Austrian Grand Prix Predictions, Odds Today: Austrian GP F1 Expert Picks & Long Shot

Last Updated: June 29, 2025 6:04 AM EDT โข 6 minute read X Social Google News Link

It's race day, and we're in for a treat at Red Bull Ring as we offer our Austrian Grand Prix picks and odds. Lando Norris has impressed the most in the pre-race festivities, taking pole position for today's main event.
The race starts at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN) from Spielberg, Austria, and our below picks feature Norris, Max Verstappen, and Charles Leclerc, who surprised many by finishing second in qualifying.
Norris is the favorite across our best F1 betting sites, while F1 Championship odds front-runner Oscar Piastri will start third on the grid.
๐ฅ2025 Austrian Grand Prix odds & favorites๐ฅ
Austrian Grand Prix odds via FanDuel as of Sunday, June 29
Driver | FanDuel | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
---|---|---|---|
Lando Norris | -270 | 72.97% | $3.70 |
Oscar Piastri | +350 | 22.22% | $35 |
Charles Leclerc | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
Max Verstappen | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
George Russell | +3200 | 3.03% | $320 |
Lewis Hamilton | +3200 | 3.33% | $290 |
Kimi Antonelli | +12000 | 0.83% | $1,200 |
Liam Lawson | +12000 | 0.83% | $1,200 |
Pierre Gasly | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
Gabriel Bortoleto | +42000 | 0.24% | $4,200 |
Yuki Tsunoda | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Lance Stroll | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Nico Hulkenberg | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Franco Colapinto | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Fernando Alonso | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Alex Albon | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Isack Hadjar | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Carlos Sainz | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Oilver Bearman | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Esteban Ocon | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
๐ Austrian Grand Prix odds movement
Odds via FanDuel and updated as of Sunday, June 29
- Norris' odds shortened from +220 to -270 after taking pole position in qualifying
- Piastri's odds lengthened from +160 to +350 after finishing third in qualifying
- Leclerc's odds moved from +1800 to +1000 after finishing second in qualifying
- Verstappen's odds lengthened from +360 to +1600 after finishing seventh in qualifying
- George Russell's odds lengthened from +850 to +3200 after finishing fifth in qualifying
- Lewis Hamilton's odds lengthened from +2900 to +3200 after finishing fourth in qualifying
๐ฐ Austrian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win
Editor's note: The below picks were made on Monday, June 23. Refer to above table for updated odds.
Here are my best Austrian Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Red Bull Ring. Picks based on odds from our best sports betting apps.
๐ Pick to win Austrian Grand Prix: Lando Norris โญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: +230 via Caesars | Implied probability: 30.30%
I'm giving Norris, who we also covered in our Austrian Grand Prix best bets, the benefit of the doubt for the Austrian Grand Prix. The McLaren driver haphazardly ran into the back of Oscar Piastri in an attempt to pass him at the Canadian Grand Prix. He also made a mistake in qualifying that prevented him from taking pole position.
While his errors were as costly as they were avoidable, Norris was noticeably faster than Piastri all weekend in Montreal. Norris hasn't yet proven he possesses the character, resilience, and mettle of a champion, but this weekend's race presents an opportunity to prove it.
If he can overcome the pressure and race mistake-free, he should have the speed to win.
He had a chance to win last year's Austrian Grand Prix before colliding with Verstappen down the stretch. The question is whether he can channel his frustration and put together a near-flawless weekend.
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๐ Best value bet to win Austrian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen โญโญโญโญ
๐ Best odds: +350 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 22.22%
Verstappen finished second in Canada two weeks ago and was in the lead last year in Austria before colliding with Norris. He has won the race four times, the most in the history of this Grand Prix.
The first half of the track favors the high-powered MCL39, but I expect the four-time defending champion to show his pedigree toward the tail end, where drivers slalom through a series of tight and quick corners, including the storied Rindt right-hander.
At +350, the Dutchman is worth a go. DraftKings is the only one of our best sports betting apps offering +350, with Caesars and BetMGM providing less value at +300.
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๐ฏ Best long shot to win Austrian Grand Prix: Charles Leclerc โญโญ
๐ Best odds: +1800 via Caesars | Implied probability: 5.26%
I stretched the statute of limitations as much as I could at the Canadian Grand Prix, interpreting Russell as a long-shot pick despite his relatively palatable +1600 odds. In my defense, Russell won the race - his first of the season - which resulted in a $160 profit for anyone who tailed the "long-shot" play.
For the record, I favor Russell again in this race. Unfortunately, there's no way to sell his +750 odds as a long-shot pick.
The only long shots with a chance of winning are Charles Leclerc, Lewis Hamilton, and Kimi Antonelli. The latter has shown glimpses of brilliance but won't win unless another collision occurs at the front of the grid.
Hamilton has shown signs of improvement recently, finishing sixth in the previous two races, but he's still a ways off winning. That leaves Leclerc, who finished fifth in Montreal and has three podium finishes. With a solid start and a good qualifying, he's in with a chance.
Plus, Leclerc won the race in 2022, the only driver from a team other than Red Bull and Mercedes to triumph in Austria since 2014.

