Elks vs. Tiger-Cats Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: CFL Week 16 Best Bets
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look to win a third straight game when they play host to the Edmonton Elks tonight at 7 p.m. ET (TSN/RDS2, CFL+) from Hamilton Stadium. My Elks vs. Tiger-Cats prediction expects Bo Levi Mitchell to carry Hamilton to a major win as a 5.5-point betting favorite.
My CFL picks also target Mitchell's passing yards, with the CFL Most Outstanding Player odds leader poised for another strong outing.
Elks vs. Tiger-Cats prediction
CFL odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Tiger-Cats (-238 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Tiger-Cats -5.5 (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 56 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
Elks vs. Tiger-Cats best bet
Tiger-Cats -5.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Tiger-Cats have the second-best ATS record in the CFL (7-6) after winning their last two games by double digits. Hamilton beat the Winnipeg Blue Bombers by 11 as a 7.5-point betting favorite, and the Montreal Alouettes by 17 as a 3-point betting favorite. Normally, the Tiger-Cats win despite their defense, but it's been playing a lot better the last two weeks and should keep it up against the struggling Elks.
Edmonton is second-last in the CFL in points per game (23.8) and last in yards per game (318.8). In two of their last three games, the Elks have failed to score 20-plus points, and the last time they played Hamilton, they failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog at home.
With Mitchell leading one of the CFL's top offensive attacks - Hamilton is second in the league in points per game (30.1) and third in yards per game (382.4) - Edmonton could find itself in a major hole. The Elks are allowing the most yards per game in the league (379.0).
If Hamilton can cover, it has a 51.92% probability of doing so, a $10 bet pays a $9.26 profit.
Best Elks vs. Tiger-Cats player prop bet
Bo Levi Mitchell Over 315.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The reason Hamilton is a Grey Cup odds contender is because of Mitchell, who is having one of the best seasons of his career. The two-time CFL MOP leads the CFL in passing touchdowns (26) and sits second in the league in passing yards (3,883).
The Eastern Washington product toasted the Elks the last time he played them, throwing for 350 passing yards. He should get close to that number again with Edmonton allowing the most passing yards per game in the league (287.8).
If Mitchell can throw for Over 315.5 yards against the Elks for the second time this season, and the seventh time overall this year, a $10 bet at DraftKings pays an $8.70 profit.
Elks vs. Tiger-Cats odds: Week 16
CFL odds update live in real time.
Elks vs. Tiger-Cats betting odds analysis
The line hasn't seen much movement since the Tiger-Cats opened between a 5.5 and 6-point betting favorite at our best sports betting sites. With how well Hamilton's defense has complemented its explosive offense the last two weeks, I'd be comfortable betting on Hamilton to cover up to a 6.5-point spread. And while I'd take the Over with Hamilton being one of the better Over teams in the league, I'd avoid betting it if the game total is higher than 56.5.
Elks vs. Tiger-Cats stats
Season stats courtesy of CFL.ca.
| Elks (5-8) | Statistic (per game) | Tiger-Cats (8-5) |
|---|---|---|
| 23.8 | Points | 30.1 |
| 27.6 | Points allowed | 26.8 |
| 217.2 | Passing yards | 290.7 |
| 101.5 | Rushing yards | 91.7 |
| 287.8 | Passing yards allowed | 264.8 |
| 91.2 | Rushing yards allowed | 110.5 |
Elks vs. Tiger-Cats injury report
Courtesy of the CFL Week 16 injury report.
| Elks | Tiger-Cats |
|---|---|
| Nick Anderson, LB (hip - out) | |
| Royce Matchie, DB (achilles - out) |
Elks vs. Tiger-Cats game info
- When: Saturday, Sept. 20
- Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Hamilton Stadium (Hamilton, Ontario)
- How to watch: TSN/RDS2, CFL+
Elks vs. Tiger-Cats FAQs
Who is favored to win Elks vs. Tiger-Cats?
The Tiger-Cats are -238 moneyline favorites against the Elks.
What is the spread for Elks vs. Tiger-Cats?
The Tiger-Cats are 5.5-point betting favorites against the Elks.
What is the Over/Under for Elks vs. Tiger-Cats?
The Over/Under for Elks vs. Tiger-Cats is between 56 and 57 points.
What are the best bets for Elks vs. Tiger-Cats?
The best bets for Elks vs. Tiger-Cats are Hamilton covering as 5.5-point betting favorites and Over 315.5 passing yards for Bo Levi Mitchell (-115).
When is the Elks vs. Tiger-Cats game?
The Elks vs. Tiger-Cats game is Saturday, Sept. 20, at 7 p.m. ET (TSN/RDS2, CFL+) from Hamilton Stadium in Hamilton, Ontario.
How do CFL odds work?
When betting on the CFL, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -3 must win by more than 3 points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +3 must win outright or lose by fewer than 3 points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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