Rays vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Cleveland Can Stop Slide

The Guardians have Tanner Bibee on the mound tonight, who has been effective at home this season.
Rays vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Monday, Aug. 25
Pictured: Cleveland Guardians pitcher Tanner Bibee celebrates as I offer my Rays vs. Guardians prediction. Photo by Mark J. Rebilas via Imagn Images.

The Cleveland Guardians (64-65) aim to end a five-game skid when they host the Tampa Bay Rays (63-67), and I'm breaking down the matchup with my Rays vs. Guardians prediction. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET on Monday at Progressive Field (FDSN SUN, CLEG, FS1).

Cleveland is a -120 favorite to stop the slide at the best sports betting sites, which is a line I’m willing to take. There is a starting pitcher mismatch between Ian Seymour and Tanner Bibee (particularly at home) for my Rays vs. Guardians best bets.

⚾ Rays vs. Guardians prediction & odds

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✅ Rays vs. Guardians prediction: Guardians to win (-120 via FanDuel)

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As I make my Rays vs. Guardians prediction, I’m surprised that this line is available. Ballpark Pal’s model projects a 58.7% chance of victory for the Guardians, giving them fair odds of -142.

Seymour, a reliever, slides into the starting rotation due to injury. He’s made 12 appearances this season, posting a 3.86 ERA. He’s yet to pitch more than 3 1/3 innings in 2025, giving up eight runs on nine hits over his last two games.

Tanner Bibee (9-9, 4.62 ERA) has taken a step back in his third season, but he’s been much better at home. 

He has a 3.19 ERA in 10 home starts this year compared to a 5.64 clip on the road. I’ll back him at these odds, where a $10 bet nets a $8.33 profit.

📊 Live Rays vs. Guardians odds: Monday, 6:40 p.m. ET

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💰 Best Rays vs. Guardians player prop

✅ Best Rays vs. Guardians player prop: David Fry Under 0.5 hits (+115 via ESPN BET)

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My best Rays vs. Guardians player prop might be more available when lineups are announced, but I’m interested in fading David Fry as a pinch-hit risk in tonight’s matchup. He’s gotten the start in six straight matchups against left-handed pitchers, but he’s exited the game early in half of those contests.

Those chances are even higher in this spot, considering Seymour might not last more than one or two times through the order. Fry hasn’t recorded a hit since Aug. 14, so I don’t mind a plus-money price on that trend continuing on Monday.

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