⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Tuesday, March 31
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Tuesday (March 31)
Let's pump our numbers up this year after finishing last season up close to 10 units. It's a marathon when it comes to our best NRFI bets today. We've got the Blue Jays vs. Rockies and Angels vs. Cubs to get us a couple Ws and six simple outs on this fine Tuesday.
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: March 31
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays vs. Rockies NRFI (-115) | 1u β 1.86u | Scherzer owns a 52% K rate vs. Rockies |
| Angels vs. Cubs NRFI (-140) | 1u -> 1.71u | Angels own a .197 xBA vs. Taillon |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 3.57 units
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π° Best NRFI bets today for Tuesday
Blue Jays vs. Rockies NRFI - 7:07 p.m. ET
- Ryan Feltner (0.00 ERA) vs. Max Scherzer (0.00 ERA)
- NRFI records: Rockies (1-3) vs. Blue Jays (1-3)
The Blue Jays need a lengthy start from Max, and he'll deliver in the first inning as a result. Scherzer has limited this Rockies offense to a .160 xwOBA across 19 plate appearances, and has struck out this lineup at a 52.6% rate. He'll rise to the challenge, book it. On the other side, Ryan Feltner actually has some pretty good numbers against these Blue Jays, with George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. combining to be 0-for-5 in their career vs. the righty. I'm firing this one up with confidence as part of our best NRFI bets today.
Angels vs. Cubs NRFI - 7:40 p.m. ET
- Jose Soriano (0.00 ERA) vs. Jameson Taillon (0.00 ERA)
- NRFI records: Angels (2-2) vs. Cubs (2-3)
Soriano is coming off a strong performance in his first start of the season, going six innings of seven-strikeout, shutout baseball against the Astros. If he can live around the zone and not issue any free 90s in the first inning, I have all the confidence in the world in him today. On the other side, Taillon shouldn't be a problem in this matchup. Across 62 plate appearances against the Angels, Los Angeles owns a .197 xBA against him, with Zach Neto and Mike Trout a combined 1-for-13 versus the veteran.
π΅ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-4 | -1.67 units β |
| NRFI picks | 1-4 | -1.67 units β |
π‘ How I'm betting NRFI picks today (March 31)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
β NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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