⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: Top No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions (June 17)
🤑 Best NRFI Bets Today for Wednesday (June 17)
We got reverse swept for the first time in what feels like a lifetime yesterday - let's right the ship today, shall we? On Wednesday, we’re targeting large samples between the Rays vs. Dodgers and Orioles vs. Mariners matchups. The formula continues to work for us this season, so let's continue to grow that wallet with our best NRFI bets today.
⚾ Best NRFI bets today: June 17
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ⚾ NRFI pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Rays vs. Dodgers NRFI (-140) | 2u → 1.42u | Dodgers own .221 xBA vs. McClanahan |
| Orioles vs. Mariners NRFI (-138) | 1u -> .72u | Orioles own 27% K rate vs. Kirby |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.14 units
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💰 Best NRFI bets today (Wednesday)
Rays vs. Dodgers NRFI (-140) - 3:10 p.m. ET
- Shane McClanahan (3.23 ERA) vs. Shohei Ohtani (1.06 ERA)
- NRFI records: Rays (35-35) vs. Dodgers (38-36)
We've got an incredible pitching matchup today between two aces - I'd price this play closer to -150 betting odds, so we're taking this value and running with it. McClanahan has limited Ohtani to a .142 xBA across 10 at-bats, which should be enough to kick-start our way to six simple outs. On the other side, Ohtani is having (another) season to remember, with a sub-1 WHIP and a 73/21 K/BB. The Rays will be in tough, and I'm firing this play up with confidence as part of our best NRFI bets today.
💣️ More MLB player props for Wednesday
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's best home run predictions today if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Orioles vs. Mariners NRFI (-138) - 7:10 p.m. ET
- Kyle Bradish (4.30 ERA) vs. George Kirby (4.07 ERA)
- NRFI records: Orioles (41-33) vs. Mariners (33-41)
Now this is a sample size we can get behind - between Bradish and Kirby, they have nearly 200 plate appearances against these respective lineups. Bradish, for his part, is striking out the Mariners at a 25% clip, which includes an 0-for-6 mark against Josh Naylor. Kirby has been just as effective against the Orioles, with a 24% whiff rate and .238 xBA across 137 at-bats against him. Let's ride this matchup and bounce back from yesterday.
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 40-38 | +2.01 units |
| NRFI picks | 38-36 | +0.39 units |
💡 How I'm betting NRFI picks today (June 17)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
Placing a high-variance bet like a No Run First Inning (NRFI) requires a deep dive into the data every single day. You need to look at how the pitcher matches up with the lineup - specifically the top three hitters - while tracking strikeout rates, expected batting averages, and team NRFI trends. Run through this checklist before every wager, and scale your unit sizing accordingly.
❓ NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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