Best Home Run Predictions Today: MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for Aug. 11

On a gusty day in Sacramento, I'm turning to Athletics slugger Tyler Soderstrom as of my favorite home run predictions today.

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: August 11, 2025 11:29 AM EDT • 3 minute read

Home Run Predictions Today: Best MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for Aug. 11 — Pictured: Athletics left fielder Tyler Soderstrom rounds the bases as we make our best home run predictions. Photo by Sergio Estrada via Imagn Images.

Although Monday’s MLB slate is a little light, there is no shortage of options regarding the best home run bets today.

We are targeting two players from the same game to cap off the night, as Tyler Soderstrom and Yandy Diaz lead our best home run predictions today. James Wood and Harrison Bader also make the list in favorable matchups.

Between these four juicy prices, a home run parlay would pay out $5,750 on a $10 bet.

💰 MLB best home run predictions & odds today: Aug. 11

Here are my best MLB home run predictions and odds today with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

🧨 Harrison Bader to hit a home run (+520 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
🧨 James Wood to hit a home run (+550 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Yandy Diaz to hit a home run (+350 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
🧨 Tyler Soderstrom to hit a home run (+450 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🚀 Best home run parlay picks

Here is our best MLB home run parlay for Monday's baseball action; use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any parlay.

💣 Harrison Bader to hit a home run (+520 via FanDuel)
💣 James Wood to hit a home run (+470 via FanDuel)
💣 Yandy Diaz to hit a home run (+320 via FanDuel)
💣 Tyler Soderstrom to hit a home run (+360 via FanDuel)

Parlay odds: +57500 odds via FanDuel ($10 to win $5750)

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💣 Best home run prediction today: MLB expert picks & prop bets

Here are my best home run bets today. Check out the rest of our MLB picks along with our guide on how to bet on MLB.

⚾ Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +450 via BetMGM (bet $10 to win $45)

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Soderstrom is my favorite home run prediction for Monday’s matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays at Sutter Health Park. The weather is calling for heavy wind (13 mph) in a ballpark that has become susceptible to such conditions.

The Athletics left fielder has clubbed 21 home runs in his third season, including two in his past five outings. Ballpark Pal’s model rates him as the third-most likely player to hit a home run during Monday’s slate, listing a fair price of +292 for him to send one over the fence.

As a result, I see value in Soderstrom’s home run odds at +375 or better, which is good because he’s as low as +370 at some of our best sportsbooks. I’d suggest taking advantage of this bargain at BetMGM.

📊 Rays vs. Athletics odds

💡 Expert MLB predictions today

Twins vs. Yankees prediction
Tigers vs. White Sox prediction
MLB home run predictions
Best NRFI bets today
Dodgers vs. Angels prediction
Padres vs. Giants prediction
Red Sox vs. Astros prediction

❓Best home run predictions FAQs

What is a home run bet?

A home run bet is a wager on a hitter to hit a HR at any point during a game. Some sportsbooks allow you to bet on a hitter to not hit a home run, but the most common bet is on them to do so.

Can you parlay home run bets?

Yes, you can parlay home run bets. We've provided our best home run parlay today.

How do I place a home run bet?

To place a home run bet, simply go to your favorite sportsbook and go to the game featuring the player of your choice. Then click on batter props and you should see an option to bet a player to hit a home run.

What are the best home run props for tonight?

Our best home run predictions today feature Harrison Bader, James Wood, Yandy Diaz, and Tyler Soderstrom.

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Written by:
Shane Jackson

Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.