⚾ Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela Predictions & Odds: WBC 2026 Betting Picks Tonight
Last Updated: March 11, 2026 4:10 PM EDT • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link
It's possible some of the biggest names get a break tonight with both these teams advancing to the knockout phase, but our Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela predictions still believe most of the stars will play in what should be an exciting, high-scoring affair with Pool D supremacy on the line.
At the very least, we're getting a great pitching showdown between MLB veterans Sandy Alcantara for the Dominican Republic and Eduardo Rodriguez for Venezuela.
The Dominican Republic rested a couple of starters last game against Israel, and I'm betting on one of them to bring the thunder after some time off.
⚾ Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela WBC predictions: Tonight, 8 p.m. ET
Here are our World Baseball Classic picks for tonight's Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela matchup; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale.
| Pick | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dominican Republic -2.5 | +100 via DraftKings | 1 units -> 2u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 11 | +105 via Caesars | 1 units -> 2.05u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2+ hits | +150 via DraftKings | 0.67 units -> 1.68u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Manny Machado home run | +500 via DraftKings | 0.33 units -> 1.98u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 4.71 units
💰 Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela best bet
Over 11 (+105)
Some of our best sports betting sites have this total at 10.5, so you can play that. However, I'll accept the push on 11 to get additional profit on a total Over it, which I think is the more likely result.
The Dominican Republic has scored a combined 34 runs in three games, while Venezuela has managed 19. If this game didn't project to be so competitive, I might be more hesitant after getting burned by this bet in the Dominican Republic-Israel game. However, I think we see a final score somewhere in the neighborhood of 9-6.
🔥 Best Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela player prop
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2+ hits (+150)
I bet on Vladimir Guerrerro Jr. to record two-plus hits against Israel, but he didn't start. However, I'm going back to that bet for the same reasons I made it in the first place.
With the lefty Rodriguez on the mound, I love this matchup for Vlad. He had the 10th-best batting average and sixth-best wRC+ against lefties this past MLB season. Additionally, he hits toward the top of the lineup, so it's entirely possible he gets multiple plate appearances against the left-handed starter.
Even if he doesn't, though, Venezuela has a number of lefty relievers, and with Vlad likely to hit behind Juan Soto, he may get to face a southpaw as a result of that matchup.
💣 Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela home run prediction
Manny Machado home run (+500)
I also bet on Manny Machado to hit a home run in the Israel game, and, unfortunately, the opposition mostly refused to pitch to him. Machado took three walks and was hit by a pitch, recording only one official at-bat.
I think we see Venezuela throw Machado some strikes in what should be a much more competitive affair, and, much like Vlad, he was a menace against lefties in 2025. Machado hit 12 homers against southpaws, the sixth-most in baseball.
🚀 Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela same-game parlay
I'm parlaying the Over 11 with two batter props and the favorites on the moneyline for our Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela SGP at DraftKings. The odds aren't crazy long, so you don't have to be so aggressive in limiting your wager size.
💵 Best Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela parlay bet
- Over 11 (-110)
- Dominican Republic moneyline (-215)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1+ hit (-340)
- Manny Machado (-285)
Best odds: +236 via DraftKings (0.5u -> 1.68u)
💵 My betting record for the WBC
All baseball picks have been tracked since the start of the World Baseball Classic on March 4
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-21 | +12.09 units ✅ | 32.3% ✅ |
| Over/Under | 11-2 | +8.48 units ✅ | 65.2% ✅ |
| Player props | 7-15 | -0.74 units ❌ | -6.1% ❌ |
⚖️ How I'm betting Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela
In the last game of pool play, I feel pretty comfortable getting a bit looser with my bankroll management, since this contest features a ton of players we're familiar with. The only thing I'm not especially interested in betting on is the moneyline or spread. It feels a bit too tight, and I don't feel super comfortable handicapping a result.
However, I'd slam a unit on this game to go Over 11, and then also bet a combined 1.5 to two units on various player props. You can add the Vlad and Machado ones and/or even bet on your preferred stars. I think we see a ton of offense.
📊 Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela odds & analysis
Here are the live World Baseball Classic odds for Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela today:
The longest odds on the Dominican Republic to win outright are -215, so I think the only value on the money is on the underdogs. At DraftKings, bettors are all over the favorites in what's widely expected to be a high-scoring game. We're seeing 85% of the moneyline bets being placed on the favorites, 63% of the bets for the total on the Over, and 60% of the run line bets on the Dominican Republic to cover -1.5. As of 3:30 p.m. ET, bettors are all over the favorites.
🆚 Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela starting pitchers & projected lineups
Here are the projected starting pitchers and lineups for tonight's Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela matchup:
| Position | Dominican Republic | Venezuela |
|---|---|---|
| Starting pitcher | Sandy Alcantara | Eduardo Rodriguez |
| C | Agustin Ramirez | William Contreras |
| 1B | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Willson Contreras |
| 2B | Ketel Marte | Luis Arraez |
| SS | Geroldo Perdomo | Andres Gimenez |
| 3B | Manny Machado | Maikel Garcia |
| LF | Fernando Tatis Jr. | Wilyer Abreu |
| CF | Julio Rodriguez | Jackson Chourio |
| RF | Juan Soto | Ronald Acuna Jr. |
| DH | Junior Caminero | Eugenio Suarez |
Key players to watch
Dominican Republic - Junior Caminero: I debated between betting on either Machado or Caminero to homer, but the latter has significantly shorter odds. However, he also torments lefties and could go yard tonight.
Venezuela - Ronald Acuna Jr.: Acuna is among the true NL MVP contenders this upcoming season and has plenty of experience against Alcantara, going 11-for-35 with a home run.
📺 How to watch Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela
- When: Wednesday, March 11
- First pitch: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: loanDepot park (Miami, Fla.)
- TV: Tubi
- Streaming: Fubo
❓ Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela World Baseball Classic FAQ
Here's what people are asking about Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela today:
Who is the favorite in Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela?
The Dominican Republic is the favorite to win, with odds hovering around -215.
What time is the Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela WBC game?
This game will start at 8 p.m. ET.
Who are the starting pitchers for Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela?
The Dominican Republic will send Sandy Alcantara to the mound, while Venezuela will go with Eduardo Rodriguez.
Where can I watch the Dominican Republic vs. Venezuela WBC game?
You can watch this game on Tubi or stream it on Fubo.
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