Belgian Grand Prix Odds, Predictions 2025 Today: Belgian GP F1 Expert Picks & Long Shot
Our Belgian Grand Prix odds and predictions feature F1 Championship odds front-runner Oscar Piastri, who finished second in qualifying behind teammate Lando Norris.
Meanwhile, Max Verstappen fell to fourth after winning the sprint session preceding qualifying on Saturday.
Charles Leclerc, whom we featured in our Belgian Grand Prix best bets, will be content with starting on the grid in third for today's Belgian Grand Prix at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps (9 a.m. ET, ESPN).
Norris is the favorite across our best F1 betting sites to win his third race in a row.
🥇2025 Belgian Grand Prix odds & favorites🥇
Belgian Grand Prix odds via BetMGM as of Sunday, July 27.
| Driver | BetMGM | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | +130 | 43.48% | $13 |
| Oscar Piastri | +150 | 40% | $15 |
| Max Verstappen | +350 | 22.22% | $35 |
| Charles Leclerc | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| George Russell | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Alex Albon | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Isack Hadjar | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Liam Lawson | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Oilver Bearman | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Fernando Alonso | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Carlos Sainz | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
📈 Belgian Grand Prix odds movement
Odds movements after the sprint session and qualifying (July 27).
- Norris' odds shortened from +300 to +130
- Piastri's odds shifted from -110 to +150
- Verstappen's shortened from +400 to +350
- Leclerc's odds shortened from +1600 to +1200
- Russel's odds lengthened from +1600 to +3300
- Hamilton's odds lengthened from +2800 to +10000
💰 Belgian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
Here are my best Belgian Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps based on the latest odds from the best sports betting apps.
Editor's note: The picks below were made on Monday, July 21
🏆 Pick to win Belgian Grand Prix: Oscar Piastri ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +170 via Caesars ($10 to win $17)
🔢 Implied probability: 37.04%
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The Norris-Piastri back-and-forth continues as we switch gears to accommodate the Australian, whom we wisely passed on for the British Grand Prix. It's time for the F1 Championship odds favorite, who has just one victory in the last six races, to get back into the win column.
Another avoidable blunder - this time at Silverstone - cost him the victory, with Piastri handed a 10-second penalty when the stewards deemed he braked too late after a restart. He's made a few inexperienced errors throughout the season, which have kept Norris in the championship race.
However, Piastri has been a beacon of consistency, finishing off the podium just twice in 12 races. One of those non-podium finishes came Down Under in the season's first race.
Piastri had the speed at Silverstone and would have likely won had he not taken that penalty. I expect him to bounce back and get right in Belgium.
💎 Best value bet to win Belgian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +410 via FanDuel ($10 to win $41)
🔢 Implied probability: 19.61%
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Verstappen enters Sunday's race without a win in his last five. That doesn't tell the tale of the Dutchman's recent struggles, though.
He didn't get through a lap in Austria, which he followed up with fifth place at the British Grand Prix after spinning out at a crucial moment in wet conditions.
Verstappen has basically no chance of winning a fifth straight championship, but he has won three of the last four in Belgium. And he came close last season, with his quest for four in a row scuppered by a late collision with Norris.
The Belgian Grand Prix is one of the most challenging on the circuit, increasing the likelihood of Verstappen winning. He has vast experience and a brilliant track record in this notably difficult race.
Let's see if he can get his act together for a fourth win in five at the Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps. The best sports betting apps are as bunched as the starting grid on the first lap, with FanDuel edging out in front at +410. DraftKings offers the least value at +370.
🎯 Best long shot to win Belgian Grand Prix: Lewis Hamilton ⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +1600 via DraftKings
🔢 Implied probability: 5.88%
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Work-in-progress is the most apt description of Hamilton's current situation at Ferrari. He's been improving recently, more so than any other driver on the circuit. George Russell has endured a tailspin of late, while Charles Leclerc struggled mightily in England.
Leclerc switched to intermediate tires too soon in that race, costing him any chance of securing points. His confidence has been draining like the gas in an F1 car at high speeds. While he can rebound quickly, it's Hamilton who is in the ascendancy.
Two fourth places in a row provide something to build on for the Brit. Will he have enough in Belgium to win it all? Maybe not, but he's still the most viable long shot.
His track record at Spa instills confidence as he won last year and in 2020, albeit fortuitously, and has finished lower than fourth just once in the previous five Belgium Grand Prix races.
FanDuel and DraftKings are the places to lock it in. They're offering +1600 odds, better value than the +1400 found at the rest of the best sportsbooks.
🏆 Past Belgian Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last 10 Belgian Grand Prix winners.
📈 Belgian Grand Prix trends & history
🏎️ The Belgian Grand Prix was first held in 1925
🏎️ The circuit's most famous section, the Eau Rouge/Raidillon complex, is often hailed as the most challenging corner in Formula 1
🏎️ The Circuit de Spa Francorchamps boasts one of the most challenging layouts
🏎️ The Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps is F1 season's longest track (just over 7 km)
🏎️ Valtteri Bottas holds the fastest lap (1:46:286)
🏎️ Hamilton has the fastest lap if you include pre-race festivities (1:41:252), like qualifying
🏎️ Michael Schumacher has won the Belgian Grand Prix a record six times
🏎️ It has the second-biggest difference between its highest and lowest points (69m)
🏎️ 2025 marks the 70th Belgian Grand Prix and 58th at Spa
🏎️ 11 of the last 23 Belgian Grand Prix races were won from pole
🏎️ Three drivers on the current grid have won the Belgian Grand Prix: Hamilton (4), Verstappen (3), Charles Leclerc (1)
📺 How to watch the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix
📅 Race date: Sunday, July 27
🕒 Start time: 9 a.m. ET
📍 Track: Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps (Francorchamps, Belgium)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: ESPN+
☁️ Weather: 64 degrees, 8-mph to 11-mph winds, 30% chance of precipitation
🧠 Belgian Grand Prix expert picks
- Belgian Grand Prix best bets
- Belgian Grand Prix AI predictions
- Belgian Grand Prix predictions, odds
❓ Belgian Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Belgian Grand Prix?
Lando Norris is the Belgian Grand Prix odds favorite, with the McLaren driver trading at +130 at BetMGM.
What are the odds for the Belgian Grand Prix?
Lando Norris (+130), Oscar Piastri (+150), and Charles Leclerc (+1200) are getting the shortest odds to win the Belgian Grand Prix at BetMGM.
What time is the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix?
The Belgian Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, July 27.
How to watch the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix
You can watch the Belgian Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.
Who has won the most Belgian Grand Prix races?
Michael Schumacher has won the most Belgian Grand Prix races (6).
🏎️ Best F1 betting sites
Want to bet on the Belgian Grand Prix? Check out the best sports betting sites for F1 ahead of this weekend's race:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
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