Rays vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Diaz Set to Keep Powering Rays' Surge

The Tampa Bay Rays can keep riding high while leaning on the hot bat of Yandy Diaz.
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction
Pictured Tampa Bay Rays designated hitter Yandy Diaz runs the bases after hitting a home run. Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck / Imagn.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been flying high while winning six of their last eight games, and they're well-positioned to continue that steamrolling as we look at our Rays vs. Orioles prediction, odds, and best bets.

The Rays are the -125 favorites ahead of first pitch at 7:05 p.m. ET in Baltimore (Apple TV+).

  • Rays vs. Orioles prediction: Rays to win (-125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Over/Under prediction: Over 8.5 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Best player prop pick: Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 total bases (+115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

⚾ Rays vs. Orioles predictions & odds

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💰 Rays vs. Orioles prediction & best bet

✅ Best bet: Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 total bases (+115 via bet365)

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The Rays are fresh off allowing just one run during a series sweep of the Kansas City Royals, and they beat the World Series odds contending Detroit Tigers in their previous series.

Now a slugger who's been key to Tampa's offensive fireworks gets an ideal matchup to keep rolling against the Orioles and their woeful pitching staff that sits 27th in ERA.

Diaz has been inferno hot throughout June while boasting a 1.093 OPS during the month, towering over his .694 in April and March, and .685 during May.

There are always fears about the regression monster bringing him at least some of the distance back to the latter numbers. But underlying metrics glowing with red at Baseball Savant always help to push back those demons, and most notably an average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage that both sit in the top 4% leaguewide.

He excels against righties too while putting up an .813 OPS and .302 batting average compared to a .776 and .244 when facing a southpaw. And the righty he'll clash with tonight in Tomoyuki Sugano relies heavily on contact while posting a putrid K/9 of 5.4, and he's tied for 16th leaguewide with 14 homers allowed.

We're getting modest value while jumping on the +115 offering here from bet365, as most of our other best MLB betting sites are in the +105 to +110 range. However, BetRivers sits all the way down at -104.

📈 Rays vs. Orioles betting insights

Here are some betting insights from BetMGM in the hours before first pitch:

  • The Rays are getting the overwhelming amount of attention on the moneyline while receiving 68% of the bets and 69% of the handle
  • It's a similar story with the Under on 9 runs, which is getting 88% of the bets and 92% of the handle
  • The Rays are also getting plenty of support on the run line while drawing 74% of the bets and 86% of the handle to cover -1.5

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💵 Best MLB betting sites

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