Austrian Grand Prix Predictions, Odds Today: Austrian GP F1 Expert Picks & Long Shot

Lando Norris enters the race first on the grid after taking pole position, but will he be able to stave off challenges from Charles Leclerc and Oscar Piastri? We analyze the outlook for today's race.
Austrian Grand Prix Picks, Odds Today: F1 Expert Predictions & Long Shot
Pictured: Lando Norris, featured in our Austrian Grand Prix Picks, Odds Today, won qualifying and will start first on the grid. Photo by Luca Barsali via Imagn Images

It's race day, and we're in for a treat at Red Bull Ring as we offer our Austrian Grand Prix picks and odds. Lando Norris has impressed the most in the pre-race festivities, taking pole position for today's main event. 

The race starts at 9 a.m. ET (ESPN) from Spielberg, Austria, and our below picks feature Norris, Max Verstappen, and Charles Leclerc, who surprised many by finishing second in qualifying. 

Norris is the favorite across our best F1 betting sites, while F1 Championship odds front-runner Oscar Piastri will start third on the grid.

๐Ÿฅ‡2025 Austrian Grand Prix odds & favorites๐Ÿฅ‡

Austrian Grand Prix odds via FanDuel as of Sunday, June 29

Driver FanDuel Implied probability Profit on a $10 bet
Lando Norris -270 72.97% $3.70
Oscar Piastri +350 22.22% $35
Charles Leclerc +1000 9.09% $100
Max Verstappen +1600 5.88% $160
George Russell +3200 3.03% $320
Lewis Hamilton +3200 3.33% $290
Kimi Antonelli +12000 0.83% $1,200
Liam Lawson +12000 0.83% $1,200
Pierre Gasly +42000 0.24% $4,200
Gabriel Bortoleto +42000 0.24% $4,200
Yuki Tsunoda +50000 0.20% $5,000
Lance Stroll +50000 0.20% $5,000
Nico Hulkenberg +50000 0.20% $5,000
Franco Colapinto +50000 0.20% $5,000
Fernando Alonso +50000 0.20% $5,000
Alex Albon +50000 0.20% $5,000
Isack Hadjar +50000 0.20% $5,000
Carlos Sainz +50000 0.20% $5,000
Oilver Bearman +50000 0.20% $5,000
Esteban Ocon +50000 0.20% $5,000

๐Ÿ“ˆ Austrian Grand Prix odds movement 

Odds via FanDuel and updated as of Sunday, June 29

  • Norris' odds shortened from +220 to -270 after taking pole position in qualifying
  • Piastri's odds lengthened from +160 to +350 after finishing third in qualifying
  • Leclerc's odds moved from +1800 to +1000 after finishing second in qualifying
  • Verstappen's odds lengthened from +360 to +1600 after finishing seventh in qualifying
  • George Russell's odds lengthened from +850 to +3200 after finishing fifth in qualifying
  • Lewis Hamilton's odds lengthened from +2900 to +3200 after finishing fourth in qualifying

๐Ÿ’ฐ Austrian Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets to win

Editor's note: The below picks were made on Monday, June 23. Refer to above table for updated odds. 

Here are my best Austrian Grand Prix predictions for Sunday's race at Red Bull Ring. Picks based on odds from our best sports betting apps

๐Ÿ† Pick to win Austrian Grand Prix: Lando Norris โญโญโญ

๐Ÿ‘‰ Best odds: +230 via Caesars | Implied probability: 30.30%

I'm giving Norris, who we also covered in our Austrian Grand Prix best bets, the benefit of the doubt for the Austrian Grand Prix. The McLaren driver haphazardly ran into the back of Oscar Piastri in an attempt to pass him at the Canadian Grand Prix. He also made a mistake in qualifying that prevented him from taking pole position. 

While his errors were as costly as they were avoidable, Norris was noticeably faster than Piastri all weekend in Montreal. Norris hasn't yet proven he possesses the character, resilience, and mettle of a champion, but this weekend's race presents an opportunity to prove it.

If he can overcome the pressure and race mistake-free, he should have the speed to win. 

He had a chance to win last year's Austrian Grand Prix before colliding with Verstappen down the stretch. The question is whether he can channel his frustration and put together a near-flawless weekend.

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๐Ÿ’Ž Best value bet to win Austrian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen โญโญโญโญ

๐Ÿ‘‰ Best odds: +350 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 22.22%

Verstappen finished second in Canada two weeks ago and was in the lead last year in Austria before colliding with Norris. He has won the race four times, the most in the history of this Grand Prix.   

The first half of the track favors the high-powered MCL39, but I expect the four-time defending champion to show his pedigree toward the tail end, where drivers slalom through a series of tight and quick corners, including the storied Rindt right-hander.

