MLB Player Props & Best Bets Today: Schedule, Picks for Tuesday
We have a chock-full day of baseball action, so let's dive into our top MLB player props and best bets for Tuesday based on the best MLB odds.
MLB fans are treated to nearly all-day action on Tuesday, as the Detroit Tigers and Pittsburgh Pirates opened the day at 12:35 p.m. ET from PNC Park and the Chicago Cubs and San Diego Padres are slated for first pitch from Petco Park at 10:05 p.m. ET.
In between those contests are a slew of exciting games to bet on, including a battle between the AL East rivals Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox. That one takes place at Fenway Park, with the first pitch expected for 2:10 p.m. ET.
The World Series odds favorite Los Angeles Dodgers continue their road trip with another game in Minnesota against the Twins after picking a 4-2 victory in a three-game series opener on Monday.
Finally, a red-hot Mike Trout continues his ascent up the MLB MVP odds when he tries to lead his Los Angeles Angels to another win, as they're off to a surprising 6-4 start.
Here are our MLB player props and best bets for Tuesday (MLB picks based on odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Tuesday’s MLB best bets
- Corbin Burnes Under 7.5 strikeouts (-130 via PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Brayan Bello Under 4.5 strikeouts (+125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tyler Glasnow Under 7.5 strikeouts (+115 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Ross Under 4.5 strikeouts (+126 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
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Tuesday’s MLB player props
Corbin Burnes Under 7.5 strikeouts (-130 via PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 7.5 (-140) | Under 7.5 (-150) | Under 7.5 (-149) | Under 7.5 (-133) | Under 7.5 (-150) |
Game info: Orioles vs. Red Sox | Moneyline: Orioles (-140 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (-105)/Under 8.5 (-115) via Betway | Start time: 2:10 p.m. ET
Baltimore Orioles right-hander Corbin Burnes is the favorite in the AL by our MLB Cy Young odds, and he's been unstoppable thus far this season.
Through two starts (11 2/3 innings), he's racked up 14 strikeouts. He dominated the Los Angeles Angels on Opening Day before relying more on his ability to induce ground balls against the Kansas City Royals.
Working in Burnes favor on Tuesday is the fact that the Boston Red Sox are one of the more strikeout-prone teams in the majors. Through their first 10 games, they've struck out in 25.9% of their plate appearances, the six-highest rate in the league.
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However, the reason we're taking this Under is because it appears Burnes' total is set one strikeout too high when considering his projections for Tuesday. All three of our trusted projection models are nearly aligned on Burnes' total against Boston, with his average strikeout projection sitting at 6.64.
Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, opened with its Under priced at -108. However, it's since been smashed to -209.
Most of our other best sports betting sites are already hovering around -150, and Burnes' total could very well be trading at Under 6.5 for minus money by the time first pitch is thrown at Fenway.
Brayan Bello Under 4.5 strikeouts (+125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 4.5 (+120) | Under 4.5 (+102) | Under 4.5 (+105) | Under 4.5 (+118) | Under 4.5 (+125) |
Game info: Orioles vs. Red Sox | Moneyline: Orioles (-140 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (-105)/Under 8.5 (-115) via Betway | Start time: 2:10 p.m. ET
We're sticking with this game and targeting the Under on its other starting pitcher.
Red Sox right-hander Brayan Bello has put together two interesting starts this season. He dominated the Seattle Mariners in his first but recorded only two strikeouts. Then, he scuffled somewhat against the Oakland Athletics but struck out six. Which version of Bello will show up on Tuesday?
The Orioles are unlikely to give Bello - or anyone, for that matter - many free outs at the plate. Their 19.2% strikeout rate is sixth-best in the majors, making up for the fact the lineup has otherwise struggled through nine games.
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Bello's average strikeout projection on Tuesday is 4.41. When we run that projection against these +125 odds at bet365, we're getting roughly 25% positive expected value on this bet.
Pinnacle opened with Bello's Under at +128, but it shortened to +111 throughout the night and has since been bet to -113 on Tuesday morning. Two of our best sports betting apps are already hovering around even money.
Tyler Glasnow Under 7.5 strikeouts (+115 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 8.5 (-165) | Under 7.5 (+106) | Under 8.5 (-154) | Under 8.5 (-156) | Under 8.5 (-150) |
Game info: Dodgers vs. Twins | Moneyline: Dodgers (-190 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (+100)/Under 8.5 (-120) via Betway | Start time: 7:40 p.m. ET
Tyler Glasnow has been one of the most dominant strikeout artists in MLB for years, but he's finding success in different ways during his first season with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
After recording 12.15 strikeouts per nine innings in 2023 - his career average is 11.41 - Glasnow owns just a 7.94 K/9 through 17 innings this year. However, the big right-hander managed a season-high seven punchouts in his last start, so he could be finding his groove.
Glasnow's opponents on Tuesday, the Minnesota Twins, strike out for fun. Through eight games, they own a 26.3% K rate, good for the fourth-highest in the league. To make matters worse for the Twins, many of the team's left-handers - who will be used on Tuesday - lead the team in strikeout rate.
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Despite all of that, though, we're taking the Under on this alt line at ESPN BET. It really comes down to Glasnow's projection, which is sitting at 6.77. Based on that number, we're getting nearly 40% +EV on this bet.
Pinnacle lists Glasnow's total at 8.5, as is the case with most of our other best sportsbooks. However, it had it at 7.5 throughout most of the night, and that Under was bet from +119 to +105, showing there's already been some sharp money on our side.
Joe Ross Under 4.5 strikeouts (+126 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | Under 5.5 (-155) | Under 4.5 (+126) | Under 5.5 (-149) | Under 5.5 (-157) | Under 5.5 (-145) |
Game info: Brewers vs. Reds | Moneyline: Reds (-150 via Betway) | Total: Over 9.5 (-105)/Under 8.5 (-115) via Betway | Start time: 6:40 p.m. ET
We bet the Under on Joe Ross' strikeout total in his first start this season, and we're going back to the well on Tuesday.
Ross managed just three strikeouts in his Milwaukee Brewers debut, mostly because he walked five batters across just 3 2/3 innings. That was Ross' first MLB start since 2021, and it's unlikely his pitch count will get much higher on Tuesday than the 73 he managed on April 3.
However, he may not need to go especially deep in this game to go Over this total. The Cincinnati Reds are strikeout machines, owning the second-highest K rate in the league at 27.3%.
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Ross' average projection on Tuesday suggests he'll still have some relative struggles against the Reds, though. Across two of our trusted projection models, Ross is expected to record only 4.11 punchouts. That's nearly a full strikeout below what he'd need to clear this line, and, of course, even further below the 5.5 listed at most of our sites with the best sportsbook promos.
We're playing the Under at FanDuel rather than the best Under 5.5 price at bet365 because we're getting higher EV on this bet. Based on Ross' projection, we're getting nearly 38% +EV on this bet. Meanwhile, if you played the Under 5.5 at -145, it'd be closer to 28%. We'll trust the projections and ride with this Under.
MLB best bets made Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Here are our best MLB betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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Related pages
- Best Live Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
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