⚾ United States vs. Venezuela Predictions: Tonight's WBC Final Betting Picks & Odds
🎙️ SBR Intel: USA vs. Venezuela predictions
My United States vs. Venezuela predictions expect a high-scoring matchup in the final game of the WBC, with Bobby Witt Jr. and Ronald Acuna Jr. doing their part for their respective country. Let's dive in.
⚾ United States vs. Venezuela WBC finals predictions: Tuesday, 8 p.m. ET
Here are our World Baseball Classic picks for Tuesday's United States vs. Venezuela WBC finals matchup. WBC odds via DraftKings.
| Pick | Units | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| United States -1.5 (-130) | 1u -> 1.76u | Stacked lineup with great numbers vs. Eduardo Rodriguez |
| Over 8.5 (-115) | 1u -> 1.86u | High chance of blow-up inning from both pitchers |
| Bobby Witt Jr. 2+ bases (+110) | 1u -> 2.10u | 4-for-12 vs. Rodriguez in career |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. to hit a home run (+550) | .2u -> 1.30u | Home run vs. McLean in three career plate appearances |
Total wagered: 3.2 units | Max profit: 7.02 units
💰 United States vs. Venezuela best bet
Over 8.5 (-115)
For Over bettors, this matchup couldn't get any better. Both Rodriguez and McLean haven't had the best time suppressing runs this tournament, to say the least, and now get two of the best offenses in the World Baseball Classic.
Rodriguez has struggled mightily, being chased after 2 2/3 innings of work against the Dominicans, and might be in for a rough night with an exhausted bullpen behind him. Venezuela pieced together seven different pitchers just last night to book their ticket to the final. Meanwhile, McLean was rocked in his pool play start against Italy, giving up two bombs and three runs in three innings of work. His misses tend to find the heart of the plate, and Venezuela will have to capitalize if they want to keep pace with USA tonight. Expect runs early and often tonight.
🤑 Bonus play for United States vs. Venezuela
For what it's worth, I'm not expecting this one to be close. McLean has higher upside in this matchup, while Rodriguez will need to have the game of his life. Look for the Americans to win this one by four or five, and for the States to cash the -1.5 (-130) run line at DraftKings with ease.
🔥 Best United States vs. Venezuela player prop
Bobby Witt Jr. 2+ bases (+110)
This is my favorite play on the board, and I may add another unit to it prior to first pitch. Witt has been one of the more consistent hitters for the Americans in the World Baseball Classic, registering at least one hit in four of five games this tournament. Against Rodriguez, he's 4-for-12 in his career and has the speed to turn a single into a double. It also helps that Witt loves lefties, owning a higher OPS against southpaws over the last two seasons.
I'd price this closer to -110 at our best sports betting sites - let's run with this value.
💣 United States vs. Venezuela home run prediction
Ronald Acuna Jr. to hit a home run (+550)
McLean has been susceptible to the long ball in this tournament, and Acuna has already tagged him for a bomb in just three career plate appearances against the right-hander. He's my favorite United States vs. Venezuela home run prediction as a result.
McLean loves to use his sinker or fastball more than any other pitch in his repertoire, and Acuna is a notoriously great fastball hitter. Just a few days ago, Yoshinobu Yamamoto tried to sneak a 97 MPH fastball by Acuna, which he deposited into the bleachers. If McLean tries to do the same, I'm expecting the same result. He's got a 15.7% barrel rate this tournament, the highest of any Venezuelan - look for some loud contact tonight.
🚀 United States vs. Venezuela same-game parlay
💵 Best United States vs. Venezuela same-game parlay
- United States -1.5 (-130)
- Over 8.5 (-115)
- Bobby Witt Jr. 2+ bases (+110)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. home run (+550)
Best odds: +4415 via DraftKings (0.20u -> 8.82u)
⚖️ How I'm betting United States vs. Venezuela
I'm again being mostly conservative with my bankroll management here. The World Baseball Classic is just a difficult tournament to cap, and so I'm keeping everything within a unit, like I have been doing all tournament.
I'm leaning heavier into what I know in specific matchups. Witt has enough plate appearances against Rodriguez for me to feel confident in this plus-money play, as I'd price it closer to -110 betting odds. That's the type of value we have to take advantage of. Elsewhere, we have two pitchers who are susceptible to mistakes going up against some of the best hitters in the world - the Over, along with Witt, are two of my favorite plays tonight as a result.
🆚 United States vs. Venezuela starting pitchers & projected lineups
Here are the projected starting pitchers and lineups for Tuesday's United States vs. Venezuela matchup:
| Team USA | Position | Team Venezuela | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | SS | Ronald Acuna Jr. | RF |
| Bryce Harper | 1B | Maikel Garcia | 3B |
| Aaron Judge | RF | Luis Arraez | 1B |
| Kyle Schwarber | DH | Eugenio Suarez | DH |
| Alex Bregman | 3B | Ezequiel Tovar | SS |
| Cal Raleigh | C | Gleyber Torres | 2B |
| Roman Anthony | LF | Wilyer Abreu | LF |
| Brice Turang | 2B | William Contreras | C |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CF | Jackson Chourio | CF |
| Nolan McLean | RHP | Eduardo Rodriguez | LHP |
📺 How to watch United States vs. Venezuela
- When: Tuesday, March 17
- First pitch: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: loanDepot Park (Miami, Fla)
- TV: FS1
❓ United States vs. Venezuela World Baseball Classic FAQ
Here's what people are asking about United States vs. Venezuela for Tuesday:
Who is the favorite in United States vs. Venezuela?
The United States are the sizable moneyline favorite while getting -270 betting odds.
What time is the United States vs. Venezuela WBC final game?
The United States vs. Venezuela semifinal starts at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday from loanDeport Park in Miami, Fla.
Who are the starting pitchers for United States vs. Venezuela?
Eduardo Rodriguez will be on the mound for Venezuela, while the United States will go with Nolan McLean.
Where can I watch the United States vs. Venezuela WBC game for free?
United States vs. Venezuela can be watched on FS1.
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