Canelo vs. Crawford Prop Bets & Predictions: Best Prop Picks Tonight
We have an intriguing title fight tonight between two fighters at different stages of their careers, as I break down my best Canelo vs. Crawford prop bets for this fight at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas. The main card begins at 9 p.m. ET on Netflix.
Canelo Alvarez (63-2-2, 39 KOs) enters this fight as an extremely seasoned veteran and is priced as the -170 betting favorite, but he'll face a stiff challenge against undefeated Terence "Bud" Crawford (41-0, 31 KOs), who enters fight night as a +145 underdog.
💰 Canelo vs. Crawford prop bets
- Winning method: Canelo Alvarez via decision (+130 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Punches prop bet: Canelo Alvarez to land more punches (-105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best prop special: Canelo Alvarez to win + 11th round to start (-105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🥊 Canelo vs. Crawford winning method: Canelo Alvarez via decision (+130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
This fight screams that it will go the distance. Both fighters have extremely durable chins, and as Crawford enters this fight moving up two weight classes, it will be very difficult for him to land a finish against Canelo.
On the other side, Canelo is extremely tough and durable and has taken plenty of shots from guys with more power than Crawford.
The oddsmakers are also predicting this fight to go the distance, as FanDuel has the odds set at -305, which implies a 75.31% chance that the fight lasts the full 12 rounds. That is way too much juice for me to get behind, but I do view Canelo as the clear favorite in this fight.
A $10 bet at these +130 odds via FanDuel would return a $13 profit with a 43.48% implied probability of cashing, according to our odds converter.
🥊 Canelo vs. Crawford punches prop bet: Canelo Alvarez to land more punches (-145) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Yet again, the thought of Crawford going up two weight classes does not fare well for him tonight. I do see Crawford taking more damage as the fight goes on, and he should wear more of the damage - which should help Canelo land even more punches in the later stages of the fight.
Crawford has never faced a fighter in the same realm as Canelo, which will be apparent tonight. The value is all on Canelo in this fight, and if he can perform as he normally has, he will have no problem landing more punches against an opponent making a difficult leap into this weight class.
A $10 bet on Canelo to land more punches tonight would profit $6.90 with a 59.18% implied probability.
🥊 Best Canelo vs. Crawford prop special: Canelo to win + 11th round to start (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This wager is pretty strongly correlated to the other props above - if this fight goes the distance and Canelo lands more punches, this should be an easy win with some solid value at FanDuel on this prop bet.
This prop shortens the fight by one round for us while still offering near-even money odds on a Canelo victory. It's a bet that is especially valuable for those who thinks we may have a 12th-round finish, which could be the case if Crawford gets worn down over the course of the fight.
By playing Canelo to win and the 11th round to start, you save yourself against a late finish while still turning a $10 bet into a $9.52 profit with a 51.22% implied probability.
🆚 Canelo vs. Crawford tale of the tape
| Alvarez | Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Age | 37 |
| 5’7.5” | Height | 5’8” |
| 168 lbs. | Weight | 168 lbs. |
| 76” | Reach | 73” |
| 63-2-2 | Record | 41-0 |
📺 How to watch Canelo vs. Crawford fight
- Date: Saturday, Sept. 13
- Time: 9 p.m. ET (main card)
- Location: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)
- TV: Netflix
❓ Canelo vs. Crawford FAQs
Who is favored to win Canelo vs. Crawford?
Canelo Alvarez is favored to beat Terence Crawford with -170 odds via DraftKings, which imply a 62.96% chance that Alvarez wins tonight.
What are the best props for Canelo vs. Crawford?
My best Canelo vs. Crawford prop bets are Canelo Alvarez via decision (+130), Canelo Alvarez to land more punches (-145), and Canelo to win and the 11th round to start (-105).
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