Tigers vs. Twins Predictions, Odds & Best Bets: Cy Young Favorite Coasts in Twin Cities
Detroit has won five of nine against Minnesota this year, and my Tigers vs. Twins prediction expects the visitors to pick up another game in the season series tonight behind their superstar starter.
The Tigers are -210 betting favorites at the best MLB betting sites, with a total set at O/U 7.5 runs. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET (FDSN Detroit, Twins.TV) from Target Field in Minneapolis.
My Tigers vs. Twins best bets look to American League Cy Young Award odds favorite Tarik Skubal to shove en route to a win against a familiar foe. Detroit slugger Kerry Carpenter is also featured in my best home run predictions today.
⚾ Tigers vs. Twins predictions & odds
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💰 Tigers vs. Twins prediction & best bet
✅ Tigers vs. Twins prediction: Tigers to win (-210 via Caesars)
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Anybody who has followed my MLB picks recently knows I often encourage bettors to exercise caution when backing heavy betting favorites in baseball. However, my Tigers vs. Twins prediction goes against everything I've preached in recent weeks, as I believe Detroit's pitching advantage is too significant to ignore.
Skubal dominated Minnesota last time out, fanning 13 Twins and allowing just one hit across seven scoreless frames. The Tigers have won at an 80% clip over their last 10 games with their ace on the bump, including August's two contests.
Minnesota hasn't been quite as lucky, losing the last nine games started by Bailey Ober.
The 30-year-old has been responsible for 38 earned runs across that span. The Twins haven't won an Ober outing since May 19, when he pitched just three innings in a 6-5 win over the Cleveland Guardians. Minnesota's offensive woes - 12 runs in their past five games - have only compounded the issue as of late.
My Tigers vs. Twins best bet backs the class of the AL Central behind one of baseball's top arms. Bet Detroit moneyline at BetMGM and Caesars, which offer the shortest odds among the best sports betting sites.
💰 Best Tigers vs. Twins player prop
✅ Best Tigers vs. Twins player prop: Tarik Skubal Over 7.5 strikeouts (-160 via BetMGM)
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It should come as no surprise that my best Tigers vs. Twins player prop features the most prominent pitcher in today's game. Dominant doesn't feel like a strong enough adjective to describe the Detroit ace's appearance against Minnesota before the All-Star break. It was a near-flawless showing that saw Skubal suffocate a struggling lineup.
Truth be told, I expect more of the same today from the superhuman starter. Skubal has cleared this line in five of his last eight outings against many teams that strike out less frequently than the Twins. Only four teams have been sat down by opposing pitchers more frequently than Minnesota over the last three games, with the hosts striking out 9.67 times per game.
Skubal has gone Over 7.5 strikeouts in 13 of his 23 starts. While the implied probability of his -160 odds to go Over tonight (61.54%) outweighs the rate at which he's cleared this line on the season (56.52%), I'm comfortable putting my faith in the All-Star arm and laying the juice.
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