Phillies vs. Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: MLB Best Bets for Sept. 16
Thanks to an extra-inning win in the series opener, the Philadelphia Phillies are the NL East champions for the second consecutive year. But last night’s celebration is a factor when I made my Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction for today's matchup. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is at 10:10 p.m. ET (TBS).
This is a classic letdown and rest spot for the Phillies, which is why the Dodgers are the -130 moneyline betting favorite at most sportsbooks. Los Angeles’ moneyline will lead my MLB picks for this game, but there is also value on the Under for Shohei Ohtani’s earned runs prop
⚾ Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction
MLB expert picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Dodgers ML (-125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Run line pick: Dodgers +1.5 (-234 via Caesars) ⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
📝 Phillies vs. Dodgers preview & best bet
Track the latest MLB scores for line movement and matchup info.
🔵 Dodgers ML (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I’d recommend reading Todd Zolecki’s story on Phillies.com, describing the last 36 hours for this team.
The Phillies landed in Los Angeles a little before 2 a.m. Monday morning, after some mechanical issues with their plane. Then, they played a wild 10-inning affair with the Dodgers that night, earning a 6-5 victory to win the division for the second year in a row. Of course, there was a celebration in the locker room after the game.
Basically, don’t be surprised if a few key players sit for Philadelphia on Tuesday. This is the time of the year when teams tend to play unusual lineups the night after clinching a division title or playoff spot.
Even if it weren’t for last night’s festivities, I’d be interested in the Dodgers at this price with Shohei Ohtani on the mound. I’d recommend acting fast on this -125 value, as a $10 bet nets a profit of $8.
💰 Best Phillies vs. Dodgers player prop bet
Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬇️ Shohei Ohtani Under 1.5 earned runs allowed (-138 via DraftKings)
Ohtani still isn’t going that deep into games, providing value on his Unders. In this instance, I like targeting the -138 value on 1.5 earned runs allowed at DraftKings, as this ticket costs as much as -150 at BetMGM.
Ohtani has only given up more than one run in three of his 12 starts so far this season. He’s given up one earned run across 8 2/3 innings over his last two outings, giving him plenty of momentum before facing Philadelphia’s presumed backup-filled lineup.
📊 Phillies vs. Dodgers odds: Sept. 16
MLB odds update live in real time.
📈 Phillies vs. Dodgers betting odds analysis
The Dodgers began as -120 favorites, but I expect one-way movement in their direction as lineups are announced. The total starts at 7.5, though the Over could see some action after the two teams scored 11 total runs last night.
🔢 Phillies vs. Dodgers stats
Season stats courtesy of baseball-reference.com.
| Phillies (90-61) | Statistic (per game) | Dodgers (84-66) |
|---|---|---|
| 4.9 | Runs | 5.1 |
| 8.9 | Hits | 8.6 |
| .261 | AVG | .254 |
| .432 | SLG | .439 |
| .763 | OPS | .769 |
| 4.03 | ERA | 4.04 |
| 9.2 | K/9 | 9.2 |
| 2.8 | BB/9 | 3.5 |
| 1.1 | HR/9 | 1.1 |
🚑 Phillies vs. Dodgers injuries
📺 Phillies vs. Dodgers game info
- When: Tuesday, Sept. 16
- First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where: Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles)
- How to watch: TBS
❓ Phillies vs. Dodgers FAQs
Who is favored to win Phillies vs. Dodgers?
The Dodgers are the -125 moneyline betting favorite, which gives them an implied probability of 55.56%.
What is the run line for Phillies vs. Dodgers?
Philadelphia is a -1.5 run line favorite against Los Angeles.
What is the Over/Under for Phillies vs. Dodgers?
The total for Tuesday’s Phillies-Dodgers matchup is 7.5.
What are the best bets for Phillies vs. Dodgers?
I like Los Angeles’ ML and Shohei Ohtani Under 1.5 earned runs as my best bets for Phillies vs. Dodgers.
When is the Phillies vs. Dodgers game?F
The Phillies vs. Dodgers game will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday on TBS.
How do baseball odds work?
When betting on MLB, the run line shows how many runs the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by two or more runs to cover the run line, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by one run to cover the run line.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total of runs will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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