MLB Player Props Today: Expert Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Monday

The Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays clash in Game 2 of the ALCS, and the NLCS gets underway tonight as we cover the two games with our best MLB player props today. 

The Dodgers have the shortest World Series odds of any of the remaining four teams entering the LCS, and my MLB picks back their starting pitcher to help them reverse the Brewers’ regular-season dominance against them. I have three other picks, focusing on one player from each team, as the quest to the World Series continues.

⚾ Best MLB player props today

MLB player props for Monday; MLB odds subject to change.

• Trey Yesavage Under 5.5 strikeouts (-118 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 RBIs (+152 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
• Blake Snell Under 1.5 earned runs (+101 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Brice Turang Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-170 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best MLB player prop bets for Oct. 13

Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬇️  Trey Yesavage Under 5.5 strikeouts (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Blue Jays rookie pitcher Trey Yesavage needed just four innings of his ALDS start against the Yankees to set a franchise record for strikeouts in a postseason game, finishing with 11 K over 5 1/3 no-hit innings. Still, I am selling high and backing a Mariners lineup that is much better at making contact than New York.

Since Aug. 1 in road games against right-handed pitching (including playoffs), Seattle has the 12th-lowest strikeout rate (21.6%). It has likely done its homework on Yesavage and the fact that 10 of his 16 regular-season strikeouts came off his splitter, which he threw 26.4% of the time. 

Though this may be viewed as a contrarian play, the implied odds for the Under are as high as 57.63% based on FanDuel’s -136 odds. Thus, I am squeezing the best value out of my $10 wager at BetMGM, which would net $8.47 in profits if Yesavage records five or fewer strikeouts. 

⬆️  Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 RBIs (+152) ⭐⭐⭐

Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh was not only Seattle’s most consistent hitter in the ALDS, but he has great career success at the Rogers Centre. That has me backing him to drive in a run as one of my best MLB player props today.

Raleigh batted .381 with four RBIs in the ALDS, while hitting safely in all five games. That consistency made up for a general lack of power compared to his 60-home run regular season (he had one home run in the ALDS). 

He entered the series with eight home runs and a career 1.195 OPS in 13 games at the Rogers Centre, and backed that up with two hits including a solo home run in Game 1.

Raleigh still drove in four runs in the ALDS despite the rest of his teammates combining to bat .184 with a .579 OPS in the previous series. If his supporting cast picks things up against Toronto’s hard-throwing rookie, Raleigh should come up to the plate with plenty of traffic on the basepaths. 

DraftKings is the only one of our best sports betting sites offering better than +150 odds at a 40% implied probability for this wager. If Raleigh drives in a run for the second straight game to begin this series, my $10 wager would return $15.20 in profits.

⬇️  Blake Snell Under 1.5 earned runs (+101) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Dodgers pitcher Blake Snell’s first two postseason have gone swimmingly. In 13 innings, he has pitched to a 1.38 ERA, a 0.77 WHIP, and recorded 18 strikeouts. 

In his last start, Snell generated a ridiculous 23 whiffs on 42 swings (55%). And his 18 strikeouts in this postseason are a big reason he has the highest postseason K/9 ever by a starting pitcher who has thrown a minimum of 60 playoff innings.

Instead of backing Snell’s strikeout odds which are juiced as high as -150 to the Over, I am opting for the Under on his earned runs total given the betting lines for this matchup. 

Los Angeles went 0-6 against Milwaukee in the regular season while the Brewers averaged 5.2 runs per game. But oddsmakers have made Los Angeles a steep -160 betting favorite, suggesting their confidence in a third consecutive strong start from Snell. 

Under backers will find the best value at DraftKings, as it is the only one of our best sports betting apps offering plus-money odds (49.75% implied probability) on this wager. If Snell again finishes with one or fewer earned runs allowed, my $10 winning wager at DraftKings would return $10.10 in profits.

⬇️  Brice Turang Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-170) ⭐⭐⭐

Brewers second baseman Brice Turang has had great success against left-handed pitchers this season, batting .305 with a .361 on-base percentage. But he also batted just .150 in the NLDS. And though two of his three hits went for extra bases, he did not get on base often enough to justify backing anything but the Under of his combined hits, runs, and RBI.

Turang did hit a big solo home run in the winner-take-all Game 5 against the Cubs, but he had just one RBI in his previous nine postseason games. And while the Brewers rank second in the NL, averaging 5.0 runs per game, their team total of 3.5 runs - which is juiced to -140 to the Under (carrying a 58.33% implied probability) - does not suggest a high chance of him being involved with scoring or driving in runs.

If Turang finishes with one or fewer combined hits, runs, and RBI, my $10 winning wager through Caesars’ -170 odds would return $5.88 in profits.

However - I do like one of his teammates to go yard in my best home run predictions today.