⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: Top No Run First Inning Picks & Expert Predictions (May 25)
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Tonight for Monday (May 25)
We're now 25-14 over the last month after sweeping the Friday slate while generating nearly five units of profit this season. Tonight, we’re targeting the Yankees vs. Royals and Nationals vs. Guardians matchups to stay scoreless through the first inning. Six outs is all we need to kick off the week in style.
⚾ Best NRFI bets tonight: May 25
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ⚾ NRFI pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Yankees vs. Royals NRFI (+100) | 2u → 2u | Yankees hit .142 vs. Wacha |
| Nationals vs. Guardians NRFI (-125) | 1u -> 0.80u | Nats own .273 xwOBA vs. Bibee |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.80 units
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💰 Best NRFI bets tonight for Monday
Yankees vs. Royals NRFI (+100) - 3:40 p.m. ET
- Will Warren (3.61 ERA) vs. Michael Wacha (2.70 ERA)
- NRFI records: Yankees (24-29) vs. Royals (30-23)
Here's a case of two strong sample sizes to pull data from - and we like what we see. Over 153 plate appearances against Wacha, the Yankees are hitting just .142, which includes a lifetime 4-for-26 (.148 xBA) mark from Aaron Judge. That'll do. Warren's tasked with getting the job done for New York, and he's striking these Royals out at a 34% clip across 40 at-bats. For what it's worth, Bobby Witt Jr. is just 1-for-6 against the righty in his career, striking out 33% of the time. I'd price this closer to -130 - let's buy up this value early.
Looking for more plays? Our Mike Spector has you covered with his Yankees vs. Royals prediction.
🤑 More MLB player props for Monday
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's home run predictions for Monday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Nationals vs. Guardians NRFI (-125) - 6:10 p.m. ET
- Zack Littell (5.83 ERA) vs. Tanner Bibee (3.75 ERA)
- NRFI records: Nationals (27-27) vs. Guardians (33-22)
While Littell gets the start for Washington, the Nats are going to go with left-hander PJ Poulin as their opener today. Poulin has had a fantastic May, allowing just one earned run all month - we'll be in good hands here. Bibee has been a NRFI cash cow for us this season, too. It helps that CJ Abrams is a career 0-for-3 against the righty, too. Let's fire this one up with confidence as part of our best NRFI bets today.
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-30 | +6.03 units |
| NRFI picks | 32-28 | +4.49 units |
💡 How I'm betting NRFI picks tonight (May 25)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
❓ NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
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