⛳ Players Championship Power Rankings & Best Bets: Best Value Props for TPC Sawgrass

This week's golf betting oddsboard feels wide open with Scottie Scheffler slumping and Rory McIlroy suffering injury. My Players Championship power rankings and best bets offer the best plus-money props for the favorites.
Tommy Fleetwood plays his shot from the tee as we look at our Players Championship power rankings and best bets
Pictured: Tommy Fleetwood plays his shot from the tee as we look at our Players Championship power rankings and best bets. Photo by Reinhold Matay-Imagn Images.
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There's a different feeling entering The Players Championship after the first three Signature Events of the PGA Tour season. The oddsboard is a lot more open, with two-time tournament champions Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy beginning this week with questions surrounding their current form.

My Players Championship power rankings and best bets offer plus-money prop bets for each of my top 10 golfers this week. While the rankings include Scheffler and McIlroy, they've been bumped from their usual positions at the top.


🔋 Players Championship power rankings & best bets

Here are our 2026 Players Championship power rankings, with the best odds from our best golf betting sites and a bet to make for all 10 golfers:

📊 Ranking 🏌️ Golfer 🔢 Best odds to win 💰 Bet to make
1 Collin Morikawa +2050 via DraftKings Top 5 finish (+425)
2 Tommy Fleetwood +2000 via FanDuel Top European (+700)
3 Scottie Scheffler +340 via FanDuel Top 5 finish (+140)
4 Si Woo Kim +2500 via bet365 Top Asian (+250)
5 Ludvig Aberg +2800 via DraftKings Top 20 finish (+146)
6 Xander Schauffele +3000 via FanDuel Top American (+1425)
7 Matt Fitzpatrick +4100 via DraftKings Top 20 finish (+172)
8 Rory McIlroy +1600 via FanDuel Top 10 finish (+180)
9 Chris Gotterup +6000 via FanDuel Top 20 finish (+270)
10 Viktor Hovland +3700 via DraftKings Top Nordic (+355)

💰 Best bets for our Players Championship top 10

Here's the analysis for our top 10 Players Championship power rankings to help with your golf picks this week:

🥇 Collin Morikawa

Best odds to win: +2050
Best Players Championship finish: T-10 (2025)
Bet to make: Top-5 finish (+425)

Why I'm betting Collin Morikawa: Equipped with a win and back-to-back top-10 finishes in Signature Events this season, I'm trusting Morikawa's new-found putting stroke to keep rolling this week and for him to claim his first victory at a course that has long seemed to fit his precision iron play

🤑 More Players Championship props

Our Dustin Saracini also sees Morikawa having a strong round in his Players Championship picks.

🥈 Tommy Fleetwood

Best odds to win: +2000
Best Players Championship finish: T-5 (2019
Bet to make: Top European (+700)

Why I'm betting Tommy Fleetwood: Played his worst golf in nearly a year last week, helping us get boosted odds for the No. 3 golfer in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR). I'm expecting that last week was the outlier aberration in his well-rounded game.

🥉 Scottie Scheffler

Best odds to win: +340
Best Players Championship finish: Win (2023-2024)
Bet to make: Top-5 finish (+140)

Why I'm betting Scottie Scheffler: Scheffler has typically been minus-money for a top-5 finish this season. I'm jumping on the +140 odds this week, as his last two tournaments saw his only finishes outside of the top 10 since this event last year.

4️⃣ Si Woo Kim

Best odds to win: +2500
Best Players Championship finish: Win (2017)
Bet to make: Top Asian (+250)

Why I'm betting Si Woo Kim: Kim has two top-10 finishes in this event since his 2017 victory. His putter has betrayed him this season, but he's among the Tour leaders in strokes gained: approach in 2026, and his driver favors the essential accuracy over distance of late.

🗝️ Players Championship key stats

Here are the key stats I'm focusing on this week at TPC Sawgrass:

  • Strokes gained: approach
  • Driving accuracy (don't miss left)
  • Proximity: 100-125 yards
  • Sand-save percentage (88 bunkers)
  • Strokes gained: around-the-green

5️⃣ Ludvig Aberg

Best odds to win: +2800
Best Players Championship finish: 8 (2024)
Bet to make: Top-20 finish (+146)

Why I'm betting Ludvig Aberg: The Swedish star has an eighth-place finish and a missed cut in two trips to TPC Sawgrass. He finally seems to have found his form after averaging 1.70 SG: approach per round en route to last week's T-3 finish in a Signature Event. He's gained strokes on the greens in three straight events.

