Who Will Win ALCS MVP? Odds, Best Bets & Prediction for Mariners vs. Blue Jays
After a thrilling ALCS between the Mariners and Blue Jays, the winner will be crowned tonight in Game 7 (8:08 p.m. ET, FOX) from Rogers Centre in Toronto - and so will the MVP of a series that has seen some dramatic turns over the last week.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the favorite (-110) by the latest ALCS MVP odds to hoist the trophy amid a record-setting run for the Blue Jays star, though any of the Mariners' top bats can make a compelling case if Seattle wins on the road tonight. Here's a look at the latest MLB odds and my best MLB picks to win the award.
🏆 ALCS MVP odds & betting lines
ALCS MVP odds via BetMGM entering Game 7; all players listed with odds shorter than 100/1.
| Player | Odds | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | -115 | $8.70 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | +450 | $45 |
| Eugenio Suarez (SEA) | +700 | $70 |
| Josh Naylor (SEA) | +800 | $80 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | +1400 | $140 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | +1600 | $160 |
| George Springer (TOR) | +3000 | $300 |
| Shane Bieber (TOR) | +4000 | $400 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | +5000 | $500 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | +5000 | $500 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | +6600 | $660 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | +6600 | $660 |
| Trey Yesavage (TOR) | +6600 | $660 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | +8000 | $800 |
| J.P Crawford (SEA) | +8000 | $800 |
| Bryce Miller (SEA) | +8000 | $800 |
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💪 Can anyone beat Vlad Jr.?
See all of our MLB expert picks and analysis for the ALCS and World Series.
If the Blue Jays ultimately win the series tonight - as they're expected to do as home favorites - is there anyone who could make a legitimate case besides Guerrero?
The five-time All-Star and MVP runner-up has been the face of the franchise since he was called up in 2019 as the two-time No. 1 overall prospect, and he's looked every bit like the prince that was promised in this series: he's hitting .409 with a 1.473 OPS through six games, including three of his MLB-best six home runs this postseason.
All three of those long balls have come in the Blue Jays' three wins in this series, including a 384-foot shot to chase Mariners starter Logan Gilbert in the fifth and tie the franchise record for career playoff home runs - let alone in one postseason.
Guerrero has been the best hitter in baseball during these playoffs, not just for the Blue Jays, so he seems like a shoo-in to win the award if Toronto wins tonight. Given the team's odds to win Game 7 are no shorter than -120, you might as well target Guerrero's ALCS MVP odds instead, which are dealing at -110 via Caesars and bet365.
For what it's worth, Guerrero's World Series MVP odds are as high as +1800 via Caesars, which would turn a $10 bet into a $180 profit. That's not a bad bet to make now if you like the Blue Jays' chances of advancing to the World Series - if they make it, they'll need a monumental effort from their star slugger to have a chance against the Dodgers.
If you're bullish on Seattle winning as the road underdog tonight, you'll have more options to choose from in the ALCS MVP odds. And there are a few names that stick out as obvious value bets from the other side.
💰 Best bets to win ALCS MVP
Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market - including ALCS MVP odds - across legal sportsbooks in your area.
🔥 Cal Raleigh, C, Mariners (+450)
How could I not spotlight Raleigh, the likely AL MVP runner-up and engine for the Mariners' power-happy lineup? While he hasn't been the same slugger he was in the regular season when he hit 60 homers, he's already hit three dingers in this series - including a leadoff shot in the eighth inning of Game 5 to spark a game-winning rally.
While Raleigh hasn't been the most impressive hitter statistically in this series, he's still the one Toronto fears most at the plate, and he's the likeliest to hit a crucial bomb when the Mariners need it most in Game 7. That alone makes this an intriguing bet with a $10 wager returning a $45 profit if he takes home MVP honors.
🔥 Josh Naylor, 1B, Mariners (+900)
I'm surprised Naylor is dealing at such long odds to win this award considering he's arguably been the Mariners' best player at the dish and in the field in this series. The midseason acquisition has hit as many home runs as Raleigh (three) while also hitting .429 - the best mark by any player on either side - with a blistering 1.335 OPS.
He's also been in the middle of seemingly every critical play defensively for the M's, which comes on the heels of a similar defensive masterclass by Naylor in the ALDS. He isn't the flashiest name in this market, but he just might be the best value at these +900 odds via DraftKings and bet365.
🔥 Jorge Polanco, 2B, Mariners (+1800)
Polanco has the toughest case to make on paper, given his paltry .227 average and .701 OPS entering Game 7. But he's also been the most clutch player for the Mariners throughout this postseason - including earlier in this series.
After hitting the game-winning RBI in Game 5 of the ALDS, Polanco followed that up with the game-winning hit in Games 1 and 2, becoming the first player since 1974 to pull that off in three consecutive games. He was also the first player on base ahead of a grand slam from Eugenio Suarez to win Game 5.
Polanco has been the definition of clutch for Seattle this postseason, and if he pulls off another late-game knock to win Game 7, it'd be hard for voters to not reward him for a historic postseason. At these 18/1 odds via Caesars, that's worth a shot in my book.
📺 How to watch Mariners vs. Blue Jays: Game 7
- Date: Monday, Oct. 20, 2025
- First pitch: 8:08 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre (Toronto)
- TV: FOX
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