Caitlin Clark WNBA MVP Odds, Prediction: Why (Almost) Everyone is Betting on Fever Star in 2025

Caitlin Clark didn't open with the shortest 2025 WNBA MVP odds, but after drawing the vast majority of betting activity across our best sports betting sites, she's the clear favorite entering the first preseason games tonight.

The Indiana Fever star has been bet down to as short as +195 at BetMGM, where she had drawn more than half of all MVP wagers in the days before the preseason opener. Nearly two-thirds of all money wagered in the MVP market had come on Clark as of Tuesday, according to a company release.

It's a similar story across the rest of our best sports betting apps, many of which have reported overwhelming betting action on the Fever guard. On Friday morning, hours before the WNBA preseason, ESPN BET reported that 77.7% of its MVP handle had come on Clark to make history in her second season.

Here's a look at the latest Caitlin Clark MVP odds and whether you should bet on Indiana's star guard to win the award in 2025:

📊 Caitlin Clark WNBA MVP odds 2025

Here are the latest WNBA MVP odds via BetMGM, where Clark opened at +250 but has been bet down to a +195 favorite entering the first preseason games.

• Caitlin Clark, Indiana Fever: +195 (bet $10 to win $19.50 profit)
• A'ja Wilson, Las Vegas Aces: +210 (bet $10 to win $21 profit)
• Napheesa Collier, Minnesota Lynx: +325 (bet $10 to win $32.50 profit)
• Breanna Stewart, New York Liberty: +1200 (bet $10 to win $120 profit)
• Satou Sabally, Phoenix Mercury: +2500 (bet $10 to win $250 profit)
• Sabrina Ionescu, New York Liberty: +3000 (bet $10 to win $300 profit)
• Alyssa Thomas, Phoenix Mercury: +4000 (bet $10 to win $400 profit)
• Jewell Loyd, Las Vegas Aces: +5000 (bet $10 to win $500 profit)
• Kelsey Plum, Los Angeles Sparks: +5500 (bet $10 to win $550 profit)
• Arike Ogunbowale, Dallas Wings: +6600 (bet $10 to win $660 profit)
• Kahleah Copper, Phoenix Mercury: +6600 (bet $10 to win $660 profit)
• Angel Reese, Chicago Sky: +8000 (bet $10 to win $800 profit)
• Rhyne Howard, Atlanta Dream: +8000 (bet $10 to win $800 profit)

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📈 Bettors hammering Caitlin Clark to win MVP

After setting the NCAA career scoring record at Iowa, Clark entered the WNBA as the most anticipated and hyped prospect in league history. She boasted MVP odds as short as +850 entering her pro debut, and while she was never a real threat to win, she did finish fourth in voting after an all-time rookie campaign.

A year later, Clark is the outright favorite to win the award over three-time MVP and reigning winner A'ja Wilson - who opened with the shortest odds before bettors flooded the market with bets on the Fever's star guard.

As mentioned earlier, Clark had commanded more than 50% of all MVP bets at BetMGM earlier this week with nearly 65% of the betting handle. She's the favorite at all but one of our best sportsbooks with DraftKings holding firm on Wilson - but the bets keeps pouring in on Clark there, too.

"She just draws a lot of money no matter what [odds] we put her up at," DraftKings sportsbook director Johnny Avello told ESPN on Friday.

Bettors' affinity for Clark is reflected in the WNBA championship odds, too. The Fever opened at +2500 to win the title but have been bet down to +350 at BetMGM, where nearly 80% of all money wagered is on Indiana.

💰 Why is Caitlin Clark the MVP favorite?

No player has commanded as much attention as Clark in the 28-year history of the league, so it's little surprise that bettors are willing to pay the short price for the Fever star - whose combination of range and court vision might already be the best the sport has ever seen.

As a rookie, Clark ranked seventh in scoring (19.2 PPG) while leading the league in 3-pointers (3.1) and assists (8.4) on a per-game basis - setting all-time records for the most assists in a game (19) and a full season (321) - to guide the Fever back to the playoffs for the first time since 2016.

Clark was a wire-to-wire favorite to win Rookie of the Year and took home the award over Chicago Sky forward Angel Reese, who enjoyed a record-setting rookie campaign of her own. She also finished fourth in MVP voting while clearly finding her rhythm over the second half of the season.

Now the league's most popular player enters her second year with the Fever, who added DeWanna Bonner and Natasha Howard this summer and rank among the title favorites. Indiana is tied for the second-highest win total (30.5) - that's key for this award, which almost always goes to the best player on the best team.

The simple reason why Clark is the new MVP favorite entering the preseason tonight? Sportsbooks don't have a choice. Even with bettors laying such short odds, she's easily the biggest liability in the WNBA MVP market and could cost oddsmakers a hefty sum if she does win the award in 2025.

🔮 Will Caitlin Clark win WNBA MVP? Expert prediction

Clark is unlike any player we've ever seen, but she's also attempting to do something that is virtually unprecedented in league history.

Since the WNBA's first season in 1997, only one player has won the MVP award within their first two seasons - Candace Parker took home MVP honors as a rookie in 2008, while no player has ever won it in their second season.

This award has also been claimed by a forward or center in each of the last 10 seasons with Maya Moore (2014) the last guard to win it. And Clark faces historic competition with Wilson - one of four players to ever win three MVP awards - coming off one of the best seasons in WNBA history.

While it feels premature to declare Clark as the best player in the WNBA, I do think there's a real appetite for someone not named A'ja Wilson or Breanna Stewart to win the MVP award in 2025.

Wilson, fairly or not, will be judged against the backdrop of her record-setting season last year en route to unanimous MVP honors. As we've seen in the NBA this season, merely approximating all-time greatness isn't enough to repeat as an MVP winner - especially if the top challenger plays a flashier style of basketball amid an early-career breakout campaign.

That doesn't mean Clark is the best pure value on the board. It's hard to ignore Napheesa Collier after she finished second in MVP voting last year while leading the Minnesota Lynx to the WNBA Finals. I'm also compelled by Stewart's long odds to win her third MVP after finishing in the top three in her last six seasons.

All else being equal, though, this feels like Clark's award to lose. She's the current face of the league - even with Wilson earning her title of "best player in the world" - and the groundswell of support behind the Fever star makes it tough to believe voters will deny her if the stats are remotely comparable.

While her best odds of +235 are still a little short for my liking, they're likely the best price we'll see all summer unless Clark clearly falls out of the race (which would render the bet moot, anyway). And with a player on Clark's trajectory, it could be a matter of weeks before this price feels like a bargain.

🎯 WNBA MVP prediction & best bet

• Caitlin Clark to win WNBA MVP (+235 via DraftKings)

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💵 Where to bet Caitlin Clark MVP odds

Want to bet on Caitlin Clark to win WNBA MVP? Check out the latest WNBA odds from our best WNBA betting sites as determined by our experts at Sportsbook Review, along with the best sportsbook promos for the WNBA season.

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