Canadian Grand Prix Predictions: F1 Expert Picks, Canadian GP Odds & Long Shot for Sunday
We're just days away from Formula One's only stop in Canada. Our Canadian Grand Prix Picks and odds goes off at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Montreal on Sunday (2 p.m. ET, ESPN) to get you ready for big day.
Unless you've been in a dark, dank cave for the last few months with no access to the internet, you'll know of McLaren's utter dominance thus far. F1 Championship odds favorite Oscar Piastri is carrying himself with a swagger we haven't seen previously from the Aussie.
He's the focal point of our best bets, which also include Lando Norris, Max Verstappen, and George Russell, all of whom are contenders at our F1 betting sites.
🥇2025 Canadian Grand Prix odds & favorites🥇
Canadian Grand Prix odds via FanDuel as of Thursday, June 13
| Driver | FanDuel | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Piastri | +125 | 44.44% | $12.50 |
| Lando Norris | +160 | 38.46% | $16 |
| Max Verstappen | +490 | 16.95% | $49 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
| George Russell | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +4200 | 2.33% | $420 |
| Alex Albon | +21000 | 0.47% | $2,100 |
| Carlos Sainz | +23000 | 0.43% | $2,300 |
| Fernando Alonso | +27000 | 0.37% | $2,700 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Isack Hadjar | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Liam Lawson | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Oilver Bearman | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
📈 Canadian Grand Prix odds movement
Updated as of Thursday, June 13
- Piastri's odds shortened marginally from +130 to +125
- Norris moved from +150 to +160
- Vertstappen saw his odds shorten from +550 to +490
- Hamilton saw his odds shorten from +2000 to +1600
💰 Canadian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
Editor's note: Picks were made on Monday, June 9. Check above table for updated odds.
Here are my best Canadian Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve in Montreal. Picks based on odds Monday from our best sports betting apps.
🏆 Pick to win Canadian Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri ⭐⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +150 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 40%
There's a solid argument to back Norris on Sunday in Montreal as he finished second at the race last year and won at Albert Park in Melbourne to kick off this season, the circuit that most closely resembles Circuit Gilles Villeneuve.
While Norris is tugging me one way, Piastri is yanking harder and stronger in the opposite direction. The Australian is flying, and I can't see him having any more confidence or momentum than he does at this moment.
Time and again, Piastri has outclassed Norris in head-to-head battles this season, and I don't see that suddenly stopping.
Norris' only win other than the opening race Down Under came in Monaco, where the average speed is much lower. That doesn't offer enough justification to jump to the Brit. BetMGM offers the longest odds at our best sportsbooks, where a winning $10 bet will profit $15.
💎 Best value bet to win Canadian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +550 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 15.38%
Like a petulant teen, Verstappen had one of his outbursts at the Spanish Grand Prix, falling out of contention due to a 10-second penalty after hitting George Russell's Mercedes.
However, Verstappen has won three in a row in Montreal and is renowned for his ability to bounce back and overcome a dash of adversity. It's a track he loves, and he'll be out to get rid of the sour taste that still lingers after his unsavory Spanish GP. A winning $10 bet at DraftKings would profit $55.
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🎯 Best long shot to win Canadian Grand Prix: George Russell ⭐⭐⭐
👉 Best odds: +1800 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 5.26%
After a bitterly disappointing Monaco GP in which he finished 11th, Russell secured fourth place in Spain.
He finished on the podium in four of nine races thus far and is one of two drivers with a chance to win outside of the lead triumvirate of Piastri, Norris, and Verstappen.
The other is Charles Leclerc, but I'm giving the slight edge to Russell due to his third-place finish in Montreal last year. Leclerc hasn't finished on the podium in Montreal since 2019.
Neither Ferrari nor Mercedes have proven they have enough pace to pip McLaren, but stranger things have happened, especially with Russell consistently forcing himself onto the podium.
🏆 Past Canadian Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last 10 Canadian Grand Prix winners.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2023 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
| 2021 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2020 | Cancelled | Cancelled |
| 2019 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2018 | 🇩🇪 Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2017 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2016 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2015 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
📈 Canadian Grand Prix trends & history
🏎️ Montreal's Ile Notre-Dame has been home to the race since 1978
🏎️ Michael Schumacher and Lewis Hamilton have been in pole position most (6)
🏎️ Schumacher and Hamilton are also tied for the most wins in Montreal (7)
🏎️ Canada's F1 race in 2011 marked the longest ever, with the clock stopping at four hours, four minutes and 39 seconds
🏎️ Verstappen has won three straight at Ile Notre-Dame
🏎️ Only Verstappen, Hamilton, and Fernando Alonso have won from the current grid in Canada
🏎️ Four drivers have managed to win back-to-back races at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve (Hamilton, Verstappen, Schumacher, Alan Jones)
🏎️ Schumacher, Hamilton and Verstappen share the record for the most consecutive Montreal wins (3)
🏎️ The longest streak of different winners at the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve came between 1989 and 1996
🏎️ Ferrari have the most wins of any team (11)
📺 How to watch the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix
📅 Race date: Sunday, June 15
🕒 Start time: 2 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Circuit Gilles Villeneuve (Montreal, Que.)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
☀️ Weather: 70 degrees, 1 mph to 3 mph winds, 30% chance of precipitation
❓ Canadian Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Canadian Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri is the consensus favorite to win the Canadian Grand Prix, with +125 odds at FanDuel. Those odds carry a 43.48% implied probability.
What are the odds for the Canadian Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri (+125), Lando Norris (+160), and Max Verstappen (+500) are receiving the shortest odds to win the Canadian Grand Prix at FanDuel.
What time is the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?
The Canadian Grand Prix starts at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, June 15.
How to watch the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix
You can watch the Canadian Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.
Who has won the most Canadian Grand Prix races?
Michael Schumacher and Lewis Hamilton are tied for the most wins in Montreal (7).
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