Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Player Prop Bets: MLB Picks & Best Bets for World Series Game 5

With the Fall Classic deadlocked at two games apiece, I’m breaking down the pivotal World Series Game 5 with my Blue Jays vs. Dodgers player prop bets.

The Dodgers are a -210 moneyline home betting favorite tonight, with the first pitch from Dodger Stadium set for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). My MLB picks for Game 5 expect a bounce-back outing from Blake Snell, Toronto’s best slugger to cool off, and Will Smith to take Trey Yesavage deep.

⚾ Blue Jays vs. Dodgers player prop bets: World Series Game 5

MLB player prop bets for Game 5; odds subject to change.

• Blake Snell player prop bet: Snell to record the win (+123 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. player prop bet: Under 1.5 total bases (-145 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
• Best Dodgers vs. Blue Jays home run prediction: Will Smith (+509 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

💰 Best player prop bets for Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

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🔥  Blake Snell to record the win (+123) ⭐⭐⭐

Dodgers southpaw Blake Snell allowed a career postseason-high eight hits over five innings in Game 1 of this series. The issues largely stemmed from an 18.8% whiff percentage on his changeup, which was his second-lowest in a game this season. In the regular season, he had a 43.5% whiff percentage on that pitch, and a 65.5% whiff rate through his first three playoff starts.

Toronto’s lineup has done an excellent job of fouling pitches off against Snell. Its 22 foul balls in Game 1 were the second-most in a game against Snell this season, and the Blue Jays also had 19 against him in a regular season start. 

All of that being said, Los Angeles was still tied with Toronto 2-2 prior to the Blue Jays’ nine-run explosion in the sixth inning. And I expect the Dodgers to hit Trey Yesavage hard in this road start, especially since his 5.93 ERA and nine walks in his last 13 2/3 innings spanning three starts are not inspiring.

A $10 bet on Snell to record the win is a great way to mitigate the Dodgers’ steep -210 moneyline odds. The +123 odds at DraftKings have an implied probability of 44.84% and would net $12.30 if this bet cashes.

Our Dustin Saracini expects a strong game from Snell but also eyes the Over on a Alejandro Kirk player prop in his Blue Jays vs. Dodgers prediction.

⬇️  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 total bases (-145) ⭐⭐⭐

Entering Game 4, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 24 hits were the most in a single postseason run in Blue Jays franchise history. Prior to this season, only Paul Molitor in 1993 had accrued at least 21 hits in a single postseason. 

Guerrero went 1-for-2 with a single and a walk in Game 1 against Snell. But I expect Los Angeles will pitch the Blue Jays slugger very carefully in this game, especially since leadoff man George Springer, who entered Game 3 with the best career slugging percentage in World Series history, could be out of the lineup again.

A $10 wager on this player prop would provide a profit of $6.90 at BetMGM and has an implied probability of 59.18%.

🚀 Best home run prediction for Blue Jays vs. Dodgers Game 5

Track the latest MLB scores for line movement and matchup info.

💣  Will Smith to hit a home run (+509) ⭐⭐

With Snell only allowing a 0.4 HR/9 rate and just one home run to a left-handed batter all season, one would be wise to focus their best home run prediction on a Dodgers slugger. 

Including his stats from the minor leagues all through the postseason, Trey Yesavage’s splits clearly suggest he is tougher on left-handed batters. 

Yesavage has allowed a .141/.238/.222 slash line against lefties, while pitching to a 40.4% strikeout rate, and allowing three home runs among the 270 batters faced in that split. Meanwhile, seven of 242 at-bats against right-handed hitters have resulted in a home run, while he has allowed a .205/.289/.358 slash line, and recorded a 36.8% strikeout rate.

Will Smith had hit safely in seven consecutive games while totaling 13 total bases before Game 4. His 34 career postseason RBIs as a catcher are the third-most in MLB history, and I am backing him to go deep for the second time this series. 

The best odds for Smith to go yard can be found at DraftKings, whose +509 odds at a 16.42% implied probability would net $50.90 on a winning $10 wager.

📊 Blue Jays vs. Dodgers odds today

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📺 How to watch Blue Jays vs. Dodgers: Game 5

• Date: Wednesday, Oct. 29
• First pitch: 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles)
• TV: FOX