⛳ Players Championship Round 4 Picks & Predictions: Ludvig Aberg Atop the Leaderboard

My Round 4 picks and predictions for the Players Championship are locked in as the tournament heads into what should be a thrilling final day at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. With the leaderboard tightly packed, it creates an excellent opportunity for golf bettors to jump into the live market on the outright winner as well as various finishing position bets.

Final-round props can present strong value if you’ve been tracking how the tournament has unfolded through the first three days. Weather could also play a role on Sunday, with stormy conditions expected at TPC Sawgrass. The rest of the field will be chasing Ludvig Aberg, who begins the day at the top of the leaderboard at 13-under par.

Let’s dive into the best value plays heading into Sunday's action.

⛳ Players Championship Round 4 leaderboard & odds

Here is The Players Championship leaderboard heading into Round 4 at TPC Sawgrass; outright odds via FanDuel.

🏆 Who'll win the Players Championship?

Here are my golf picks for Round 4 of the Players Championship on Sunday:

Ludvig Aberg (-155)

Ludvig Aberg enters the final round of The Players Championship at 13-under par with a three-shot lead over Michael Thorbjornsen, putting him firmly in control at TPC Sawgrass. Aberg has been the most consistent player in the field all week, combining elite ball-striking with a calm demeanor that has allowed him to avoid the big mistakes. His ability to consistently find fairways and attack pins has created scoring opportunities while keeping danger out of play.

Holding a three-shot cushion is especially valuable on a course like Sawgrass, where pressure can quickly lead to mistakes from those chasing. Aberg’s disciplined approach should allow him to manage the course rather than force the issue. If he continues to trust his swing and play smart golf down the stretch, the young Swede is in a great position to close the door and capture the biggest win of his career.

💰 Best Round 4 props for the Players Championship

Corey Conners: Top 10 finish (-125)

Corey Conners is in a strong position to secure a Top-10 finish at The Players Championship, entering the final round tied for fourth at 8-under par. The Canadian has been one of the most consistent ball-strikers in the field all week, leaning on his elite iron play to create birdie opportunities while avoiding costly mistakes around TPC Sawgrass. Conners’ ability to find fairways and hit greens in regulation is a major advantage on a course where precision is critical.

Sitting just a few shots off the lead, Conners doesn’t need to chase aggressively to secure a Top-10 result. Instead, he can rely on the steady approach that has carried him to this position through three rounds. If he continues to strike the ball the way he has all week and maintains a solid putting performance.

Cameron Young: Top North American (+340)

Cameron Young is in an excellent position to claim Top North American honors at The Players Championship, entering the final round in third place and just one shot behind Michael Thorbjornsen for the top spot among players from the region. Young has been striking the ball beautifully all week at TPC Sawgrass, using his length off the tee to create scoring opportunities while still showing the control needed on one of the most demanding courses on the PGA Tour.

Being only a single shot back gives Young plenty of room to apply pressure early in the round. He has already proven he can go low when his irons and putter heat up, and his aggressive style can quickly generate birdies in bunches. If Young continues the strong tee-to-green play he has displayed through the first three rounds, he has a great chance to move past Thorbjornsen and secure the Top North American finish.

Brooks Koepka: Top 20 finish (+125)

Brooks Koepka is well positioned to secure a Top-20 finish at The Players Championship, entering the final round tied for 19th at 5-under par. Koepka has quietly put together a steady week at TPC Sawgrass, relying on his experience and ability to stay composed on one of the most demanding courses on the PGA Tour. While he may not be in serious contention for the title, his consistent tee-to-green play has kept him firmly inside the Top 20 heading into Sunday.

The margin around the Top-20 line is often tight, but Koepka’s major championship pedigree gives him an edge when it comes to handling pressure situations. He rarely lets rounds spiral with big mistakes, which is crucial on a course where trouble lurks everywhere. If he continues to play controlled golf and converts a few birdie chances, Koepka should be able to maintain his position and comfortably finish inside the Top 20.

Our Dustin Saracini broke down his favorite Players Championship picks with several of his picks in contention.

🌦️ Sunday's weather at TPC Sawgrass

Weather from Accuweather.com:

💵 My betting record for golf picks

All golf picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7.