Braves vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: MLB Best Bets for Aug. 29
The Philadelphia Phillies are in a great position to hang another crooked number on the Atlanta Braves on Friday night, and that’s a big part of my Braves vs. Phillies prediction. First pitch is set to fly at 6:45 p.m. ET (Apple TV+) from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is a -177 favorite as they take on struggling Braves right-hander Bryce Elder. My MLB picks back the Phillies at plus-money on the spread while also fading one of Elder’s player props.
Be sure to also check out our Mike Spector's best home run predictions today, which feature Phillies outfielder Nick Castellanos, among others.
⚾ Braves vs. Phillies expert picks & predictions
MLB expert picks made Friday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Phillies (-175 via Pinnacle) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Run line pick: Phillies -1.5 (+120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 9 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Braves vs. Phillies preview & best bet
Track the latest MLB scores for line movement and matchup info.
🔔 Phillies -1.5 (+120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Philadelphia has raked at the friendly confines of Citizens Bank Park all season long, sitting second in the league in runs scored at home, second in OPS, and fourth in home runs. They are also tied for the second-best home record in Major League Baseball with an impressive 43-22 mark in 2025.
Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez dominated the Braves in two starts this season, earning two wins with a sparkling 0.69 ERA over 13 innings. The Braves have disappointed this season, so I’m riding with Philadelphia to continue their misery as I make my Braves vs. Phillies best bet.
Getting a great home team against a struggling pitcher at plus money is too good to pass up on. One of our best sports betting sites, bet365, offered +120 odds, which nets a $12 profit on a $10 wager.
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💰 Best Braves vs. Phillies player prop bet
Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
🥶 Bryce Elder Over 5.5 hits allowed (-145) ⭐⭐⭐
Elder has allowed well over one hit per inning pitched this season, with his WHIP sitting at 1.52 in 117 2/3 innings. The Phillies had their way with Elder in his only appearance against them in 2025, scoring 10 runs (nine earned) on eight hits in just two innings of work.
Elder’s fastball has struggled this season, allowing a .302 batting average and .503 slugging percentage. The Phillies, meanwhile, have been one of the top teams against fastballs this season.
A $10 bet on Elder to allow six hits or more provides a profit of $6.90 at Caesars. If you want to play this prop up to Over 6.5 hits, it’s available at plus money at some of our best sports betting apps.
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📊 Braves vs. Phillies odds: Aug. 29
MLB odds update live in real time.
📈 Braves vs. Phillies betting odds analysis
The Phillies opened as a -170 moneyline favorite, but that has already jumped to -200 at a handful of our best MLB betting sites. I wouldn’t be surprised if that number continues to rise, as well as other pro-Phillies wagers in what profiles as a strong spot for the home team.
🔢 Braves vs. Phillies stats
Season stats courtesy of baseball-reference.com.
| Braves (61-73) | Statistic (per game) | Phillies (77-57) |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4 | Runs | 4.8 |
| 8.3 | Hits | 8.7 |
| .244 | AVG | .258 |
| .395 | SLG | .426 |
| .716 | OPS | .754 |
| 4.44 | ERA | 3.85 |
| 8.72 | K/9 | 9.34 |
| 3.39 | BB/9 | 2.74 |
| 1.19 | HR/9 | 1.10 |
🚑 Braves vs. Phillies injuries
📺 Braves vs. Phillies game info
- When: Friday, Aug. 29
- First pitch: 6:45 p.m. ET
- Where: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, Pa.)
- How to watch: Apple TV+
💡 Expert MLB predictions today
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❓ Braves vs. Phillies FAQs
Who is favored to win Braves vs. Phillies?
The Phillies are -177 favorites to defeat the Braves at home on Friday.
What is the run line for Braves vs. Phillies?
Philadelphia is a -1.5 run line favorite against Atlanta in Friday’s matchup.
What is the Over/Under for Braves vs. Phillies?
The total for Friday’s game between the Braves and Phillies is 9.
What are the best bets for Braves vs. Phillies?
The best bets for Friday’s Braves vs. Phillies game are Philadelphia -1.5 (+120) and Bryce Elder Over 5.5 hits allowed (-145).
When is the Braves vs. Phillies game?
First pitch is set for 6:45 p.m. ET on Friday at Citizens Bank Park.
How do baseball odds work?
When betting on MLB, the run line shows how many runs the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by two or more runs to cover the run line, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by one run to cover the run line.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total of runs will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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