Blue Jays vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Will Toronto Keep Rising Above Detroit in AL?

Last Updated: July 24, 2025 5:19 PM EDT • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link

A surprisingly rising team meets a surprisingly plummeting club as we make our Blue Jays vs. Tigers prediction.
It's a clash of two AL powerhouses, albeit ones on opposite trajectories. The Tigers just suffered a sweep at the hands of the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates, which came shortly after a six-game losing streak. Meanwhile, Toronto won 10 straight games not long ago, and the Blue Jays have taken five of six contests since the All-Star break.
The Tigers are the favorites for your Blue Jays vs. Tigers best bets while getting roughly -130 betting odds ahead of first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET from Comerica Park (MLB Network).
- Blue Jays vs. Tigers prediction: Tigers to win (-126 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Best Blue Jays vs. Tigers player props: Addison Barger Over 1.5 total bases (+110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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✅ Blue Jays vs. Tigers prediction: Tigers to win (-126 via FanDuel)
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Yes, backing Detroit to do pretty much anything right now is some terrifying stuff, and the sort of bet that needs to be watched only through your fingers for your Blue Jays vs. Tigers prediction.
After all, the Tigers have lost nine of their last 10 games, with a horrific run differential of minus-40 during that span. They now trail the Jays by a half-game in the AL standings as a result.
But while that recent run can't be ignored, the Tigers still boast the third-best record in the AL, and their second-place standing in the World Series odds reflects a team with the talent to dig out of its rut for your Blue Jays vs. Tigers best bet.
And that climb can start with Eric Lauer going for the Blue Jays. Lauer - who's highlighted in our best strikeout props today - has been stunningly impressive since being added to the rotation, boasting a 2.80 ERA across nine starts. However, he's getting roasted when he does allow contact, with an average exit velocity of 91.2 mph that sits in the bottom 8% leaguewide.
Adding to the concern is that the ball is in the air often off the bat, with his groundball rate in just the fourth percentile. There's also an expected slugging of .468 on his second-most used pitch, a cutter, which is far higher than the actual slugging of .396. The Tigers are raking against lefties too, posting MLB's fifth-best OPS (.763).
💰 Best Blue Jays vs. Tigers player props
✅ Best Blue Jays vs. Tigers player prop: Addison Barger Over 1.5 total bases (+110 via Caesars)
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Addison Barger is roughly in the same territory in terms of games played now as he was when his rookie season ended last year, and the transformation continues to be remarkable.
Over 69 games last year he finished with a putrid .197 batting average, .351 slugging, and .601 OPS. Now he's up to .273, .513, and .837 in those categories this season, respectively, across 78 outings, and the lefty baseball destroyer has clubbed 14 home runs compared to seven.
Best of all for our purposes today, he's regularly putting righties like the Tigers' Reese Olson in a blender with an .893 OPS compared to .591 against southpaws. Olson has been enjoying a quality season, but like Lauer, he's surely due for some regression, as is reflected in his expected ERA of 3.66, which is far higher than the hurler's actual ERA of 2.71.
His tendency to allow booming contact is baked into that number, as Olson's average exit velocity allowed of 91.4 mph sits in the bottom 6% leaguewide, according to Baseball Savant. Meanwhile, there's a sea of red across Barger's Savant page, most notably his hard-hit rate that rests in the 95th percentile.
There isn't a significant difference in the offerings here from the best MLB betting sites, but stay away from the +105 from bet365 and BetMGM when it comes to your best Blue Jays vs. Tigers player props.
📈 Blue Jays vs. Tigers betting insights
Here are some betting insights from BetMGM in the hours before first pitch:
- The Blue Jays are the second-most bet team on the moneyline in terms of tickets and handle
- They're drawing 70% of the bets and 73% of the handle
- The game is also generating the second-most NRFI bets, and the Under on 8.5 is the second most-bet total
- Lauer going Over 4.5 strikeouts is also the third most-bet prop
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The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.
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The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet - just pick the winner.
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