Phillies vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Will Schwarber’s Power Surge Continue?

After the Philadelphia Phillies (59-44) dominated the New York Yankees (56-46) in yesterday’s series opener, the Yankees are rare +100 home underdogs according to our best sports betting sites, and our Phillies vs. Yankees prediction analyzes if those odds are justified.

Kyle Schwarber put on a show with yesterday’s two home-run performance, and our Phillies vs. Yankees best bets declare whether or not he will continue his hot streak. This is the earliest afternoon game on Saturday’s slate, with first pitch from Yankee Stadium set for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLBN).

• Phillies vs. Yankees prediction: Phillies to win (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Best Phillies vs. Yankees player props: Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run (+230 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

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✅ Phillies vs. Yankees prediction: Phillies moneyline (-115 via bet365)

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Over the prior two full seasons, the Yankees are 28 games over .500 against right-handed starting pitchers and .500 against southpaws. That trend has remained true this season with New York 44-36 against righties and 12-11 against lefties, and that is a big reason for backing Ranger Suarez and Philadelphia with my Phillies vs. Yankees prediction. 

Suarez has made 11 quality starts in 14 appearances this season, including in each of his seven road starts. Suarez’s road ERA is 2.68 runs lower than at home (1.47 vs. 4.15), which still has me confident despite his ERA ballooning to 5.63 through three July starts.

Either way, Suarez is more trustworthy than Yankees righty Marcus Stroman, who is on pace for career worsts in FIP, WHIP, HR/9, walk rate, and strikeout rate. Thus, my Phillies vs. Yankees best bet is Philadelphia’s moneyline, especially since New York has won just two of its five games as a home underdog dating back to the start of last season.

We are headed to bet365 for this wager, the only one of the best sports betting apps offering better than -120 odds to back the Phillies.

💰 Best Phillies vs. Yankees player props

✅ Best Phillies vs. Yankees player prop: Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run (+230 via FanDuel)

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We're featuring Schwarber in our home run predictions today, so we're all-in on him driving one out of Yankee Stadium today.

Four of Stroman’s five home runs allowed have come against left-handed batters, so I am backing Philadelphia’s most feared power-hitting lefty with my best Phillies vs. Yankees player prop.

Schwarber gets the nod with this wager over Bryce Harper considering Harper is just 2-for-16 in his career against Stroman. After Schwarber’s two home runs yesterday, he now has homered in three straight games and five of the last seven, while posting a 1.142 OPS thus far in July. 

Stroman has allowed a home run in four of his last five starts, so these +230 odds for Schwarber to homer make sense, especially since his slugging percentage allowed to left-handed batters is 206 points higher than he allows to righties.

FanDuel’s +230 odds are much more appealing than DraftKings’ +215 odds, which are the next-highest available from this market.

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❓MLB betting FAQs

How do betting odds work?

Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common. 

What is the run line in baseball?

The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.

What does moneyline mean in betting?

The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet - just pick the winner.

💵 Best MLB betting sites

Want to bet on Phillies vs. Yankees? Check out the best MLB betting sites and best sportsbook promos for today's MLB games:

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