⛳ Valspar Championship Odds & Favorites 2026: Schauffele Tops Strong Copperhead Field
📡 SBR Edge: Strong Valspar Championship field creates value in betting odds
Xander Schauffele tops this week's Valspar Championship odds at +1100 via DraftKings following his third-place finish in The Players Championship. Viktor Hovland returns to Copperhead to defend his title, but with odds of only +1550 after being +8000 this time last year. 😢
We're leaning into strokes gained: approach and SG: around the green, while also valuing driving accuracy over distance.
🐍 Valspar Championship odds: Favorites
Here are the 2026 Valspar Championship odds from DraftKings as of Monday to help with your golf picks. Top-5 and top-10 betting markets include ties.
| Golfer | To win | Top 5 | Top 10 | World ranking (as of 3/16) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Schauffele | +1100 | +240 | +126 | 7 |
| Viktor Hovland | +1550 | +325 | +168 | 18 |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | +1800 | +360 | +184 | 15 |
| Akshay Bhatia | +2250 | +440 | +220 | 22 |
| Patrick Cantlay | +2350 | +450 | +225 | 35 |
| Justin Thomas | +2350 | +480 | +245 | 14 |
| Jordan Spieth | +2350 | +460 | +230 | 64 |
| Jacob Bridgeman | +2350 | +455 | +225 | 20 |
| Ben Griffin | +2500 | +465 | +230 | 16 |
| Brooks Koepka | +2800 | +550 | +280 | 173 |
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🖱️ Valspar Championship pick: My first click
Here is my first pick to win this week's Valspar Championship:
Akshay Bhatia (+1950)
I really tried to not bet on Bhatia again.
The winner of the Arnold Palmer Invitational tied for 13th last week. He's just truly in incredible form, and the oddsmakers at our best golf betting sites haven't fully caught up to the new No. 22 player in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), despite him sitting fourth on this week's outright oddsboard.
Here is how Bhatia measures up in my keys stats this week:
- Strokes gained: approach: 1.28 per round (last 16 rounds)
- SG: around-the-green: 0.32 per round (last 16 rounds)
- Proximity from 175-200 yards (2026 season): 19th
- Sand-save percentage (2026 season): Seventh
- SG: putting: 1.10 per round (last 16 rounds)
Furthermore, he tied for 17th in this event two years ago.
I'll be betting a full unit on Bhatia to win this week ($10 to win $195). I don't think his odds will increase by Thursday's first round, as he's quickly growing in popularity.
👛 My golf betting record (March)
Here is my golf betting record in March, broken down by outright, first-round leader, and prop bets:
| Bet type | Record | ROI |
|---|---|---|
| Outright | 0-8-1 ❌ | -5.75 units ❌ |
| First-round leader | 0-6 ❌ | -2.25 units ❌ |
| Props | 4-14-2 ❌ | -7.32 units ❌ |
Fortunately, my Players Championship bets on Collin Morikawa (+2200) were all voided and refunded as bonus bets as he withdrew after playing just a single hole. Unfortunately, the same wasn't done for Ludvig Aberg (+2800) after he developed a case of the yips over his final nine holes of the "fifth major".
⚖️ How I'm betting the Vaspar Championship
I come into the Valspar Championship licking my wounds a bit after Ludvig Aberg's back-nine collapse at TPC Sawgrass. His failure at TPC Sawgrass dropped me to 0-9 on PGA Tour outright picks this month, and I'm minus-15.32 units overall in March. Blech.
But that's golf betting.
The good news? With no Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy in the field this week, everyone has odds of +1100 or longer. Let's pick a winner and get back in the black for the PGA Tour season. I'll be sprinkling my outright picks this week throughout the oddsboard.
This is one of the strongest fields this event has hosted in recent years, but four of the past five winners had pre-tournament odds of at least +5000. I'll bet a couple of names near the top of the board with a full unit each, and then make a couple more outright bets than usual at odds beyond 50-1.
Course info
Known for the challenging three-hole closing stretch of the "Snake Pit" - Nos. 16-18 - Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club is one of the more famous non-major venues on the PGA Tour rotation. The Larry Packard design features small greens that routinely play firm and fast. Many of the putting surfaces spill off into well-positioned bunkers protecting the edges of the greens.
Fairways are tight and well-guarded by pine trees and there are plenty of elevation changes.
| Copperhead Course | |
|---|---|
| Par | 71 |
| Yardage | 7,352 |
| Greens | Bermuda |
| Architect | Larry Packard |
| Comparable courses | TPC Twin Cities, Royal Troon, The Concession Golf Club |
📊 Key stats: Handicapping Copperhead Course
Though not as well known as The Players Championship's TPC Sawgrass, Copperhead is one of the more challenging courses used by the PGA Tour each year. Water hazards, bunkers, and tree-lined fairways limit scoring opportunities. As such, five of the last seven winning 72-hole scores were no better than -12. Sam Burns was the exception with back-to-back victories at -17.
Vijay Singh set the tournament scoring record at -18 in 2004.
| Stat Category | Weight | Why it matters for Puerto Rico |
|---|---|---|
| SG: approach | 50% | Small and firm greens mean golfers must stick their approaches, especially from distance |
| SG: around-the-green | 25% | If you're not going to stick your approach shot, recovery from the spill-off areas is a must |
| Proximity: 175-200 yards | 15% | The most common approach range, with dog-legged fairways limiting driver off the tee |
| Driving accuracy | 5% | See the above: make sure you're abiding by fairway curves |
| Sand-save percentage | 5% | If you miss the green, you're likely to end up in a bunker |
⛳ Valspar Championship tournament info
- Where: Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club (Palm Harbor, Fla.)
- When: Thursday, March 12 - Sunday, March 15
- Field: 133
- Cut: 36 holes (top 65 and ties)
- Favorite: Xander Schauffele (+1100 via DraftKings)
- Defending champion: Viktor Hovland
- Purse: $9.1 million
- FedEx Cup points: 500
💰 Valspar Championship betting history
Here are the recent winners of the Valspar Championship, along with their 72-hole score and pre-tournament odds:
| Year | Winner | Score to par | Odds (prior to Round 1) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Viktor Hovland | -11 | +8000 |
| 2024 | Peter Malnati | -12 | +30000 |
| 2023 | Taylor Moore | -10 | +5000 |
| 2022 | Sam Burns | -17 (playoff) | +2000 |
| 2021 | Sam Burns | -17 | +6000 |
| 2020 | Canceled | ||
| 2019 | Paul Casey | -8 | +2000 |
| 2018 | Paul Casey | -10 | +2000 |
| 2017 | Adam Hadwin | -14 | +8000 |
| 2016 | Charl Schwartzel | -7 (playoff) | +3000 |
Historical odds via GolfOdds.com.
📊 Full-field Valspar Championship odds 2026
Here are the odds to win the Valspar Championship for the 133-man field at Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club:
❓ Valspar Championship FAQs
Who is favored to win the Valspar Championship?
Xander Schauffele is this week's PGA Tour betting favorite, according to the Valspar Championship odds. His +1200 odds to win represent an implied win probability of 7.69%.
Who won the Valspar Championship last year?
Viktor Hovland won last year's Valspar Championship with a 72-hole score of -11. His pre-tournament odds were +8000.
When is the Valspar Championship?
The 2026 Valspar Championship will begin with Round 1 on Thursday, March 19 and run through Sunday's final round.
Where is the Valspar Championship?
The Valspar Championship is held annually at Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club in Palm Harbor, Fla.
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