WNBA Championship Odds 2025: Lynx Lead Liberty; Wilson Overtakes Collier for MVP
As the WNBA playoffs get underway, the Minnesota Lynx remain the clear WNBA championship odds favorites over the defending champion New York Liberty.
However, Napheesa Collier's stranglehold on the WNBA MVP odds race has ended with three-time winner A'ja Wilson overtaking her on the board following the Las Vegas Aces' second-half surge.
Minnesota enters the playoffs as the most obvious choice to win it all for your WNBA picks, but will Collier be able to win MVP too?
📊 Live WNBA championship odds 2025
Our 2025 WNBA championship odds update in real time based on the latest WNBA odds.
📈 WNBA championship betting insights
WNBA betting insights via BetMGM.
| Highest ticket percentage | Highest handle percentage | Biggest liabilities |
|---|---|---|
| Indiana Fever (42.8%) | Indiana Fever (61.6%) | Indiana Fever |
| Minnesota Lynx (13.9%) | New York Liberty (11%) | Golden State Valkyries |
| New York Liberty (9.3%) | Minnesota Lynx (10.9%) | New York Liberty |
🏆 My WNBA championship prediction & best bet
🐾 Minnesota Lynx (+150)
Though the Liberty are the defending champs and knocked off the Lynx in the WNBA Finals last season, Minnesota clearly is the better team.
New York has been inconsistent since its 9-0 start led to many believing it would cruise to a second straight title. Since then, injuries and sporadic play have resulted in them looking like a favorite nobody should hold the confidence to bet on.
Meanwhile, the Lynx are the WNBA's most well-rounded team. They rank No. 1 in average point differential (plus-9.6), net rating (plus-13.2), offensive rating (112.9), and defensive rating (100.3). They also traded for last year's WNBA Most Improved Player, Dijonai Carrington, to bolster an already loaded lineup.
With Carrington joining Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams, Bridget Carleton, Alanna Smith, and Collier, this is a team nobody will want to see in the playoffs. If Minnesota can pull it off, a $10 bet pays a $15 profit.
🔢 WNBA championship opening odds 2025
Odds via FanDuel.
- Liberty: +200
- Aces: +250
- Lynx: +330
- Fever: +900
- Sun: +1900
- Mercury: +2500
- Sparks: +4000
- Dream: +5500
- Sky: +7000
- Wings: +7000
- Storm: +7000
- Mystics: +10000
- Valkyries: +18000
📊 Live WNBA MVP odds 2025
Our 2025 WNBA MVP odds update in real time based on the latest WNBA odds.
📈 WNBA MVP betting insights
WNBA betting insights via BetMGM.
| Highest ticket percentage | Highest handle percentage | Biggest liabilities |
|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark (50.1%) | Caitlin Clark (55%) | Caitlin Clark |
| Napheesa Collier (12.5%) | Napheesa Collier (17.7%) | Breanna Stewart |
| A'ja Wilson (8.9%) | A'ja Wilson (7.3%) | Napheesa Collier |
🏆 My WNBA MVP prediction & best bet
🎯 Napheesa Collier (+275)
Despite Wilson turning in yet another impressive season and jumping Collier as the MVP favorite thanks to a dominant second half, I'm still backing the Lynx star for MVP. She's the best player on the best team, and I'm concerned about voter fatigue impacting Wilson's chances of taking home MVP.
Collier is the reigning WNBA Defensive Player of the Year and is second in the league in points per game (23.0) while sitting in the top 10 in rebounds (7.4), steals (1.6), and blocks (1.6). She's right there with Wilson as the WNBA's best two-way player, and every advanced metric backs up her MVP candidacy.
Collier ranks top five in win shares (8.0), offensive win shares (5.3), defensive win shares (2.6), offensive rating (122.3), defensive rating (96.7), and PER (30.1). While the UConn products' odds only imply a 26.67% probability she'll win the award, I'd rather back the player with longer odds (paying a $27.50 profit on a $10 winning bet) in a race that's essentially a tossup.
🔢 2025 WNBA MVP opening odds
Odds via FanDuel.
- A'ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces: +200
- Caitlin Clark, Indiana Fever: +260
- Napheesa Collier, Minnesota Lynx: +450
- Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty: +650
- Sabrina Ionescu, New York Liberty: +1900
- Alyssa Thomas, Connecticut Sun: +3100
- Kelsey Plum, Los Angeles Sparks: +3100
- Jewell Loyd, Las Vegas Aces: +5000
- Arike Ogunbowale, Dallas Wings: +6000
- Satou Sabally, Dallas Wings: +6000
❓WNBA betting FAQs
Who is the favorite to win the WNBA championship?
The Minnesota Lynx are the favorites to win the 2025 WNBA championship with +150 odds. Those odds imply a 40% probability that the Lynx will win the title, according to our odds converter.
Who is the favorite to win WNBA MVP?
Las Vegas Aces star A'ja Wilson is the favorite to win WNBA MVP with -135 odds, implying a 57.45% chance that she wins the award.
Who won the WNBA championship last year?
The New York Liberty defeated the Minnesota Lynx to win their first WNBA title.
When do the WNBA playoffs start?
The regular season ended on Sept. 11, while the playoffs begin Sept. 14 and will conclude no later than Oct. 17.
Where will the WNBA Finals take place?
The WNBA Finals will take place at the home arenas of the two participating teams. The higher (better) seed will host Games 1 and 2, while the lower-seeded teams will host Games 3 and 4. If a decisive fifth game is necessary, the higher-seeded team would host.
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