Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Can Charlie Morton Conquer Cleveland?

Baltimore is on the verge of being swept in Cleveland, but the Orioles turn to a veteran pitcher with a winning record against the Guardians.
Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Thursday, July 24
Pictured: Cleveland Guardians starting pitcher Logan Allen (26) delivers a pitch as we make our Orioles vs. Guardians prediction. Photo by David Richard via Imagn Images.

Cleveland looks to complete the series sweep over Baltimore this afternoon, and my Orioles vs. Guardians prediction expects the hosts to remain red-hot after the All-Star break.

The best sports betting sites list the Guardians as -112 betting favorites over the Orioles. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network) from Progressive Field in Cleveland.

My Orioles vs. Guardians best bet anticipates the hosts jumping on the opposing starter early on, with some of their slumping stars getting in on the action.

  • Orioles vs. Guardians prediction: Guardians to win (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Best Orioles vs. Guardians player props: Carlos Santana Over 0.5 hits (-140 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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✅ Orioles vs. Guardians prediction: Guardians to win (-112 via FanDuel)

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It's hard to imagine a better start to life post-All-Star break than the one Cleveland is living right now. The Guardians are 5-1, playing some of the best baseball anywhere in the league, and their division-leading rival just got swept by Pittsburgh.

My Orioles vs. Guardians prediction sees one of MLB's hottest teams staying in scorching form this afternoon.

Cleveland has the fourth-most runs of any team over its last three (6.33 runs per game), and has scored six or more runs in four of its last six. How does Baltimore plan to slow down the Guardians' offense? Starting veteran Charlie Morton, whose 5.58 ERA stands in the way of the hosts and a sweep.

Morton's historically pitched well against Cleveland in his career, posting a 3.21 ERA to go along with a winning record. However, the 41-year-old has struggled (6.81 ERA) away from Camden Yards this season, so we expect the hosts to see beach balls today.

My Orioles vs. Guardians best bet sees Cleveland completing the sweep of Baltimore by way of their bats. We recommend this at four-star confidence, with our best sports betting apps offering fantastic odds (-112) given the circumstances.

💰 Best Orioles vs. Guardians player props

✅ Best Orioles vs. Guardians player prop: Carlos Santana Over 0.5 hits (-140 via DraftKings)

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It's no secret by now that Baltimore's veteran pitcher isn't expected to silence the host's scorching offense. While first baseman Carlos Santana has been quiet recently, we expect him to end his two-game hitless streak this afternoon.

Santana has found a lot of success against Morton throughout his career. He's hitting .357 against him in 14 at-bats, including four extra-base hits. The 39-year-old has gone Over this prop at a 40% clip over his last 10 appearances.

I'm confidently taking a flier on Santana to continue to find success against the opposing starter today. The best sportsbooks offer this play at -140 betting odds, which is fairly low for any "to get a hit" props.

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Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common. 

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The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.

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