๐ Past Austrian Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last 10 Austrian Grand Prix winners.
Year | Driver | Team |
---|---|---|
2024 | ๐ฌ๐ง George Russell | Mercedes |
2023 | ๐ณ๐ฑ Max Verstappen | Red Bull-Honda RBPT |
2022 | ๐ฒ๐จ Charles Leclerc | Ferarri |
2021 | ๐ณ๐ฑ Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda |
2020 | ๐ซ๐ฎ Valtteri Bottas | Mercedes |
2019 | ๐ณ๐ฑ Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda |
2018 | ๐ณ๐ฑ Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-TAG Heuer |
2017 | ๐ซ๐ฎ Valtteri Bottas | Mercedes |
2016 | ๐ฌ๐ง Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
2015 | ๐ฉ๐ช Nico Rosberg | Mercedes |
๐ Austrian Grand Prix trends & history
๐๏ธ Russell won last year's event
๐๏ธ Piastri finished second at the 2024 Austrian Grand Prix
๐๏ธ Norris recorded two podium finishes in the last four years at the Red Bull Ring
๐๏ธ Three years ago, Charles Leclerc brought Ferrari their first Austrian Grand Prix since in 22 years
๐๏ธ Ferrari has the most wins (7)
๐๏ธ Verstappen has won the most Austrian Grand Prix races (4)
๐๏ธ The first Austrian Grand Prix was in 1963
๐๏ธ The Austrian Grand Prix became a part of Formula One in 1964
๐๏ธ The race moved to Osterreichring in 1970
๐๏ธ The 2003 Austrian Grand Prix was the final event until 2014, when the circuit's new owners, Red Bull, reached an agreement with Bernie Ecclestone
๐๏ธ Mercedes (6) and Red Bull (4) have won 10 of the previous 11 Austrian Grand Prix races
๐บ How to watch the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix
๐
Race date: Sunday, June 29
๐ Start time: 9 a.m. ET
๐ Track: Red Bull Ring (Spielberg, Austria)
๐บ TV: ESPN
๐ป Streaming: ESPN+
โ๏ธ Weather: 79 degrees, 6 mph to 9 mph winds, 20% chance of precipitation
๐ง Austrian Grand Prix expert picks
- Austrian Grand Prix AI prediction
- Austrian Grand Prix best bets
- Austrian Grand Prix odds and predictions
โ Austrian Grand Prix FAQs
Who is favored to win the Austrian Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri is the favorite to win the Austrian Grand Prix, with +160 odds at FanDuel. Those odds carry a 38.46% implied probability.
What are the odds for the Austrian Grand Prix?
Oscar Piastri (+160), Lando Norris (+220), and Max Verstappen (+360) have the shortest odds to win the Austrian Grand Prix at FanDuel.
What time is the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?
The Austrian Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, June 29.
How to watch the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix
You can watch the Austrian Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.
Who has won the most Austrian Grand Prix races?
Max Verstappen has won the most Austrian Grand Prix races (4).
๐๏ธ Here are our best F1 betting sites:
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Gary Pearson X social