Washington vs. Texas Odds, Picks, Predictions College Football: Can Big-Armed QBs Cash the Over?
Offense is expected to be on full display in Thursday's Alamo Bowl showdown between Washington and Texas. Check out below for our top Washington Huskies-Texas Longhorns college football pick based on the best NCAAF odds.
Texas (8-4) and Washington (10-2) featured two of college football's most high-octane offenses this season. With limitations to both teams’ secondaries, could both passing attacks thrive Thursday night in San Antonio?
Here is our best Washington vs. Texas Alamo Bowl college football pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our college football best bets and all of our top odds and picks for college football's bowl season.
Washington vs. Texas Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Dec. 29, 9 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
- Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
- Weather: Indoors
Washington vs. Texas Odds
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Washington vs. Texas Odds Analysis
Betting action has helped narrow the spread from the consensus opening line of Texas -4.5 to -3 as of Thursday morning. Washington has drawn the support of 73% of the handle on a more modest 63% of the tickets.
The Over/Under is up from an opening line of 64.5 to 67.5 with 72% of the tickets accounting for 72% of the cash on the Over, according to Pregame.com.
Check out our top Alamo Bowl odds!
Washington vs. Texas Pick
Over 67 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
There’s one reason this number isn’t in the 70s: the Texas defense. In two of their final three regular season matchups, the Longhorns held both Kansas and TCU--two top 15 offensive efficiencies--below 20 points. Texas' ability to turn games ugly against quality offenses has to be accounted for.
But a Longhorns' D that ranks an FBS 23rd in adjusted efficiency is much stronger against the run (123 rushing yards per game, FBS 26th) than the pass (239 passing yards per game, FBS 83rd). So, while Washington may not do much ground damage in the Alamo Bowl, the path to points should remain relatively clear for college football's top aerial attack.
Huskies quarterback Michael Penix Jr. led in passing this season and is motivated to play his first-ever bowl game. Texas matchups finished 6-6 on totals in 2022, while games involving Washington were quite favorable to Over bettors, going 8-3-1 on Overs. Washington's passing attack was one reason, but its malleable passing defense was another.
The Huskies gave up 259.2 passing YPG to opponents, ranking an FBS 101st. Though Longhorns QB Quinn Ewers won’t have running back Bijan Robinson in his arsenal, the Texas receiving corps is pretty well intact. Against one of the worst Power Five secondaries, Ewers should put on a show in front of a pro-Longhorns crowd.
Washington vs. Texas Best Odds
DraftKings: Over 67 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| 67 | 67.5 | 67.5 | 67.5 | 67.5 |
| -110o | -110o | -110o | -110o | -110o |
As of this writing, the most favorable Over odds in the Alamo Bowl are relatively straightforward. All major sportsbooks except DraftKings list the total at 67.5 with standard -110 odds on the Over.
None offer the advantage to Over bettors DK provides, which lists the total a half-point lower at 67 points with the same -110 odds found at sportsbooks that offer the less-favorable line.
Washington-Texas pick made 12/28/2022 at 4:26 p.m. ET.
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- PointsBet: Earn Five First Bet Offer of Up to $100 Each| Read our PointsBet Review
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* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
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