⛳ Masters Round 3 Picks & Predictions: Rory McIlroy Sits Atop the Leaderboard
My Masters Round 3 picks and predictions are set as the tournament moves into what should be an exciting weekend at Augusta National Golf Club. With a tightly bunched leaderboard behind McIlroy, there’s plenty of value for golf bettors looking to jump into live Masters picks.
Third-round props can offer strong value if you’ve been closely following how Friday’s round played out. Weather isn’t expected to be a significant factor, with favorable conditions on tap for Saturday. The field will be in pursuit of Rory McIlroy, who sits atop the leaderboard at 12-under and has set the pace heading into the weekend at The Masters.
Let’s break down the top value plays heading into Saturday’s action at The Masters Tournament.
⛳ Masters Round 3 leaderboard & odds
Here is Masters leaderboard heading into Round 3 at Augusta National Golf Club; outright odds via FanDuel.
| Position | Golfer | Score (to par) | Odds to win |
|---|---|---|---|
| T-1 | Rory McIlroy | -12 | -280 |
| T-2 | Patrick Reed | -6 | +1800 |
| T-2 | Sam Burns | -6 | +2500 |
| T-4 | Tommy Fleetwood | -5 | +1800 |
| T-4 | Justin Rose | -5 | +2000 |
| T-4 | Shane Lowry | -5 | +3300 |
| T-7 | Haotong Li | -4 | +12500 |
| T-7 | Cameron Young | -4 | +2700 |
| T-7 | Tyrrell Hatton | -4 | +6000 |
| T-7 | Wyndham Clark | -4 | +10000 |
| T-7 | Kristoffer Reitan | -4 | +15000 |
| T-7 | Jason Day | -4 | +5500 |
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🏆 Who'll win the Masters?
Here are my golf picks for Round 3 of the Masters on Saturday:
Rory McIlroy (-280)
Rory McIlroy is in complete control heading into the weekend at the The Masters, sitting at -12 with a commanding six-shot lead. His ball-striking has been elite, and he’s gaining strokes in every key category, giving him a massive edge over the field. With that cushion, McIlroy can play smart, controlled golf rather than chase scores.
His experience in major championships also plays a huge role, as he knows how to manage pressure. If he avoids big mistakes, it’s hard to see anyone closing that gap over two rounds at Augusta.
💰 Best Round 3 props for the Masters
Chris Gotterup: Top Debutant (+210)
Chris Gotterup is in a strong position to claim top debutant honors at the The Masters, entering the weekend at an impressive -3. For a first-time competitor at Augusta, that score highlights both composure and adaptability on one of golf’s most demanding stages. Gotterup has shown steady ball-striking and the ability to limit costly mistakes, which is critical given the course’s difficulty.
Compared to other debutants, his position on the leaderboard gives him a clear edge, especially with others struggling to stay under par. If he continues to play controlled, disciplined golf and avoids big numbers, his consistency should separate him from the rest of the first-timers. With momentum on his side and confidence growing, Gotterup is well-positioned to finish as the top debutant.
Patrick Reed: Top USA (+300)
Patrick Reed is well-positioned to finish as the top American at the The Masters, currently tied for the leading USA spot at -6 alongside Sam Burns. Reed’s experience at Augusta is a major advantage, highlighted by his past success and comfort navigating the course’s demanding greens.
His short game and scrambling ability give him an edge in maintaining momentum, especially under weekend pressure. While others may falter, Reed has consistently shown he can handle high-stakes situations and grind out scores when conditions get tougher. Being in a share of the lead among Americans puts him firmly in control of his destiny. If he continues his steady play and capitalizes on scoring opportunities, Reed has a strong path to securing top USA honors.
Justin Rose: Top 5 finish (+115)
Justin Rose is in an excellent position to secure a top-5 finish at the The Masters, currently sitting tied for fourth at -5 heading into the weekend. His experience at Augusta National is a major asset, as he’s consistently contended here and understands how to navigate its challenging layout.
Rose’s ball-striking has been sharp, and his ability to stay composed under pressure sets him apart from less experienced players in the field. Being firmly inside the top five already gives him a strong foundation, allowing him to focus on maintaining steady, mistake-free rounds. If he continues to manage the course effectively and capitalize on key scoring opportunities, Rose has a clear path to finishing the tournament inside the top five.
☀️ Saturday's weather at Augusta National Golf Club
Weather from Accuweather.com:
| 🌤️ Category | 📊 Details |
|---|---|
| 🌡️ High Temperature | 86 degrees |
| 🌫️ Conditions | Very warm with plenty of sunshine; keep well-hydrated at the golf tournament |
| 🌬️ Wind | 4 mph |
| 💨 Wind Gusts | 6 mph |
| 🌧️ Precipitation Probability | 0% |
| 🌧️ Expected Precipitation | 0.00 in |
| ☁️ Cloud Cover | 1% |
🤑 More Masters picks & predictions
See all of our golf picks from the best Masters betting sites ahead of the 2026 Masters.
| Masters picks and predictions | Masters picks | Masters power rankings | Masters long shots | Masters AI predictions |
| How to bet the Masters | Masters prop bets | Masters parlay picks | Masters first-round leader picks |
| Masters odds and analysis | Masters odds | Masters win probability | Live Masters odds | Masters expert picks |
| Masters news and betting tips | Masters weather forecast | Collin Morikawa injury update |
💵 My betting record for golf picks
All golf picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-10 | -1.4 units ❌ | 54.55% ❌ |
| Long shots (+4500 or higher) | 0-9 | -0.9 units ❌ | 0% ❌ |
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