Farmers Insurance Open Picks: Koepka Returns, Where Will He Place?

Get set for the week with my Farmers Insurance Open picks from beautiful San Diego at Torrey Pines Golf Course. Brooks Koepka (+6600) makes his return from LIV, so you better believe we'll be adding him to our card this week. Scottie Scheffler will be taking the tournament off after winning his first tournament of the year. So who are we backing?

From outright picks, to long shots, to my best top-five play, let's get into the lab and bring the units home.

💰 Farmers Insurance Open picks

Here are our top golf picks for Farmers Insurance Open

🏆 Farmers Insurance Open pick to win: Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)

There's something about this track that Mastuyama absolutely loves. He has one third-place finish, two top-10 finishes, and five top-25 finishes at Torrey Pines. His proximity to the hole and solid approach is exactly what he needs for this golf course, and this is the year he finally breaks through and wins it. I'm playing him outright at these long betting odds as well as the "Top Asian Player."

Other than Matsuyama, our Esten McLaren is banking on Will Zalatoris (+4900) to win outright at the Farmers Insurance Open.

🎯 Farmers Insurance Open sleeper pick: Jason Day (+3100)

Jason Day is your "specialist" at Torrey Pines. His resume is legendary at this course: he has two wins, five top-five finishes, seven top-10s, and eight top-25s. His Strokes Gained: Approach has been the best part of his game, and will help him out with Torrey Pines' tough and thick Kikuyu grass roughs. I'll also be playing him at +650 to finish top five.

🔥 Best bets for Farmers Insurance Open

After Ludvig Abeg withdrew from the American Express last week, I had to dive back into this market and find us a winner.

Top 5 finish: Brooks Koepka (+1100)

Here's your exciting wild card. You can't place your wagers without adding Brooks, can you? He makes his long-awaited return to the PGA Tour after four years with LIV. I won't be touching his +6000 betting odds to win outright, but if he finds his rhythm early, he can absolutely be there on Sunday. He has one top-25 and one top-10 finish at Torrey Pines already - let's see him take another step in the right direction in his first tournament back.

For a more in-depth look, I discuss how to bet Brooks Koepka at the Farmers Insurance Open and dish out two more plays to bet on.

⚖️ How I'm handicapping the Farmers Insurance Open

In order to feel confident in your plays this week, you have to understand the golf course. Approach shots are huge at Torrey Pines as over 35% of appoach shots on the South Course come from 200-plus yards. This is one of the main reasons why Matsuyama has played this track so well.

Putting on "bumpy" Poa Annua greens also comes into play, which is why I'm also backing Day this week - one of the more well-rounded putters on the PGA Tour.

⛳ Farmers Insurance Open tournament info 2026

• Where: Torrey Pines Golf Course (North and South), San Diego (La Jolla), Calif.
• When: Thursday, Jan 29 - Sunday, Feb 1, 2026
• Field: 145–147 Players (expanded to include Brooks Koepka under the Returning Member Program)
• Favorite: Xander Schauffele (+1300 to +1400 via FanDuel/BetMGM)
• Defending champion: Harris English (2025)
• Purse: $9.6 million
• FedEx Cup Points: 500