Reds vs. Angels Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Los Angeles to Avoid Home Sweep
The Cincinnati Reds look to finish a three-game road sweep while continuing to hunt down an NL wild-card spot as they face the Los Angeles Angels tonight, with first pitch from Angel Stadium scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET (FDSN, MLB Network).
Our Reds vs. Angels prediction finds great value with L.A.’s -125 moneyline odds at one of our best sports betting sites.
Given that the Over has cashed in nine of Los Angeles’ last 11 games, our Reds vs. Angels best bets also find a creative way to fade Cincinnati starting pitcher Nick Martinez.
⚾ Reds vs. Angels prediction & odds
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💰 Reds vs. Angels prediction & best bet
✅ Reds vs. Angels prediction: Angels to win (-125 via BetMGM)
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We whiffed on our Reds vs. Angels prediction for Monday’s series opener (but salvaged a 1-1 day with a player prop cash), as we wrongly faded Cincinnati righty Brady Singer, who is now 4-1 with a 1.86 ERA in his last five starts. But tonight, the starting pitching edge shifts to Los Angeles, which is why its moneyline makes up my Reds vs. Angels prediction.
Cincinnati is in its worse hitting split when facing Los Angeles southpaw Yusei Kikuchi. The Reds are 49-40 (an 89-win pace over 162 games) against right-handed starting pitchers and two games under .500 (18-20) against leftys.
Los Angeles is 5-1 in Kikuchi’s last six home starts, and its plus-14 run differential over that stretch makes this my Reds vs. Angels best bet.
The Angels have as high as a 57.81% implied probability to win outright based on -137 odds at DraftKings, making these -125 odds at BetMGM a steal in comparison.
📊 Live Reds vs. Angels odds: Wednesday, 9:38 p.m. ET
💰 Best Reds vs. Angels player prop
✅ Best Reds vs. Angels player prop: Nick Martinez Under 16.5 outs recorded (-125 via bet365)
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My best Reds vs. Angels player prop fades Cincinnati righty Martinez, who has failed to record more than eight outs in two of his three August starts.
Martinez has allowed a worse slash line across the board to right-handed hitters than leftys, which is a concern when facing L.A.’s righty-dominated lineup.
Martinez has also pitched to a 9.22 ERA in the sixth inning and allowed an .847 OPS the third time through a lineup this year, so I expect the Reds' coaching staff to yank him early once again.
A $10 winning wager at bet365 would net $8 in profits, which is slightly better than the $7.69 net return through the worse -130 price at other top sports betting apps.
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❓MLB betting FAQs
How do betting odds work?
Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common.
What is the run line in baseball?
The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.
What does moneyline mean in betting?
The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet - just pick the winner.
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