⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Friday, April 10
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Friday (April 10)
We've won eight of our last 10, and we're just beginnning to find our groove. Let's stay hot with a ligh six-game schedule on deck for this fine Friday. We're targeting the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies and Yankees vs. Rays to get us six simple outs. Let's build that bankroll before the weekend, shall we?
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: April 10
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks vs. Phillies NRFI (-115) | 1u β .86u | .250 AVG against across 107 plate appearances between Soroka and Luzardo. |
| Yankees vs. Rays NRFI (-115) | 1u -> .86u | Rays own .177 xBA vs. Gil |
Total wagered: 2 unit | Max profit: 1.72 units
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π° Best NRFI bets today for Friday
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies NRFI (-115) - 6:40 p.m. ET
- Mike Soroka (0.90 ERA) vs. Jesus Luzardo (4.97 ERA)
- NRFI records: Diamondbacks (5-8) vs. Phillies (4-8)
If you've been following, nobody is a bigger Mike Soroka fan than me, and it's so refreshing to see him back to where he was pre-injury with the Diamondbacks. Following an incredible World Baseball Classic, Soroka has allowed just one run across 10 innings this season. Even through his setbacks, the Phillies own just a .263 xBA against the right-hander, while Luzardo has limited the Arizona offense to a .236 xBA across 54 plate appearances. That sounds like a recipe for six outs - I'd price this one closer to -130.
🤑 More MLB props
Dive into Andrew Brennan's home run predictions for Friday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Yankees vs. Rays NRFI (-115) - 7:10 p.m. ET
- Luis Gil (0.00 ERA) vs. Steven Matz (4.09 ERA)
- NRFI records: Yankees (6-6) vs. Rays (7-5)
Gil will be making his first start this season against an AL East rival, one that he's typically owned over his career. While he doesn't have plenty of starts under his belt against the Rays, he's still holding Yandy Diaz and Jake Fraley to a combined 0-for-7 - they're projected to hit No. 1 and No. 3, respectively. On the other side, we're seeing a much bigger sample size with Matz, who's limited the Yankees to a .208 xBA and .293 xwOBA over 96 plate appearances. Let's ride this as our best NRFI bet today.
π΅ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-12 | -1.24 units β |
| NRFI picks | 9-8 | +1.00 units β |
π‘ How I'm betting NRFI picks today (April 10)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
β NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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