At +350, the Dutchman is worth a go. DraftKings is the only one of our best sports betting apps offering +350, with Caesars and BetMGM providing less value at +300. 

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๐ŸŽฏ Best long shot to win Austrian Grand Prix: Charles Leclerc โญโญ

๐Ÿ‘‰ Best odds: +1800 via Caesars | Implied probability: 5.26%

I stretched the statute of limitations as much as I could at the Canadian Grand Prix, interpreting Russell as a long-shot pick despite his relatively palatable +1600 odds. In my defense, Russell won the race - his first of the season - which resulted in a $160 profit for anyone who tailed the "long-shot" play. 

For the record, I favor Russell again in this race. Unfortunately, there's no way to sell his +750 odds as a long-shot pick. 

The only long shots with a chance of winning are Charles Leclerc, Lewis Hamilton, and Kimi Antonelli. The latter has shown glimpses of brilliance but won't win unless another collision occurs at the front of the grid. 

Hamilton has shown signs of improvement recently, finishing sixth in the previous two races, but he's still a ways off winning. That leaves Leclerc, who finished fifth in Montreal and has three podium finishes. With a solid start and a good qualifying, he's in with a chance.  

Plus, Leclerc won the race in 2022, the only driver from a team other than Red Bull and Mercedes to triumph in Austria since 2014. 

Austrian Grand Prix Picks, Odds: F1 Expert Predictions & Long Shot
Pictured Charles Leclerc at the Canadian Grand Prix. Photo via Imagn Images  

๐Ÿ† Past Austrian Grand Prix winners

Here is a look at the last 10 Austrian Grand Prix winners. 

Year Driver Team
2024 ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง George Russell Mercedes
2023 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Max Verstappen Red Bull-Honda RBPT
2022 ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡จ Charles Leclerc Ferarri
2021 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing-Honda
2020 ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Valtteri Bottas Mercedes
2019 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing-Honda
2018 ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Max Verstappen Red Bull Racing-TAG Heuer
2017 ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Valtteri Bottas Mercedes
2016 ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2015 ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Nico Rosberg Mercedes

๐Ÿ“ˆ Austrian Grand Prix trends & history

๐ŸŽ๏ธ Russell won last year's event
๐ŸŽ๏ธ Piastri finished second at the 2024 Austrian Grand Prix
๐ŸŽ๏ธ Norris recorded two podium finishes in the last four years at the Red Bull Ring
๐ŸŽ๏ธ Three years ago, Charles Leclerc brought Ferrari their first Austrian Grand Prix since in 22 years
๐ŸŽ๏ธ Ferrari has the most wins (7)
๐ŸŽ๏ธ Verstappen has won the most Austrian Grand Prix races (4)
๐ŸŽ๏ธ The first Austrian Grand Prix was in 1963 
๐ŸŽ๏ธ The Austrian Grand Prix became a part of Formula One in 1964
๐ŸŽ๏ธ The race moved to Osterreichring in 1970
๐ŸŽ๏ธ The 2003 Austrian Grand Prix was the final event until 2014, when the circuit's new owners, Red Bull, reached an agreement with Bernie Ecclestone
๐ŸŽ๏ธ Mercedes (6) and Red Bull (4) have won 10 of the previous 11 Austrian Grand Prix races 

๐Ÿ“บ How to watch the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix

๐Ÿ“… Race date: Sunday, June 29
๐Ÿ•’ Start time: 9 a.m. ET
๐Ÿ“ Track: Red Bull Ring (Spielberg, Austria)
๐Ÿ“บ TV: ESPN
๐Ÿ’ป Streaming: ESPN+
โ˜€๏ธ Weather: 79 degrees, 6 mph to 9 mph winds, 20% chance of precipitation

๐Ÿง  Austrian Grand Prix expert picks 

โ“ Austrian Grand Prix FAQs

Who is favored to win the Austrian Grand Prix?

Oscar Piastri is the favorite to win the Austrian Grand Prix, with +160 odds at FanDuel. Those odds carry a 38.46% implied probability. 

What are the odds for the Austrian Grand Prix?

Oscar Piastri (+160), Lando Norris (+220), and Max Verstappen (+360) have the shortest odds to win the Austrian Grand Prix at FanDuel.

What time is the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?

The Austrian Grand Prix starts at 9 a.m. ET on Sunday, June 29. 

How to watch the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix

You can watch the Austrian Grand Prix on ESPN and ESPN+.

Who has won the most Austrian Grand Prix races?

Max Verstappen has won the most Austrian Grand Prix races (4). 

๐ŸŽ๏ธ Here are our best F1 betting sites:

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