Canelo Alvarez vs. William Scull Fight Prediction: Latest Odds & Expert Picks Tonight
Canelo Alvarez meets William Scull tonight at ANB Arena with undisputed super middleweight supremacy on the line, as we offer our Canelo vs. Scull prediction.
Alvarez claimed a unanimous verdict over Edgar Berlanga in his last fight seven month ago, which marked his fifth straight win to bring his record to 62-2-2. The champ puts his WBA, WBO, and WBC straps on the line tonight after vacating the IBF crown before his September date with Berlanga.
Meanwhile, Scull recently claimed that IBF title in October with a decision over Vladimir Shishkin. The mandatory challenger now heads to Saudi Arabia with a spotless pro slate of 23-0, with 14 of his victories requiring participation from the judges.
🥊 Canelo vs. Scull prediction & fight preview
Mandatory challengers often get a bad rap, but Canelo will prove that Scull is exactly that and nothing more.
Yes, Scull enjoys a slight edge in reach and four inches more in height. But Canelo has fought and beaten many larger foes before, and far better men than Scull's opponents.
Aside from the obvious edge in strength of schedule, the triple titleholder is the far superior technician of this pair, boasting cleaner footwork, cage-cutting ability, and combination punching. Scull rarely throws more than a punch or two at a time and is often sloppy with his guard, which means Canelo will enjoy oodles of openings to exploit from the opening bell.
This fight should feature Canelo soundly outclassing a game, yet somewhat raw Scull, who also allowed Shishkin to back him into the ropes several times during their October dance. Look for Canelo to do the same en route to a lopsided W, and with a touch more urgency than we’ve seen from him lately.
To the surprise of absolutely no one, Canelo is the favorite for this matchup, and an enormous one at that, with DraftKings offering a 63rd career win at a leading, yet paltry -3000.
✅ Prediction: Canelo to win (-3000 via DraftKings) | Implied probability: 96.8%
Bet $5, Get $200 + $1K Deposit Bonus
Terms and conditions apply.
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
💰 Canelo vs. Scull best bet
Canelo may have gone the distance each of his last six, but that streak should end Saturday in Riyadh.
While he’s kept his foot off the gas in several matchups during that stretch, Alvarez is getting little reason to coast against Scull, who’s only finished nine of 23 pro conquests and throws at a far lower output. However, the Mexican sensation is not one to chase a stoppage from the opening bell, so expect a few uneventful rounds before he backs Scull to the ropes, opens up with his bodywork, and puts him down to reclaim undisputed super middleweight supremacy.
Given Alvarez’s fighting style and late stoppages of Caleb Plant, Billy Joe Saunders, and Sergey Kovalev in (somewhat) recent years, we’re going with a late-round stoppage for this bout’s best bet. DraftKings gets the nod due to its variety of round props and groupings, with a 63rd career Canelo win in rounds 7-12 receiving our pick at +130.
✅ Best bet: Canelo to win in rounds 7-12 (+130 via DraftKings) | Implied probability: 43.5%
📊 Canelo vs. Scull odds
Odds via DraftKings as of Friday.
| Canelo | Method of victory | Scull |
| -3000 | Win outright | +1400 |
| -200 | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | +2200 |
| +210 | Win by unanimous decision | +6500 |
| +2800 | Draw | +2800 |
Despite Canelo’s status as a gargantuan favorite, you’ll find respectable value on a 40th career KO/TKO for the Mexican product, and even more on a sixth consecutive win via unanimous verdict.
🆚 Canelo vs. Scull tale of the tape
| Canelo | Scull | |
| 34 | Age | 32 |
| 5’7.5” | Height | 5’11.5” |
| 168 lbs. | Weight | 168 lbs. |
| 70.5” | Reach | 72.75” |
| 62-2-2 | Record | 23-0 |
📡 How to watch Canelo vs. Scull fight
📅 Saturday, May 3rd
🕗 11 p.m. ET (walkouts)
🥊 Super Middleweight
📍 ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
📺 PPV | 🛜 DAZN
💵 How to bet Canelo vs. Scull
Ready to bet on Canelo vs. Scull? Check out the best boxing betting sites and best sportsbook promos for this weekend's card:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related Articles
