⚾ Yankees vs. Giants Home Run Predictions: MLB Picks & Odds for Wedesday, March 25
Baseball is back tonight as the New York Yankees take on the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park, with first pitch set for 8:05 p.m. ET on Netflix. With the Bronx Bombers rolling into town, you’d expect a few balls to leave the yard, right?
Well, I've analyzed the data for tonight's game and offered my two best Yankees vs. Giants home run predictions. You may have seen one of the players featured in my Yankees vs. Giants player props, while the other is an old, familiar foe of the Giants from his days with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Sure, we have two aces on the mound in Logan Webb and Max Fried, but no one is immune to giving up a long ball or two.
⚾ Best Yankees vs. Giants home run predictions tonight: March 25
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| ⚾ Home run pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Giancarlo Stanton (+500 via BetMGM) | 0.33u → 1.98u | When in doubt, bet on the guy who hits the ball the hardest |
| Cody Bellinger home run (+825 via BetMGM) | 0.33u → 3.05u | A former Dodger set to torment the Giants again |
Total wagered: 0.67 units | Max profit: 4.36 units
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💣 Best Yankees vs. Giants home run prediction tonight
Giancarlo Stanton to hit a home run (+500)
You may be a bit confused seeing these two home runs props after I bet on a San Francisco win in my Yankees vs. Giants prediction, but I did say you should expect a higher-scoring game, and Stanton will play a massive role in that.
The Yankees DH has the second-highest home run projection today at 0.29, just barely lower than Aaron Judge's 0.31. However, Judge's home run prop is -EV at only +266 odds, while Stanton's is better than 50% +EV at +500.
Stanton looked incredible when healthy last year, and he'll pick up where he left off.
📡 SBR Edge
In 2025, Stanton managed his fourth year in the last five with both an average exit velocity of at least 94 mph and a hard-hit rate better than 52%.
🔥 More Yankees vs. Giants home run picks tonight
Cody Bellinger to hit a home run (+825)
Funny enough, the Giants have historically gotten the better of Cody Bellinger, as he's struggled to a .674 OPS in 108 games. However, he's no longer with the Los Angeles Dodgers. New team, new Belli, and his bat has looked rejuvenated since leaving L.A.
Bellinger had a decent couple of years with the Chicago Cubs, but he really stepped up in his first campaign with the Yankees. His 29 homers last year were his most since 2019, and he continues to cut down on his strikeout rate and just simply be a better hitter. Against someone like Webb, you need to lock in. I trust Bellinger to do just that tonight.
🚀 Yankees vs. Giants home run parlay
I'll certainly feel more comfortable parlaying more home run picks across an entire slate of games, so for this one, I'll stick to two. I don't exactly recommend betting on multiple hitters on the same team to hit a home run, but you can throw a very small wager on this at FanDuel and still profit more than 3.5 units.
💵 Yankees vs. Giants HR parlay picks
- Giancarlo Stanton (+420)
- Cody Bellinger (+750)
Best odds: +3645 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 3.75u)
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
With the MLB season yet to begin, these are my first bets. But here is my betting record for the 2026 WBC.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 39-37 | +15.46 units ✅ | 26.7% ✅ |
| Moneyline picks | 3-1 | +3.09 units ✅ | 77.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 11-23 | -0.73 units ❌ | -3.7% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Yankees vs. Giants HR picks: MLB strategy
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
Personally, I'm betting only on the Stanton home run.
I think Bellinger offers really good value (better than 50% +EV) but his projection is relatively low. Stanton most accurately represents one of my home run bets from a full schedule of games. I would wager around 0.33 units on that, or, if you already bet on his total bases earlier in the day from my previous article, maybe limit your wager to 0.20 units. That's what I did.
🚑 Yankees vs. Giants injuries
📺 How to watch Yankees vs. Giants tonight
- Date: Wednesday, March 25
- First pitch: 8.05 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Oracle Park (San Francisco)
- Streaming: Netflix
- Yankees starter: Max Fried (19-5, 2.86 ERA in 2025)
- Giants starter: Logan Webb (15-11, 3.22 ERA in 2025)
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