Mets vs. Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Can Devers Build off Multi-Home Run Game?

Our Mets vs. Giants prediction fades New York playing its first road game of the second half of the season, and expects a big day from Rafael Devers.
Mets vs. Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Can Devers Build Off Multi-Home Run Game?
Pictured: Rafael Devers - who's highlighted in our Mets vs. Giants prediction - reacts after hitting a three run home run. Photo by: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

For the first time since the All-Star break, the New York Mets (59-44) hit the road and open a three-game series against the San Francisco Giants (54-49). Our Mets vs. Giants prediction analyzes this first meeting of the season between these teams, with first pitch from Oracle Park set for 10:15 p.m. ET.

Rafael Devers is coming off his best game in a San Francisco uniform, and he leads our Mets vs. Giants best bets.

  • Mets vs. Giants prediction: Giants to win (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Best Mets vs. Giants player props: Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs (+185 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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💰 Mets vs. Giants prediction & best bet

✅ Mets vs. Giants prediction: Giants to win (-130 via bet365)

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Our Mets vs. Giants prediction is predicated on a starting pitching mismatch between a pitcher whose innings will likely be limited in the second half, and an ace who is an innings eater for his club.

New York righty Clay Holmes has recorded 16 or fewer outs in seven consecutive starts. The Mets have lost three of Holmes’ four July outings, being outscored by eight runs in the process while he has pitched to a 5.66 ERA. That puts even more stress on a bullpen that has thrown the third-most innings in July, while ranking 18th in ERA and 25th in FIP.

On the other side, Logan Webb has thrown the second-most innings in the majors while ranking third in xFIP among qualified pitchers. Webb has held current Mets hitters to a combined .196/.249/.306 slash line in 107 at-bats, and I expect him to lead San Francisco to a win as my Mets vs. Giants best bet. It's one of the reasons why Dustin Saracini loves this matchup as part of his best NRFI bets today.

The early money has seemingly backed New York, as the shortest moneyline odds for San Francisco were -136 (we're at -130 betting odds now) offered at FanDuel overnight. But that does not have me wavering on this pick, and I am more excited about the bigger potential payout (a $10 winning wager would net $7.69 in profits).

💰 Best Mets vs. Giants player props

✅ Best Mets vs. Giants player prop: Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs (+185 via DraftKings)

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Devers is familiar with Holmes from the days of the Red Sox-Yankees rivalry, and he has a home run and two hits in seven career at-bats against the righty.

Devers is coming off his first multi-home run game with San Francisco, and the 20th of his career. He is now 10-for-26 with four extra-base hits in six games since the All-Star Break.

Devers may have to carry the load offensively with Matt Chapman questionable, and we expect him to do just that as our best Mets vs. Giants player prop.

DraftKings is the only top sports betting site offering better than +180 odds for Devers to drive in a run.

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The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.

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