind center in their last outing, they lost by 10 at home to the league's second-worst team, the Edmonton Elks. This season, the Redblacks are 1-4 ATS in games Brown throws fewer than 10 passes, or doesn't start due to injury.
So while the Lions' defense has blatant issues that could stop them from being a Grey Cup odds contender, they have the offense to outpace Ottawa and cover the 6.5-point spread with a victory by 7 or more points. BC is No. 4 in the league in points per game (27.9) and No. 1 in yards per game (429.6), and the Redblacks' defense is among the worst - they allow 28.7 points per game.
With Nathan Rourke throwing to one of the best receiving corps in the CFL, led by Keon Hatcher and Justin McInnis, the Lions should be able to cover for the third time in four games. If they can cover, which has a 51.22% probability of happening, a $10 bet pays a $9.52 profit.
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💰 Best Lions vs. Redblacks player prop bet
⬆️ Nathan Rourke Over 330.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Though Rourke hasn't been a threat in the CFL Most Outstanding Player odds race since dealing with an early-season injury, he's certainly played like one of the league's top passers since returning to the field.
The Canadian is third in the CFL in passing yards (3,012), despite only starting nine games this season, and has gone Over 330.5 passing yards in five of his seven games back since missing time due to injury. Over that span, Rourke is averaging 348.4 passing yards per game.
If the Ohio product throws for more than 330 passing yards again (53.49% probability), a $10 bet pays an $8.70 profit.
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📊 Lions vs. Redblacks odds: Week 14
CFL odds update live in real time.
📈 Lions vs. Redblacks betting odds analysis
The Lions are 6.5 to 7.5-point betting favorites on the road against a Redblacks team that has the worst record in the CFL (3-8). With Brown set to miss the game, and BC's passing attack being among the league's most explosive, I could see this spread moving another point in the Lions' direction by kickoff. BC opened as just a 4.5-point favorite.
🔢 Lions vs. Redblacks stats
Season stats courtesy of CFL.ca.
| Lions (5-6) | Statistic (per game) | Redblacks (3-8) |
|---|---|---|
| 27.9 | Points | 24.7 |
| 29.5 | Points allowed | 28.7 |
| 319.3 | Passing yards | 252.7 |
| 110.4 | Rushing yards | 98.0 |
| 249.6 | Passing yards allowed | 274.4 |
| 107.2 | Rushing yards allowed | 87.8 |
🚑 Lions vs. Redblacks key injuries
| Lions | Redblacks |
|---|---|
| Garry Peters, DB (knee - questionable) | Dru Brown, QB (knee - out) |
| Christian Covington (knee - questionable) |
📺 Lions vs. Redblacks game info
- When: Friday, Sept. 5
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: TD Place (Ottawa, Ontario)
- How to watch: TSN, CBSSN
❓ Lions vs. Redblacks FAQs
Who is favored to win Lions vs. Redblacks?
The Lions are a -260 moneyline favorite against the Redblacks.
What is the spread for Lions vs. Redblacks?
The Lions are a 6.5-point betting favorite on the road against the Redblacks.
What is the Over/Under for Lions vs. Redblacks?
The Over/Under for Lions vs. Redblacks is 55.
What are the best bets for Lions vs. Redblacks?
The best bets for Lions vs. Redblacks are BC -6.5 (-105) and Nathan Rourke Over 330.5 passing yards (-115).
When is the Lions vs. Redblacks game?
The Lions vs. Redblacks game is tonight at 7:30 p.m. ET (TSN, CBSSN) from TD Place in Ottawa.
How do CFL odds work?
When betting on the CFL, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -3 must win by more than 3 points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +3 must win outright or lose by fewer than 3 points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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