6️⃣ Xander Schauffele

Best odds to win: +3000
Best Players Championship finish: T-2 (2024, 2018)
Bet to make: Top American (+1425)

Why I'm betting Xander Schauffele: Has gained strokes putting in four of his last five events and has been sharp on approach and around the greens. I'm much more interested in the Top American market this week with Scheffler's current struggles, and the +1425 odds are far too high for the two-time major champ.

7️⃣ Matt Fitzpatrick

Best odds to win: +4100
Best Players Championship finish: 5 (2024)
Bet to make: Top-20 finish (+172)

Why I'm betting Matt Fitzpatrick: Fitzpatrick has a spotty history at TPC Sawgrass, but he has two top-10 finishes in his last five appearances in The Players. He averaged 0.82 strokes gained: putting per round last week, and a hot week with the flat stick has fueled many victories here.

8️⃣ Rory McIlroy

Best odds to win: +1600
Best Players Championship finish: Win (2019, 2025)
Bet to make: Top-10 finish (+180)

Why I'm betting Rory McIlroy: I wrote in our Players Championship odds that I'm waiting to see +1500 outright odds for McIlroy before betting on the defending champion, and I'm jumping on the +1600 ticket. The +180 odds represent a solid hedge with the safety of a top-10 finish.

9️⃣ Chris Gotterup

Best odds to win: +6000
Best Players Championship finish: Cut (2025)
Bet to make: Top-20 finish (+270)

Why I'm betting Chris Gotterup: Gotterup debuted in The Players with a missed cut last year, but he played the best golf of his career since then, with three victories since July. He's one of the best on Tour at not missing the fairways to the left. That's the key to avoiding the bulk of the trouble at TPC Sawgrass.

🔟 Viktor Hovland

Best odds to win: +3700
Best Players Championship finish: T-3 (2023)
Bet to make: Top Nordic (+355)

Why I'm betting Viktor Hovland: The Top Nordic market is essentially a tournament head-to-head between Hovland and Aberg, with Alex Noren and Nicolai Hojgaard the next closest contenders. Last week's T-13 finish was his second-best result of the year, as he gained 1.18 strokes putting per round to complement his usually-sharp iron play.

💰️ Brooks Koepka bonus pick

Brooks Koepka is making his first appearance in The Players since 2022. His best finish at TPC Sawgrass was a T-11 in 2018.

Though Koepka didn't play either of the last two Signature Events, he's coming off his best finish since returning to the PGA Tour. I'm not against betting on him to make the cut with -164 odds from FanDuel.


💰 Players Championship picks

Here's a look at what our Senior Analyst, Dustin Saracini, likes for this week:

Player (Outright winner) Current odds (FanDuel) Why they can win
Scottie Scheffler +440 He leads the Tour in SG: Tee-to-Green and remains the man to beat.
Rory McIlroy +1300 The defending champion (2025) and two-time winner. Rory’s driver is a weapon.
Xander Schauffele +2700 Coming off a T7 at Riviera, Xander’s well-rounded game fits  Sawgrass.
Collin Morikawa* +2000 Currently on a three-event heater (Win, T7, 5th). His elite iron play is tailor-made for this course.

🧮 Players Championship bankroll management

Properly managing your bankroll is the most crucial aspect of sports betting, regardless of the sport or your preferred bet types. Our betting calculators can help you decide how much to commit to each wager, and we advise tracking your deposits, withdrawals, and bets.

Here is my split for my Players Championship card. I'm betting a few more outright winners - but mostly sticking near the top of the oddsboard - with Scheffler (play) and McIlroy (injury) having inflated odds to win. That value trickles down through the rest of the betting board.

Bet type % of tournament bankroll Bet size Amount ($150 tournament bankroll)
Outright bets 30% 0.5 units $30
Long-shot outrights 20% 0.25 units $20
Prop bets 66% 1 unit $100

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